👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 50% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

Fantasy Basketball Draft Day Disappointments

It is your turn to pick and your mouth salivates at the thought of getting that player that you just know is going to break out. That player everyone else is sleeping on, but you know deep in your gut this player will exceed all expectations and show everyone else what a fantasy basketball guru you really are. Some people in your draft may scratch their heads at what they consider you reaching, but you know you'll have all the validation in the world when you're hoisting your league championship proudly above your head.

Despite all of your scouting and research however, the impossible has happened...your "stud" is looking more like a bust. The buyer's remorse starts settling in and you start thinking of all the amazing players you passed on your quest to acquire your sleeper. Players you did not look twice at are producing at levels that make you envious. Suddenly what once seemed like a steal, now feels like a gigantic burden.

This scenario is one that is all too familiar to anyone that plays fantasy sports. As the imperfect humans that we all are, we all buy into hype, or perhaps find a little too much pleasure in being the one to discover "a hidden gem". While finding sleepers will always be one of the most gratifying aspects of crafting your team, finding out your pick was more Anthony Randolph than Rudy Gobert will cause you to lose sleep at night. In this article I want to discuss some of the players that I personally identified as draft day studs, but so far have looked a lot more like busts.

Featured Promo: New Novig users get a $25 purchase match (50% discount up to $25) on your first Novig deposit, and 6 free months of RotoBaller's "Big-4" Premium Pass (NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL) which includes exclusive tools for Betting, Props, DFS and more! CLAIM IT NOW

 

Draft Day Disappointments

Jamal Murray, PG/SG, Denver Nuggets

Jamal was easily one of the most overhyped players I witnessed the entire off-season in fantasy basketball circles, including by yours truly. Jamal Murray who for his young age is an incredibly skilled players was getting comparisons to fantasy studs such as C.J McCollum and Bradley Beal. Ambitious owners identified him as the clear cut favorite for the starting point guard on a Nuggets team already sporting other fantasy beasts such as Gary Harris, Paul Millsap and Nicola Jokic. His potential to score, hit 3s at a high rate, while boosting your percentages and assists was simply too alluring.

While on paper his raw stats of 13.4 points per game, three rebounds per game and 2.3 assists per game are not terrible, they are not nearly enough to offset his complete lack of peripheral stats. His .7 steals and .2 blocks are not the only ugly side to his fantasy game however, as this overhyped baller is only shooting 42% from the field and a stinky 1.1 three pointers made per game at 25.3% shooting (much maligned Lonzo Ball is shooting 25.7 percent from three at 1.3 per game). This abysmal production was definitely not what his owners were expecting when they burned a mid-round pick on him.

Josh Richardson, PG/SG/SF, Miami Heat

Josh Richardson serves as living proof that old habits do indeed die hard. Josh Richardson's hype in fantasy basketball circles has been ongoing for much of the last two seasons. After showing the potential to be an elite 3 and D player as a rookie for the Heat, many people bet on Josh Richardson providing value similar to fantasy studs such as Patrick Beverley and Trevor Ariza. After starting the 2016-2017 season at a snail's pace, Josh proceeded to average 15 points, 3 rebounds, 3 assists, 1.5 blocks, 2.3 steals, 2.8 3 pointers on a red-hot 53% from that range in six April games. That small 6 game sample-size was enough to make everyone forget the mostly abysmal production he displayed the rest of the season.

Josh Richardson proceeded to validate those owners who reached for him by looking like a stocks (steals and blocks) monster in the preseason. That is right around where the fun ended, however, as he proceeded to tank the field goal percentage of anyone who gave him a chance. With meager averages of 9.6 points on 39% field goal, three rebounds, two assists, and 2.2 turnovers with 1.4 threes at a abhorrent 28% from that range in 32 minutes per game, those who haven't cut bait have heavily considered it. While his 1.3 steals and .7 blocks per game are fairly decent for a guard, it's a far-cry from the production those who drafted him were banking on. While he has looked a lot more productive over the last week, it's too early to tell if it's another mirage from a very inconsistent player.

Nerlens Noel, PF/C, Dallas Mavericks

After an off-season full of rumors claiming that Nerlens Noel turned down a near maximum contract extension with the Dallas Mavericks and instead took his qualifying offer, many owners used a mid-round pick to acquire his services. I personally drafted Noel in over half of my leagues, with visions of his elite blocks and steals potential while helping to anchor my field goal percentage. Noel burst out of the gate with 16 points, 11 rebounds, three blocks and a steal on a spotless six for six from the field, making all of those who drafted him look like geniuses.

Things soured very quickly, though, as his minutes continued to drop from the low 20s, to the mid-teens, to suddenly not even playing at all. The player many reached for to be a game-changer, was suddenly losing his minutes to players such as Salah Mejri and Dwight Powell. With constant news coming out of Dallas that the Mavericks are not at all thrilled with his work ethic, I dropped Nerlens Noel in leagues deep as 20 teams. While the potential still exists for a break-out from Noel, it looks like he has gotten himself an extended lease in Rick Carlisle's dog house.

Russell Westbrook, PG, Oklahoma City Thunder

Some of you may be asking how Mr. Triple Doubles finds himself on my list. On paper his popcorn stats are still as savory as ever, with 22 points per game, 9.1 rebounds and 9.7 assists per game. Everything has to be kept in context however, and so far Mr. Westbrook is not performing at the level in which he was drafted, with many people picking him within the top 5 picks. With Paul George and Carmelo Anthony joining the fray, and decent role players such as Patrick Patterson coming onboard to shore up the Thunder's shooting, many expected Westbrook to replace some of his volume scoring, with higher efficiency. Instead of producing at the top 5 level in which he was drafted, Westbrook is currently ranked in the 40s on Yahoo mostly due to his 40% field goal percentage on 19 shots per game, and a pedestrian 72% from the free-throw line. While this lack of elite production may be seen as simply early seasons struggles, I don't think anyone expected this type of drop-off after an MVP clinching campaign.

Gorgui Dieng, PF/C, Minnesota Timberwolves

While Dieng may not be a house hold name, for the past two seasons he was considered an elite fantasy producer among competitive fantasy basketball owners. As a big man who could contribute in every category while not hurting you in any category, many owners brushed off the Timberwolves signing Taj Gibson and used a mid-round pick to have him on their team. It did not take very long however for owners to realize that Taj Gibson was a more disruptive force than he was given credit for. Dieng is only averaging 16.7 minutes per game, which is the lowest minutes he has received since his rookie year. While his per 36 numbers are in line with his career production, his blocks took a very steep drop from 1.3 blocks per 36, to an almost non-existent .2 per game. A big man that was once known for shooting above 80% from the free-throw line, is now shooting a much less impressive 74% on freebies. While there is still hope of a resurgence, many owners might consider a turn-around as too little, too late.

 

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis

 

NBA DFS Premium Subscription

Get a free trial of our powerful NBA Premium Tools. Our famous DFS Cheat Sheets, and NBA Lineup Optimizer & Generator with daily matchup projections.

Win more. Try the most advanced lineup optimizer in daily fantasy basketball.

Sign Up Now!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 50% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Austin Ekeler

100 Percent Medically Cleared for Football Activities
Darius Slayton

Undergoes Core-Muscle Surgery, Expected to be Ready for Camp
Keaton Mitchell

Dynasty Value Rising Heading into 2026
Jadarian Price

Not Expected to Lead Seahawks' Backfield Right Away
Isaiah Bond

Dynasty Value Fading Following NFL Draft
James Cook

Can James Cook Continue to Ascend in 2026 and Beyond?
Lamar Jackson

Remains an Elite Dynasty Quarterback Despite Injury-Marred 2025
Kyle Williams

' Dynasty Value Limited by Uncertain Role in New England
Luis Robert Jr.

Officially Placed on Injured List
Isaac TeSlaa

Still a Dynasty Depth Piece Worth Holding
Pat Bryant

Still a Quality Buy-Low Despite Crowded Broncos Receiver Room
Luis Robert Jr.

Likely to Land on the Injured List
Troy Franklin

Dynasty Expectations Low for Troy Franklin
Trevor Lawrence

Dynasty Value Remains High Despite Quiet Jaguars Offseason
Courtland Sutton

Dynasty Value Unaffected by NFL Draft
Clayton Keller

Sets Up Two Goals Wednesday Night
Pavel Dorofeyev

Nets Special Hat Trick in Game 5 Win
Dan Vladar

Backstops Flyers to Series-Clinching Win
Leon Draisaitl

Oilers to Use Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl on Same Line Thursday
Brady Tkachuk

Remains Committed to Senators
Arttu Hyry

Could Be Available Thursday
James Harden

Contributes in All Areas Wednesday
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Plays Key Role in Game 5 Win
RJ Barrett

Records First Double-Double of the Season
Austin Reaves

Contributes 22 Points Off the Bench in Game 5 Loss
LeBron James

Regains Scoring Touch Wednesday
Paolo Banchero

Scores 45 Points in Game 5 Loss
New York Jets

Jets Pick Up Will McDonald's Fifth-Year Option
Azeez Al-Shaair

Texans, Azeez Al-Shaair Agree to Three-Year Extension
KC Concepcion

Looking to Build Chemistry With Second-Year QB
Deshaun Watson

"Looks Great," Leading QB Battle After First Minicamp?
George Pickens

Signs the Franchise Tag on Wednesday
Cade Cunningham

Helps Pistons Survive With 45-Point Effort
Jock Landale

to Remain Unavailable in Game 6
Peyton Watson

to Remain Out Thursday
Austin Reaves

Cleared to Return Wednesday
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Remains Without Timetable for Return
Brandon Nimmo

Leaves Wednesday's Game With Hamstring Tightness
Brandon Ingram

Won't Play in Second Half Wednesday
Aaron Gordon

Questionable for Game 6
Josh Hart

Iffy for Game 6
Joel Embiid

Likely to Play in Game 6
Bones Hyland

Could Miss Game 6
Kevin Huerter

Not Available for Game 5
Jonathan Isaac

Remains Out for Game 5
Franz Wagner

Won't Play in Game 5
MLB

Phillies-Giants Postponed on Wednesday Due to Rain
Nils Lundkvist

to Remain Out Thursday
Jonas Brodin

Uncertain for Game 6
Matvei Michkov

Expected to Rejoin Flyers Lineup Wednesday
Noah Ostlund

Set to Miss "a Period of Time"
Viktor Arvidsson

Doubtful for Game 6 Against Sabres
Barrett Hayton

Close to Returning
Charle-Edouard D'Astous

a Game-Time Call Wednesday
Brandon Aiyuk

Decision Could Come in Late May
Bryce Young

Panthers Pick Up Bryce Young's Fifth-Year Option
MLB

Orioles-Astros Game Postponed Due to Inclement Weather on Wednesday
Gary Woodland

Riding Momentum Into Cadillac Championship
Jordan Spieth

Brings Boom-or-Bust Potential to Cadillac Championship
Adam Scott

Looks Poised for Another Strong Finish at Doral
Maverick McNealy

Needs Approach Game to Click at Doral
George Springer

Being Activated From Injured List, Won't Start on Wednesday
Wyatt Langford

Expected to be Activated on Saturday
Garrett Crochet

Goes on Injured List With Shoulder Inflammation
CFB

Jameson Williams Files Lawsuit Against NCAA, SEC, Big Ten
Junior Caminero

Back in Wednesday's Lineup After Injury Scare
Harry Hall

Volatility Continues at Cadillac Championship
Tommy Fleetwood

Looks to Rebound at Trump National Doral
Pierceson Coody

a Risky Value Play at Cadillac Championship
Deebo Samuel Sr.

Will Deebo Samuel Sr. Find a New Team Before Training Camps Open?
Jalen Johnson

Collects Second Playoff Double-Double
Akshay Bhatia

Offers Upside with Risk at Cadillac Championship
Jalen Brunson

Pours 39 Points on Hawks in Game 5
Connor McDavid

Extends Multi-Point Streak Tuesday
Justin Thomas

a Scary Proposition at Cadillac Championship
Nikolaj Ehlers

Hurricanes Hope to Have Nikolaj Ehlers Back for Second Round
Alexander Nikishin

Could Be Available in Round 2
Victor Hedman

Logs Full Practice
Scottie Scheffler

The Leading Favorite at Cadillac Championship
Noah Ostlund

Likely to Miss Time Due to Lower-Body Injury
Arttu Hyry

Unlikely to Play Thursday
Collin Morikawa

Still a Smash Play at Cadillac Championship
Jonas Brodin

Spotted Using Crutches After Game 5
Viktor Hovland

Showed at Augusta He Can Finish Well
Sepp Straka

Attempting to Finish Better in Miami
PGA

J.J Spaun Enduring Roller Coaster Start to 2026
Min Woo Lee

Seeks to Make Adjustments at Cadillac Championship
Max Homa

May Struggle at Old Doral This Weekend
Ben Griffin

Rebounds From Rough Stretch as Miami Looms
Shane Lowry

Searching For Answers at Cadillac Championship
Russell Henley

Daunting Test at Doral Likely Not a Place For Russell Henley
Justin Rose

Returns to Action After Finishing Third at Masters Tournament
Hideki Matsuyama

Has The Approach Game to Win at Cadillac Championship
Junior Caminero

Suffers Jaw Contusion on Tuesday, Considered Day-to-Day
Pete Fairbanks

Going on Injured List With Nerve Irritation
Spencer Strider

to Make Season Debut This Weekend
Roope Hintz

Likely to Miss Entire First-Round Series
Luis Robert Jr.

Out on Tuesday With Back Tightness
Juan Soto

Dealing With Forearm Tightness, Serving as DH on Tuesday
CFB

Brendan Sorsby Facing Potential Permanent Loss of Eligibility
Manny Machado

Departs Early With Undisclosed Injury on Monday
Philadelphia Phillies

Phillies Fire Manager Rob Thomson
Elmer Rodríguez

Yankees to Promote Top Pitching Prospect Elmer Rodriguez
Pete Fairbanks

Pulled on Monday With "Unusual Sensation" in his Thumb
Giancarlo Stanton

Heading to Injured List With Calf Strain
Travis Bazzana

Guardians Calling Up Former First Overall Pick Travis Bazzana
Will Smith

Back in Action in Series Opener Against Marlins
Carson Hocevar

Scores his First Career NASCAR Cup Series Victory at Talladega
Chris Buescher

Misses out on Winning at Talladega by Finishing Second
Alex Bowman

Earns First Top-Five Finish at Talladega Since Returning From Injury
Chase Elliott

Scores A Fourth-Place Finish at Talladega
Zane Smith

Nabs First Top-Five Finish of the 2026 Season at Talladega
CFB

Texas Tech Quarterback Brendan Sorsby Enters Rehab
Youssef Zalal

Suffers Unanimous-Decision Loss
Aljamain Sterling

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Norma Dumont

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 116
Joselyne Edwards

Scores Upset Win
Alexander Hernandez

Gets Dominated
Alexander Hernandez

Rafa Garcia Dominates Alexander Hernandez
Adrian Luna Martinetti

Unsuccessful In His UFC Debut
Davey Grant

Gets Back In The Win Column
Denny Hamlin

Is Denny Hamlin Worth Rostering for Talladega?
NASCAR

Is Bubba Wallace Playable in Talladega DFS Lineups?
Tyler Reddick

Stay Away From Tyler Reddick at Talladega
Ryan Blaney

Can Ryan Blaney Shake Off The Bad Luck at Talladega?
Austin Cindric

Could Contend For Another Talladega Win
Kyle Busch

an Easy DFS Pick at Talladega
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

. a High-Risk, High-Reward Pick at Talladega
Todd Gilliland

a Sleeper to Watch at Talladega
Brad Keselowski

Is Brad Keselowski Worth Rostering for Talladega Lineups?
Chase Briscoe

Could Chase Briscoe be A Sneaky Tournament Play for Talladega Lineups?
Christopher Bell

Should DFS Managers Trust Christopher Bell at Talladega?
Ty Gibbs

Is A DFS Risk for Talladega Lineups
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF