X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (9/27/22)

francisco lindor fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers MLB injury news

Happy Tuesday, RotoBallers, we're back for another week of MLB betting picks! Make sure you're following my Twitter, as I can't guarantee that I'll always be able to get the added plays written here in the article, but I will typically add whatever else I'm playing throughout the day. The entire RotoBaller team has been working around the clock to make sure we can get you guys the best betting picks, props, and lineups throughout the season. We're happy you're here with us and are looking forward to an extremely profitable 2022 season!

Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

If you're new, or just a refresher to those who read my articles last season, I'm John Brubaker. I've been betting MLB baseball games for four years now, and this is my second MLB season working with the great folks at RotoBaller. I've created my own betting model to help me create and identify value on run lines, totals, and money lines. In this article, I'll be providing my favorite betting picks for the MLB games on Tuesday, September 27, 2022.

Featured Promo: Want a free RotoBaller Premium Pass? Check out these sports betting promo offers from the top sportsbooks! All new sign-ups get a free bonus offer on their first deposit, and a free year of RotoBaller's Premium Pass for all sports ($450 value)! Sign Up Now!

 

LucidMedia's 2022 MLB Betting Picks

  • Season to Date: 74-75-2, -17.95 units
  • Sides: 35-36-1, -12.96 units
  • Totals: 38-39-1, -6.69 units
  • Props: 1-0 +1.70 units

 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Marlins @ Mets

O/U: 7 | Moneyline: NYM -210

MIA: Pablo Lopez | NYM: Carlos Carrasco

While I was at a wedding and didn't see any of it, we finished up last week 0-2 on Saturday. While the Mets did get to Waldichuk in the first inning as well, I never would've thought both Jacob deGrom and Corbin Burnes would allow first-inning runs on the same day. We'll be taking a look at the Mets again today, but not for a first-inning under.

I'll start out in New York for a first-five play this evening. The visiting Marlins will be sending Pablo Lopez (9-10, 3.88 ERA) to the mound. While Lopez has pitched well this season, allowing just 29% hard contact and bringing in a 3.59 xFIP, most of the damage done against him has come against the Mets. In four starts against New York, he's allowed a whopping 24 runs (23 earned) in just 16.2 innings pitched.

The Mets will be sending veteran Carlos Carrasco (15-6, 3.79 ERA) to the mound. Carrasco has been great for the Mets this season, and quite simply, the Mets have won when he's on the mound. While he has allowed a 31.5% hard contact rate on the season, he is due for some positive regression given his 3.38 xFIP. Contrary to Lopez, Carrasco has been excellent against the Marlins. He's allowed just six earned runs in 25.2 innings across four starts against Miami this season.

FanDuel Sportsbook has the full game money line at -210, which is a respectable price that isn't too steep, but I'll be looking at the Mets F5 -0.5 in this one. That number sits at just -130, and the Mets have a strong advantage in both the starting pitcher and (projected) starting lineup categories, according to my model.

Pick: Mets F5 -0.5 (-130) FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 unit

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

All new sign-ups also get a free year of RotoBaller's all sports Premium Pass ($450 value)!

Sportsbook Bonus Offer Promo
Caesars Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,500 CLAIM OFFER
PointsBet 2 Risk-Free Bets Up To $2,000 CLAIM OFFER
BetMGM Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 CLAIM OFFER
FanDuel Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 CLAIM OFFER
DraftKings Deposit Bonus Booster Up To $1,000 CLAIM OFFER
 



 

Featured Promo

Offer is only valid for new users

All new sportsbook sign-ups get a free year of RotoBaller Premium access ($450 value)!

1. Just sign up for a new account
2. Make a minimum deposit of $20 and place any bet
3. Be sure to claim your bonus offer from the sportsbook
4. Email us at [email protected] with your new account details
5. Boom - that's it! We'll email you with your year-long RotoBaller Premium Pass

CLAIM NOW!

 


 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Cardinals @ Brewers

O/U: 8 | Moneyline: MIL -110

STL: Miles Mikolas | MIL: Adrian Houser

We'll head out to Milwaukee for our second play of the day. We backed Brewers starter Corbin Burnes in a first-inning under play on Saturday, and we'll back today's starter Adrian Houser to hold the Cardinals scoreless in the opening frame tonight. 

Houser (6-9, 4.62 ERA) has been nothing more than decent in the first inning overall this season. He's allowed a first-inning run in eight of his 20 starts overall. However, he's been so much better in the first at home, allowing a first-inning run in just two of 10 starts. He's 1-1 to the first inning under against St. Louis this season but has been true to form, allowing the run on the road while keeping them scoreless at home. It's a good time to jump on this, though, as the Cardinals have been held scoreless in the first inning in each of their last 12 games.

On the other hand, the Cardinals will be sending their "ace" Miles Mikolas (11-13, 3.35 ERA) to the mound. Unlike Houser, Mikolas has been excellent in the first inning this season. He's allowed a tally in the first in just six of 31 starts overall, and just twice in 17 starts on the road. The Brewers' offense hasn't been very potent in the opening frame lately either, being held scoreless in nine of their last ten.

FanDuel Sportsbook has the first inning under at -125, creating some solid value here. If this line crept up towards -140 and beyond I wouldn't take it, so make sure to jump on it quickly! My model has the under good up to -138, so we'll take it while it's this low.

Pick: Under 0.5 First-Inning Runs (-125) FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 unit

Good luck, RotoBallers, and make sure to follow my Twitter for more plays. Talk to you tomorrow!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

Dejounte Murray57 mins ago

Expected To Miss Two Weeks
Jake Mangum2 hours ago

Marlins Acquire Jake Mangum From The Mets
Josh Jacobs2 hours ago

Will Play Versus Rams
Mike Williams2 hours ago

Upgraded To Full Practice
Saquon Barkley2 hours ago

Limited On Thursday
Silvino Bracho2 hours ago

Reds Sign Silvino Bracho To Minor-League Deal
Austin Allen2 hours ago

Signs With Marlins
J.P. Feyereisen3 hours ago

Has Shoulder Surgery
Kris Letang3 hours ago

Skating With Regular Jersey Again
Logan Stanley3 hours ago

Back In Action Thursday
Spencer Knight3 hours ago

Out With An Illness
Aleksander Barkov3 hours ago

Ready To Return Thursday
Pavel Buchnevich3 hours ago

Remains Unavailable
Torey Krug3 hours ago

Sits Out Another Game
T.J. Brodie3 hours ago

Returns For Toronto Thursday
Josh Richardson5 hours ago

Probable For Thursday's Matchup
Keita Bates-Diop5 hours ago

Ruled Out For Thursday
Jae'Sean Tate5 hours ago

Still Out Thursday
Max Strus6 hours ago

Listed As Probable For Thursday
Pascal Siakam6 hours ago

Leads Raptors To Win On Wednesday
Brandin Cooks6 hours ago

Expected To Miss Another Game
Terance Mann6 hours ago

Out Thursday
Nikola Vucevic6 hours ago

Gathers Double-Double Against Washington
Zion Williamson6 hours ago

Scores Game-High 29 Points In Win
Kawhi Leonard6 hours ago

Won't Play Thursday
Jrue Holiday6 hours ago

Drops 31 Points Against Sacramento
Kyle Lowry6 hours ago

Rested On Thursday
Domantas Sabonis6 hours ago

Puts Up Strong Stat Line Against Bucks
Ja Morant6 hours ago

Collects Second Triple-Double This Season
Joe Mixon6 hours ago

Has Cleared Concussion Protocols
Bruno Fernando6 hours ago

Questionable On Thursday With Illness
Josh Christopher6 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable Against Spurs
Nikola Jovic6 hours ago

Available To Play Against Clippers
Duncan Robinson6 hours ago

Probable For Thursday's Game
San Francisco Giants7 hours ago

Giants Acquire Blake Sabol From The Reds
Austin Brice7 hours ago

Diamondbacks Sign Austin Brice To Minor-League Deal
Jason Heyward7 hours ago

Dodgers Sign Jason Heyward To Minor-League Deal
Trevor Williams8 hours ago

Mets Could Reunite With Trevor Williams
Baker Mayfield8 hours ago

Expected To Be Active, Could Start
Marcus Mariota9 hours ago

Benched For Desmond Ridder
Andrei Kuzmenko12 hours ago

Heating Up Again
Josh Jacobs12 hours ago

Expected To Play Thursday Night
Mika Zibanejad12 hours ago

Enjoys A Three-Point Night Versus Vegas
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins12 hours ago

Piles Up Three Points Wednesday
Connor McDavid12 hours ago

Goes Off For Another Four Points
Linus Ullmark12 hours ago

Shuts Out Colorado
Taylor Hall12 hours ago

Grabs Three Points In Wednesday's Win
Patrik Laine12 hours ago

Nets Two Goals Wednesday
Alex Tuch13 hours ago

Posts Career-High Four Points
Kirill Kaprizov19 hours ago

Extends Point Streak In Loss
Alex Ovechkin19 hours ago

Scores Twice In Victory
Joe Jiménez19 hours ago

Braves Acquire Joe Jimenez From Tigers
Xander Bogaerts20 hours ago

Padres Agree With Xander Bogaerts On 11-Year Deal
Tage Thompson20 hours ago

Scores Five Goals In Dominant Victory
Tyler Herro21 hours ago

Probable For Meeting With The Clippers
Buddy Hield21 hours ago

Scores 26 Points In Loss
Tyrese Haliburton21 hours ago

Plays Well In Return From Injury
Dansby Swanson24 hours ago

Four Teams Showing Serious Interest In Dansby Swanson
Xander Bogaerts1 day ago

Six Teams Talking With Xander Bogaerts
Pittsburgh Pirates1 day ago

Pirates Take Jose Hernandez In Rule 5 Draft
Ryan Noda1 day ago

A's Pluck Ryan Noda Away From The Dodgers
Boston Red Sox1 day ago

Red Sox Reel In Masataka Yoshida On Five-Year Deal
Cole Hamels1 day ago

Wants To Pitch In 2023
Josh Jacobs1 day ago

Questionable For Thursday Night Football
New York Mets1 day ago

Mets Remain Involved With Kodai Senga
Carlos Rodón1 day ago

Yankees Remain In On Carlos Rodon
Mike Williams1 day ago

Set To Practice This Week
Carlos Correa1 day ago

Giants Have Talked With Carlos Correa
Thad Ward1 day ago

Nationals Select Thad Ward With First Rule 5 Pick
Zach Hyman1 day ago

Set To Return Wednesday
James Van Riemsdyk1 day ago

James van Riemsdyk Returns To Flyers Lineup
Craig Smith1 day ago

Back For Bruins Wednesday
Jimmy Garoppolo1 day ago

A Long Shot To Return In Playoffs
Joe Mixon1 day ago

A Full Participant In Practice
Los Angeles Rams1 day ago

Aaron Donald Ruled Out For Thursday Night
Trevor Lawrence1 day ago

Expects To Play In Week 14
Brooks Raley1 day ago

Mets Acquire Brooks Raley From Rays
Courtland Sutton1 day ago

Unlikely To Play In Week 14
David Njoku1 day ago

Ready To Play
Buffalo Bills1 day ago

Von Miller Undergoes Surgery, Out For The Year
Mark Ingram II1 day ago

Likely Done For The Season
Trevor Lawrence1 day ago

Up In The Air For Week 14
Tua Tagovailoa1 day ago

Expected To Be Limited In Practice
Davis Mills1 day ago

Texans Going Back To Davis Mills At QB
Magomed Ankalaev1 day ago

Can Realize His UFC Dream
Jan Blachowicz1 day ago

Set For Title Redemption
Jared Gordon1 day ago

Has An Opportunity For A Huge Victory
Paddy Pimblett1 day ago

Set To Showcase In UFC 282
Dricus Du Plessis2 days ago

Hoping To Continue To Rack Up Wins
Darren Till2 days ago

Looking For A Key Victory At UFC 282
Ilia Topuria2 days ago

Meets Fellow Top-15 Undefeated Featherweight
Bryce Mitchell2 days ago

Set To Open UFC 282 Main Card
Kevin Holland3 days ago

Takes The Loss In Saturday's Main Event
Stephen Thompson3 days ago

Earns Victory In Main Event
Bryan Barberena3 days ago

Unable To Secure A Win Saturday
Rafael Dos Anjos3 days ago

Rafael dos Anjos Takes Co-Main Event By Submission
Matt Schnell3 days ago

Matthew Christopher Schnell Takes The Loss Saturday
Matheus Nicolau3 days ago

Continues Run With TKO Victory
Tai Tuivasa3 days ago

Suffers Second Straight Loss
Sergei Pavlovich3 days ago

Earns Fifth Straight Victory With Knockout Win
Jack Hermansson3 days ago

Ends 2022 With Losing Record
Roman Dolidze3 days ago

Makes Most Of Opportunity With TKO Victory
Kyle Daukaus3 days ago

Has His Night Come To An Early End
Eryk Anders3 days ago

Gets It Done With A Second TKO Performance
Kevin Holland5 days ago

Hoping To Rebound With Main-Event Victory

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP