Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (10/23/22)

Yu Darvish - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Happy Sunday RotoBallers, it's Championship Series time and we're back for another day of MLB Postseason betting picks. Make sure you're following my Twitter, as I can't guarantee that I'll always be able to get the added plays written here in the article, but I will typically add whatever else I'm playing throughout the day. The entire RotoBaller team has been working around the clock to make sure we can get you guys the best betting picks, props, and lineups throughout the season. We're happy you're here with us and are looking forward to an extremely profitable 2022 postseason!

Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

If you're new, or just a refresher to those who read my articles last season, I'm John Brubaker. I've been betting on MLB baseball games for four years now, and this is my second MLB season working with the great folks at RotoBaller. I've created my own betting model to help me create and identify value on run lines, totals, and money lines. In this article, I'll be providing my favorite betting picks for the MLB games on Sunday, October 23, 2022. I'm continuously working to improve my models to make them more accurate, and as the season progresses, I'll share the data I have on my personal Twitter @LucidMediaDFS. Feel free to give me a follow if you haven't already, and do not hesitate to ask any questions! My DMs are always open. With all of that said, let's break down some baseball games.

Featured Promo: Want a free RotoBaller Premium Pass? Check out these sports betting promo offers from the top sportsbooks! All new sign-ups get a free bonus offer on their first deposit, and a free year of RotoBaller's Premium Pass for all sports ($450 value)! Sign Up Now!


LucidMedia's 2022 MLB Betting Picks

Playoffs: 14-5-2 (+5.66 units)


Today's MLB Betting Picks - Padres @ Phillies

O/U: 6.5 | Moneyline: PHI -146

SD: Yu Darvish | PHI: Zack Wheeler

We managed to go 2-0 yesterday, keeping the hot playoff streak alive. We'll look to keep the train rolling through this afternoon, grabbing a first-inning under as the Padres look to stay alive and the Phillies look to clinch the World Series for the first time since 2009. 

The visiting Padres will send Yu Darvish (16-8, 3.10 ERA) to the mound. Darvish had struggled a bit allowing runs on the road, allowing a run in six of 17 first innings away from Petco Park. In general, he's been great, though, allowing a run in just eight of 30 starts overall. He's made three starts against the Phillies in 2022, including Game 1 of this series, and hasn't allowed a first inning run in any of them. 

Conversely, the Phillies will send Zack Wheeler (12-7, 2.92 ERA) to the mound in hopes that he will send them to their first World Series in over a decade. Wheeler was one of the best starters in the first inning this season, allowing a first-inning tally in just one of 13 starts overall and in three of 26 starts overall. Wheeler was stellar in Game 1, holding the Padres to just one hit across seven innings. He's thrown 14 innings against San Diego in 2022 and hasn't allowed a run yet.

FanDuel Sportsbook doesn't have these odds up yet, so we'll head over to DraftKings Sportsbook for this one, where they have the first inning under at -155. My model gives the under a 57.25% chance of hitting this afternoon. While this isn't necessarily a "value" pick according to my model, which gives the under "true" odds of -134, I believe it's the best play we can make in this game. 

Pick: Under 0.5 First-Inning Runs (-155) DraftKings Sportsbook, 1 unit


Sports Betting Promo Offers

All new sign-ups also get a free year of RotoBaller's all sports Premium Pass ($450 value)!

Sportsbook Bonus Offer Promo
Caesars Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,500 CLAIM OFFER
PointsBet 2 Risk-Free Bets Up To $2,000 CLAIM OFFER
BetMGM Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 CLAIM OFFER
FanDuel Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 CLAIM OFFER
DraftKings Deposit Bonus Booster Up To $1,000 CLAIM OFFER


Featured Promo

Offer is only valid for new users

All new sportsbook sign-ups get a free year of RotoBaller Premium access ($450 value)!

1. Just sign up for a new account
2. Make a minimum deposit of $20 and place any bet
3. Be sure to claim your bonus offer from the sportsbook
4. Email us at [email protected] with your new account details
5. Boom - that's it! We'll email you with your year-long RotoBaller Premium Pass




Today's MLB Betting Picks - Astros @ Yankees

O/U: 6.5 | Moneyline: NYY -122

HOU: Lance McCullers Jr. | NYY: Nestor Cortes

We'll head back up to New York as the Yankees will look to stave off elimination, as well as the embarrassment of getting swept in this one.   

The visiting Astros will send Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2, 2.27 ERA) to the mound. The Astros pitching staff has been marvelous throughout the playoffs and in this series in particular, and I can't say I see that changing tonight. It'll be McCullers's first start against the Yanks in 2022, and my model projects him for a 2.06 xFIP while holding the Yankees to a 22.32% hard contact rate tonight. 

Conversely, the Yankees will be sending Nestor Cortes (12-4, 2.44 ERA) to the mound. We've backed Cortes a few times in these playoffs, but we'll be doing the opposite this time. Cortes started one game against Houston this season, allowing three runs on five hits across five innings. The Astros are better against lefties and my model doesn't have that changing in this one. Cortes is projected to a 3.59 xFIP while the Astros offense is projecting to a 32.47% hard contact rate. 

Since the Astros are dogs in this one, we're getting solid value here. I won't be betting on them to win the full game, but rather winning on the F5 money line, which FanDuel Sportsbook has at even money, +100. The Astros project better than the Yankees in every important offensive category (wOBA + ISO, hard contact rate, pitch type data, etc.) and it would be foolish not to back them here. 

Pick: Astros F5 Money Line (+100) FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 unit


Good luck, RotoBallers, and make sure to follow my Twitter for more plays. See you Tuesday!

Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!

More Fantasy Baseball Analysis


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts


Taylor Pendrith33 mins ago

Seeking Better Fortune At Pebble Beach
Damian Lillard39 mins ago

Continues Scoring Tear With 42 Points
Justin Lower40 mins ago

Sets Up Well For Pebble Beach
Davis Riley45 mins ago

Not On Many Radars For Pebble Beach
Dejounte Murray46 mins ago

Sets New Record With 40 Points
Matthew NeSmith50 mins ago

Trying To Turn Back Clock At Pebble
Mikal Bridges53 mins ago

Leads All Scorers With 29 Points
Justin Rose56 mins ago

Needs To Avoid Mistakes At Pebble Beach
Luka Doncic60 mins ago

Wows The Crowd Again
Deni Avdija1 hour ago

Notches Career-High 25 Points
Stephen Curry1 hour ago

Has 38 Points With Eight Treys
Anthony Edwards1 hour ago

Logs Another 30-Point Outing
De'Aaron Fox1 hour ago

Leads Kings With 32 Points
Nick Blankenburg2 hours ago

Still Troubled By An Upper-Body Injury
Adam Boqvist2 hours ago

Remains Day-To-Day
Jake Allen2 hours ago

Set For His 29th Start
Torey Krug2 hours ago

Keeps Good Run Going
Kyle Connor2 hours ago

Ends Dry Spell With Two Assists
Mark Scheifele2 hours ago

Caps Off January With A Two-Goal Game
José Leclerc9 hours ago

Jose Leclerc Front-Runner For Rangers' Closer Role?
Chad Pinder9 hours ago

Reds Reportedly Agree To Minor League Deal With Chad Pinder
STL9 hours ago

Jake Neighbours Logs His First Career Multi-Point Game
Shohei Ohtani9 hours ago

Mets Expected To Make Bid On Shohei Ohtani In 2023
Zack Britton9 hours ago

Angels Have "Strong Interest" In Zack Britton
Josh Morrissey9 hours ago

Scores Twice In Jets Win
Josh Hart12 hours ago

Will Play Versus Atlanta
Jusuf Nurkic12 hours ago

Available Against Hawks Monday
Trae Young12 hours ago

Ruled Out Versus Portland
Miguel Vargas13 hours ago

Has A Chance To Start At Second Base
Bo Horvat13 hours ago

Islanders Acquire Bo Horvat
Grayson Rodriguez13 hours ago

Expected To Be In Opening Day Rotation
Alex Kirilloff13 hours ago

Hoping For Normal Spring Training
Andrew Wiggins14 hours ago

Returns To Starting Five
Rui Hachimura14 hours ago

To Start On Monday
Daniel Gafford14 hours ago

Ruled Out For Monday
Luka Doncic14 hours ago

Upgraded To Available
T.J. Warren15 hours ago

To Miss Monday's Game
Ben Simmons15 hours ago

To Miss Monday's Contest
Hamidou Diallo15 hours ago

Ruled Out For Monday
Joel Embiid15 hours ago

Cleared For Monday's Game
Brock Purdy15 hours ago

Will Have Surgery On Elbow
Brock Purdy16 hours ago

Out Six Months With UCL Tear
Cam Talbot16 hours ago

Might Not Be Ready After The All-Star Game
Tage Thompson16 hours ago

Day-To-Day With Upper-Body Injury
Logan Stanley16 hours ago

Scratched On Monday
Connor Hellebuyck16 hours ago

Looks To Continue Success Over St. Louis
Robert Thomas16 hours ago

Remains Out On Monday
Jordan Binnington16 hours ago

Tries To Get Back On Track Monday
Jalen Green18 hours ago

Misses Monday's Practice
Alperen Sengun18 hours ago

Able To Practice On Monday
Matt Barnes19 hours ago

Marlins Acquire Matt Barnes From Red Sox
Zack Greinke19 hours ago

Royals Re-Sign Zack Greinke
Darren O'Day19 hours ago

Announces Retirement
Kyle Pitts21 hours ago

' Rehab "On Schedule"
Taylor Hall1 day ago

Pots Lone Bruins Goal Sunday
Frederik Andersen1 day ago

Beats Boston With 24 Saves
Brent Burns1 day ago

Extends Point Streak In 1,300th Game
Nicklas Backstrom1 day ago

Grabs First Goal Of The Season
Morgan Rielly1 day ago

Finally Gets His First Goal
John Tavares1 day ago

Celebrates 1,000th Game With Two Assists
Tyler Boyd1 day ago

Has Two Catches On Sunday, Exits Due To Injury
Travis Jankowski1 day ago

Signs Minor-League Deal With Rangers
Josh Harrison1 day ago

Signs With the Phillies
Gleyber Torres1 day ago

Avoids Arbitration
New York Yankees2 days ago

New York Yankees Will Have Shortstop Battle
DJ LeMahieu2 days ago

Ready For 2023
Kadarius Toney2 days ago

Questionable To Return To AFC Championship Game
Kansas City Chiefs2 days ago

L'Jarius Sneed Being Evaluated For A Head Injury
Mecole Hardman2 days ago

Cleared For AFC Championship
Josh Johnson2 days ago

Won't Return To The NFC Championship
Travis Kelce2 days ago

Will Suit Up For AFC Championship
Josh Johnson2 days ago

Exits Sunday's Game Versus Philly
Brock Purdy2 days ago

Returns To NFC Championship Game
Josh Johnson2 days ago

Enters With Brock Purdy Questionable To Return
Justin Herbert2 days ago

Undergoes Shoulder Surgery
Travis Kelce2 days ago

Experiencing Tightness, Will Be Game-Time Decision
Kenta Maeda2 days ago

Not Expected To Have Restrictions This Spring
Elijah Mitchell2 days ago

Ruled Out For NFC Championship
Aaron Rodgers2 days ago

Packers Prefer To Trade Aaron Rodgers?
Tom Brady2 days ago

Dolphins Not Expected To Pursue Tom Brady
Kyler Murray2 days ago

Not Expected To Be Ready For 2023 Season
Jonathan Taylor2 days ago

Has Successful Ankle Surgery
Travis Kelce2 days ago

Expected To Play In AFC Championship
Brock Burke3 days ago

Could Be In The Closing Mix
Hirokazu Sawamura3 days ago

Returns To Japan
Nick Senzel3 days ago

Expected To Be Starting Center Fielder
Alex Colomé3 days ago

Nationals Sign Alexander Colome To Minor-League Deal
Yandy Díaz3 days ago

Yandy Diaz Closing In On Extension With Rays
Tua Tagovailoa4 days ago

Still In Concussion Protocol
Emiliano Grillo6 days ago

Not An Option At Farmers
Will Zalatoris6 days ago

Loves Playing At Torrey Pines
Maverick McNealy6 days ago

May Struggle At Torrey Pines
Keegan Bradley6 days ago

A Decent Play At Farmers
Hideki Matsuyama6 days ago

Another Risky Play At Torrey Pines