👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Fantasy Basketball Draft Day Disappointments

It is your turn to pick and your mouth salivates at the thought of getting that player that you just know is going to break out. That player everyone else is sleeping on, but you know deep in your gut this player will exceed all expectations and show everyone else what a fantasy basketball guru you really are. Some people in your draft may scratch their heads at what they consider you reaching, but you know you'll have all the validation in the world when you're hoisting your league championship proudly above your head.

Despite all of your scouting and research however, the impossible has happened...your "stud" is looking more like a bust. The buyer's remorse starts settling in and you start thinking of all the amazing players you passed on your quest to acquire your sleeper. Players you did not look twice at are producing at levels that make you envious. Suddenly what once seemed like a steal, now feels like a gigantic burden.

This scenario is one that is all too familiar to anyone that plays fantasy sports. As the imperfect humans that we all are, we all buy into hype, or perhaps find a little too much pleasure in being the one to discover "a hidden gem". While finding sleepers will always be one of the most gratifying aspects of crafting your team, finding out your pick was more Anthony Randolph than Rudy Gobert will cause you to lose sleep at night. In this article I want to discuss some of the players that I personally identified as draft day studs, but so far have looked a lot more like busts.

Featured Promo: New Novig users get a $25 purchase match (50% discount up to $25) on your first Novig deposit, and 6 free months of RotoBaller's "Big-4" Premium Pass (NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL) which includes exclusive tools for Betting, Props, DFS and more! CLAIM IT NOW

 

Draft Day Disappointments

Jamal Murray, PG/SG, Denver Nuggets

Jamal was easily one of the most overhyped players I witnessed the entire off-season in fantasy basketball circles, including by yours truly. Jamal Murray who for his young age is an incredibly skilled players was getting comparisons to fantasy studs such as C.J McCollum and Bradley Beal. Ambitious owners identified him as the clear cut favorite for the starting point guard on a Nuggets team already sporting other fantasy beasts such as Gary Harris, Paul Millsap and Nicola Jokic. His potential to score, hit 3s at a high rate, while boosting your percentages and assists was simply too alluring.

While on paper his raw stats of 13.4 points per game, three rebounds per game and 2.3 assists per game are not terrible, they are not nearly enough to offset his complete lack of peripheral stats. His .7 steals and .2 blocks are not the only ugly side to his fantasy game however, as this overhyped baller is only shooting 42% from the field and a stinky 1.1 three pointers made per game at 25.3% shooting (much maligned Lonzo Ball is shooting 25.7 percent from three at 1.3 per game). This abysmal production was definitely not what his owners were expecting when they burned a mid-round pick on him.

Josh Richardson, PG/SG/SF, Miami Heat

Josh Richardson serves as living proof that old habits do indeed die hard. Josh Richardson's hype in fantasy basketball circles has been ongoing for much of the last two seasons. After showing the potential to be an elite 3 and D player as a rookie for the Heat, many people bet on Josh Richardson providing value similar to fantasy studs such as Patrick Beverley and Trevor Ariza. After starting the 2016-2017 season at a snail's pace, Josh proceeded to average 15 points, 3 rebounds, 3 assists, 1.5 blocks, 2.3 steals, 2.8 3 pointers on a red-hot 53% from that range in six April games. That small 6 game sample-size was enough to make everyone forget the mostly abysmal production he displayed the rest of the season.

Josh Richardson proceeded to validate those owners who reached for him by looking like a stocks (steals and blocks) monster in the preseason. That is right around where the fun ended, however, as he proceeded to tank the field goal percentage of anyone who gave him a chance. With meager averages of 9.6 points on 39% field goal, three rebounds, two assists, and 2.2 turnovers with 1.4 threes at a abhorrent 28% from that range in 32 minutes per game, those who haven't cut bait have heavily considered it. While his 1.3 steals and .7 blocks per game are fairly decent for a guard, it's a far-cry from the production those who drafted him were banking on. While he has looked a lot more productive over the last week, it's too early to tell if it's another mirage from a very inconsistent player.

Nerlens Noel, PF/C, Dallas Mavericks

After an off-season full of rumors claiming that Nerlens Noel turned down a near maximum contract extension with the Dallas Mavericks and instead took his qualifying offer, many owners used a mid-round pick to acquire his services. I personally drafted Noel in over half of my leagues, with visions of his elite blocks and steals potential while helping to anchor my field goal percentage. Noel burst out of the gate with 16 points, 11 rebounds, three blocks and a steal on a spotless six for six from the field, making all of those who drafted him look like geniuses.

Things soured very quickly, though, as his minutes continued to drop from the low 20s, to the mid-teens, to suddenly not even playing at all. The player many reached for to be a game-changer, was suddenly losing his minutes to players such as Salah Mejri and Dwight Powell. With constant news coming out of Dallas that the Mavericks are not at all thrilled with his work ethic, I dropped Nerlens Noel in leagues deep as 20 teams. While the potential still exists for a break-out from Noel, it looks like he has gotten himself an extended lease in Rick Carlisle's dog house.

Russell Westbrook, PG, Oklahoma City Thunder

Some of you may be asking how Mr. Triple Doubles finds himself on my list. On paper his popcorn stats are still as savory as ever, with 22 points per game, 9.1 rebounds and 9.7 assists per game. Everything has to be kept in context however, and so far Mr. Westbrook is not performing at the level in which he was drafted, with many people picking him within the top 5 picks. With Paul George and Carmelo Anthony joining the fray, and decent role players such as Patrick Patterson coming onboard to shore up the Thunder's shooting, many expected Westbrook to replace some of his volume scoring, with higher efficiency. Instead of producing at the top 5 level in which he was drafted, Westbrook is currently ranked in the 40s on Yahoo mostly due to his 40% field goal percentage on 19 shots per game, and a pedestrian 72% from the free-throw line. While this lack of elite production may be seen as simply early seasons struggles, I don't think anyone expected this type of drop-off after an MVP clinching campaign.

Gorgui Dieng, PF/C, Minnesota Timberwolves

While Dieng may not be a house hold name, for the past two seasons he was considered an elite fantasy producer among competitive fantasy basketball owners. As a big man who could contribute in every category while not hurting you in any category, many owners brushed off the Timberwolves signing Taj Gibson and used a mid-round pick to have him on their team. It did not take very long however for owners to realize that Taj Gibson was a more disruptive force than he was given credit for. Dieng is only averaging 16.7 minutes per game, which is the lowest minutes he has received since his rookie year. While his per 36 numbers are in line with his career production, his blocks took a very steep drop from 1.3 blocks per 36, to an almost non-existent .2 per game. A big man that was once known for shooting above 80% from the free-throw line, is now shooting a much less impressive 74% on freebies. While there is still hope of a resurgence, many owners might consider a turn-around as too little, too late.

 

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis

 

NBA DFS Premium Subscription

Get a free trial of our powerful NBA Premium Tools. Our famous DFS Cheat Sheets, and NBA Lineup Optimizer & Generator with daily matchup projections.

Win more. Try the most advanced lineup optimizer in daily fantasy basketball.

Sign Up Now!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Deebo Samuel Sr.

Remains a Free Agent
Darius Slayton

Faces Plenty of New Competition
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Bags a Shutout in Vegas
J.J. Spaun

Offers Upside Despite Poor Course History at Innisbrook
Brock Boeser

Logs Three Assists Tuesday
Trevor Lawrence

Armed with Plenty of Weapons for 2026
Brock Faber

Registers Three Assists in Overtime Win
Aaron Rai

Looks to Bounce Back at Valspar Championship
Charlie Coyle

Matches Career High with Four Points Tuesday
Johnny Keefer

Brings Ball-Striking Upside to Valspar Championship
Nikita Kucherov

Amasses Five Points in Road Win
Blake Lizotte

Penguins Plan to Re-Evaluate Blake Lizotte in Four Weeks
Billy Horschel

a Volatile Play at Valspar Championship
Nick Jensen

to Miss Six Weeks Due to Knee Surgery
Jonathan Kuminga

Questionable to Suit Up Wednesday
Ben Griffin

Looks to Rebound at the Valspar Championship
GG Jackson II

Back in Action Wednesday
Corey Conners

Brings Elite Ball-Striking to Valspar Championship
Ty Jerome

Good to Go Wednesday
Ace Bailey

Questionable to Play Wednesday
Isaiah Collier

Available Against Timberwolves
Darius Garland

Might Skip Wednesday's Game
Kawhi Leonard

Questionable Wednesday
Cole Ragans

Named Royals Opening Day Starter
Cole Caufield

Nets Game-Winning Goal
Pavel Zacha

Scores Twice Versus Montreal on Tuesday
Malik Willis

Facing Uphill Battle With Limited Pass-Catchers
Michael Porter Jr.

May Sit Out Again Wednesday
Dejounte Murray

Could Miss Another Game
Jalen Tolbert

Becomes Miami's WR1 After Most Recent Trade
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Off Injury Report Wednesday
Luke Kornet

Cleared to Play Tuesday
Dylan Harper

Available Against Kings
Harrison Barnes

Set to Start Tuesday
Xander Schauffele

Trending In The Right Direction For Valspar Championship
Sahith Theegala

Has Shot to Challenge at Valspar Championship
Mackenzie Hughes

Looking to Bounce Back at Valspar Championship
Nicolai Hojgaard

Finding Rhythm For Valspar Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick

Continues Hot Start to 2026 Heading to Valspar Championship
Pierceson Coody

Heads to Valspar Championship Following Two Missed Cuts
Pat Bryant

Is the Pat Bryant Breakout on Hold Following Latest Trade?
Troy Franklin

Now Faces Even Stiffer Competition for Targets
Bo Nix

Sees His Ceiling Rise Following Blockbuster Trade
Malik Monk

Sidelined for Fourth Straight Game
De'Von Achane

is the Last Playmaker Standing in Miami
Bennedict Mathurin

to Sit at Least Three Games
Joe Flacco

Bengals Waiting for Joe Flacco?
Courtland Sutton

How Will Courtland Sutton's Target Share be Affected by Latest Addition?
David Njoku

Visits Ravens as a Free Agent
Cade Cunningham

Exits After Five Minutes Tuesday
Cleveland Browns

Browns Expected to Address Receiver Position in the Draft
Ryan Rollins

Cleared to Play Tuesday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Out at Least One Week
Grayson Allen

Ruled Out Tuesday Against Minnesota
Jaylon Tyson

is Returning on Tuesday
Shohei Ohtani

to Pitch in Cactus League Game on Wednesday
Myles Turner

is Unavailable for Tuesday's Contest
Seiya Suzuki

has Sprained Knee, Opening Day Availability Unclear
Alex Tuch

a Game-Time Decision on Tuesday
Eeli Tolvanen

Iffy for Tuesday
Seth Jones

Returns to Action Tuesday
Sam Bennett

Available Tuesday
Tyler Warren

Expected to be No. 2 Pass-Catcher in Indy
Kirby Dach

to Miss 2-4 Weeks
Jerry Tillery

Colts Sign Defensive Tackle Jerry Tillery
Joel Eriksson Ek

Expected to Miss Three Games
Danny Pinter

Ravens, Center Danny Pinter Agree to Terms
Wyatt Teller

Texans Agree on Two-Year Deal With Wyatt Teller
Leon Draisaitl

to Miss Remainder of Regular Season
Seiya Suzuki

Diagnosed With Strained PCL
Zach Neto

Making his Return on Tuesday
Kyle Freeland

to Start for Rockies on Opening Day
José Soriano

Angels Name Jose Soriano the Opening Day Starter
Julius Chestnut

Titans Re-Sign Running Back Julius Chestnut to One-Year Deal
Ty Chandler

Saints Agree With Ty Chandler on Tuesday
Wyndham Clark

Searching for Momentum at Valspar Championship
Justin Thomas

Is Justin Thomas Back Ahead of This Week's Valspar Championship?
Jordan Spieth

to Bounce Back at Favored Valspar Championship?
Brooks Koepka

is Starting to Find His Groove Again Ahead of Valspar Championship
Viktor Hovland

is One of The Best DFS Plays at Innesbrook
Rasmus Hojgaard

to Get Back on Track at Valspar Championship
Isaiah Likely

Expected to be "Featured Piece" in Giants Offense
Marquise Brown

Eagles Signing Marquise Brown to One-Year Deal
Konnor Griffin

Avoids Next Round of Roster Cuts
Gerrit Cole

to Throw an Inning on Wednesday
Tony Finau

is Again a Scary Option at Valspar Championship
Blades Brown

Continues PGA Tour Run at Valspar Championship
Jacob Bridgeman

Great Season Keeps Rolling For Jacob Bridgeman Ahead of Valspar Championship
Alex DeBrincat

Shines with Three Assists Monday
Jack Hughes

Produces Three Assists in Comeback Victory
Evgeni Malkin

Returns with Three-Point Effort
Erik Gudbranson

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Shayne Gostisbehere

to Remain Sidelined Tuesday
Johan Rojas

Suspended 80 Games for PED Violation
José Ramírez

No Plans for Jose Ramirez to Undergo Imaging on Injured Shoulder
Seiya Suzuki

Undergoing MRI Exam on Monday
Joe Musgrove

Expected to Open the Year on the Injured List
Zach Neto

Expected to Return to Game Action on Tuesday
Josh Emmett

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Kevin Vallejos

Scores First-Round TKO
Amanda Lemos

Drops Back-To-Back Fights
Gillian Robertson

Extends Her Win Streak
Zach Neto

to Take Batting Practice on Monday
Andre Fili

Drops Decision on Saturday
Denny Hamlin

Dominates and Gets His Third Career Las Vegas Win
Chase Elliott

Earns Runner-Up Finish at Las Vegas
William Byron

Wins A Stage and Finishes Third at Las Vegas
Christopher Bell

Finishes Fourth at Las Vegas After Strong Run
Kyle Larson

Fades to Seventh Despite Leading Laps Early at Las Vegas
Andre Fili

Jose Delgado Edges Andre Fili in Split-Decision Win
Oumar Sy

Suffers First-Round Submission Loss
Ion Cutelaba

Returns To The Win Column
CFB

CJ Carr Enters Sophomore Season as Heisman Favorite
CFB

Aaron Philo Not a Lock to be Florida's Starting QB?
CFB

George MacIntyre the Favorite to Win Tennessee Quarterback Battle?
CFB

Keelon Russell, Austin Mack Battling for Alabama QB1 Duties
José Ramírez

Jose Ramirez is Day-to-Day with Shoulder Inflammation
Corbin Carroll

to Resume Playing Defense This Week
Francisco Lindor

Non-Committal About Status for Opening Day
Nathan Eovaldi

Named Rangers' Opening Day Starter
Hayden Birdsong

Diagnosed with Grade 2 Forearm Strain and UCL Sprain
Marcelo Mayer

Scratched With Left-Knee Soreness
Christopher Bell

Looking for Redemption, Wins Pole at Las Vegas
Denny Hamlin

Should Contend for Another Vegas Win
Chase Briscoe

Qualifies 18th Despite Toyota Dominating at Las Vegas
Chase Elliott

May Fly Under the Radar at Las Vegas
NASCAR

Ross Chastian Has Been As Solid As They Come at Las Vegas
Ty Gibbs

Could Ty Gibbs Finally Break Through With a Win at Las Vegas?
Brad Keselowski

a Solid DFS Pick at Las Vegas
Kyle Larson

Should Kyle Larson be Considered A Favorite for Las Vegas?
William Byron

Could Compete for a Top-Five Finish at Las Vegas
Ryan Blaney

Is Ryan Blaney Worth Rostering in Tournament DFS Lineups for Las Vegas?
Tyler Reddick

Could Continue his Top-10 Streak at Las Vegas
Joey Logano

Should DFS Managers Underestimate Joey Logano for Las Vegas?
Chris Buescher

Is Chris Buescher Worth Rostering For Las Vegas DFS Lineups?
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace is A Risky DFS Option Who Could Pay Off at Las Vegas
Josh Berry

Has Plenty of Upside for Las Vegas DFS Lineups
Ryan Preece

Scores his First Las Vegas Top-10 Starting Spot in Qualifying
Kevin Vallejos

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Josh Emmett

In Dire Need Of Victory
Gillian Robertson

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 114
Amanda Lemos

Set For Co-Main Event
Oumar Sy

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Ion Cutelaba

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF