X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

DraftKings NBA DFS Picks for Today (Monday, 11/11/24): Daily Fantasy Basketball Advice

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - Oklahoma City Thunder, NBA DFS, Fantasy Basketball

Zach's top DraftKings NBA DFS picks for today, Friday, 11/11/24. His favorite daily fantasy basketball lineup sleepers and value picks for DraftKings DFS.

It was another successful Sunday, as I had my second GPP takedown in three days. I have to watch myself tonight to make sure I don't put more in play than I usually would (bankroll management, baby), but we have a fun five-game slate to break down tonight. For FanDuel picks, click here for Thunder Dan's breakdown!

Chet Holmgren's hip injury yesterday is going to really tell the tale of how to attack this slate. Chet is out for 8-10 weeks with a hip fracture and the complete lack of big men on OKC's roster poses a problem with how they'll attack Ivica Zubac.

We have some other tight rotations to get into, so let's see the picks for today. Be sure to follow us at RotoBaller, and hop into the Discord as we're discussing all facets of DFS all day long! Good luck tonight!

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 50% off using code SUMMER! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

DraftKings NBA DFS Core Picks

Brandon Ingram, NO - PG/SF ($8,600)

Brandon Ingram officially starts his run as the alpha of the Pelicans for the foreseeable future. Zion Williamson is out indefinitely, joining C.J. McCollum, Dejounte Murray, Herb Jones, and Jordan Hawkins on the sidelines. As a result, we're going to see a very concentrated offense against the Nets tonight.

In this scenario, Ingram has a 38.9% usage rate and a 38.6% assist rate. Before the recent blowout at the hands of Orlando, Ingram has been over 31 minutes in every game so far this season, and averaging over 34 in his last four contests.

With a DK average of 39.6 PPG, Ingram is a rock-solid cash play on a short slate, with a 50-point upside if the game stays close.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC - PG ($10,000)

Thunder C Chet Holmgren only got through five minutes of action before injuring his hip. He was quickly ruled out in the second quarter and we have to imagine that his status tonight is more on the doubtful side than questionable.

Gilgeous-Alexander is having another elite season for the first-place Thunder, averaging 26-6-6 along with 1.4 steals per game. With Holmgren off the court this year, SGA has a 38% usage rate in 119 minutes, and a full game of this should extend his upside into the high 50s-low 60s.

It's not the best matchup against the Clippers who are fifth in defensive efficiency, but these two teams are top ten in pace and the score should be competitive (OKC -5).
https://twitter.com/SICscore/status/1855791940178256070

Alperen Sengun, C - HOU ($7,900)

Death, taxes, and centers against Washington. After a 2023 season where the Wizards ranked dead last in rebounding rate, they're 28th so far this year and allowing the seventh most FPPG to opposing centers. Enter the Goon...

Alperen Sengun is driving the production in the Houston offense, especially with Fred VanVleet struggling in the early going. Sengun is averaging 41 DK PPG, which is just over 5x his DK salary. This game carries blowout risk (HOU -14), so fading Sengun in GPP might make sense, but he should have no problem getting there in cash even if it's over three quarters.

Others Under Consideration: Victor Wembanyama - C ($10,500), De'Aaron Fox - PG ($8,500), Donovan Mitchell - PG/SG ($8,200)

 

DraftKings NBA DFS Tournament Pivots

James Harden, LAC - PG ($9,800)

OKC has the best defense in the league, and it's not remotely close. Their 94.7 team defensive rating is almost nine full points ahead of the second-place team (Golden State), and Harden is almost certainly going to get the individual matchup of Lu Dort, making his job difficult.

So why are going here? On a five-game slate, ownership is going to be more condensed than usual, and it's possible people will shy away from Harden so much that he'll garner single-digit ownership. This is significant for someone who is averaging almost a triple-double and over 50 DK PPG.

The (possible) lack of Chet Holmgren in the interior should help Harden's drive success rate, and he has the prospect of being the highest-scoring player on the slate despite the most difficult matchup.

Oh hey, there's that GPP win from last night!

Evan Mobley, CLE - PF/C ($7,600)

The highest-scoring fantasy player on the 11-0 Cavs has not been Donovan Mitchell or Darius Garland. It's very quietly been Evan Mobley, averaging 38.7 DK PPG, three full notches higher than Mitchell. Early indications are that ownership will flock to Mitchell and Garland in this game, making Mobley an amazing pivot if that holds.

This is the highest-scoring game of the night by over 11 points with a 237.5 O/U, and the Cavs being on the road should keep the blowout risk in check. Cleveland is fourth in pace and Chicago is first which should lead to scoring opportunities aplenty.

The Bulls have also allowed the second most blocks per game, and Mobley is once again contributing well in that category (1.8 blocks per game).
https://twitter.com/cavs/status/1855445644493590757

Others Under Consideration: Damontas Sabonis - C ($9,500), Ivica Zubac - C ($8,000), Cam Thomas - SG/SF ($7,400), Fred VanVleet - PG ($6,800)

 

Want more NBA DFS tools and exclusive content? Check out our premium daily content from proven winner Will Priester! Grab an NBA season pass and get access to our daily projections, optimizer, Will's personal picks, props, advice, and VIP chat rooms. Use promo code BALLER at checkout to save 10%

 

DraftKings NBA DFS Value Picks

Jose Alvarado, NOP - PG ($6,200)

Brandon Ingram is the obvious go-to for the short-handed Pelicans, but it's Jose Alvarado who has been the biggest beneficiary from a rate standpoint this season. With all the players sidelined this year, Alvarado has enjoyed a team-high usage boost of 9.4%, bringing his actual rate to 28.6%.

Over the past two games, Alvarado has played 35 minutes in each contest and averaged 43.5 DK PPG. He's shooting an impressive 44% from beyond the arc, and his role should continue to be sky-high for the immediate future. DK is being slow to price him up, so take the gift while we can.

Brandon Boston Jr., NOP - SG/SF ($5,700)

Brandon Boston is the Pelican that DK has targeted the most in its pricing algorithm. He's gone from $4,400 last game to $5,700 tonight, but he's still more than cheap enough to put into your cash or GPP lineups. Over the past three games, Boston has played 37, 38, and 38 minutes and taken 43 shots.

Brooklyn has been far more vulnerable to the three since trading away Mikal Bridges, allowing the fifth-most 3PA and the seventh-highest 3PT%

Isaiah Joe, OKC - SG ($3,600)

This is a pure speculation play at a low price tag. Isaiah Joe started the second half in place of Chet Holmgren, and if he does so again he's a fine value play you can use to fit multiple studs into your lineups on a short slate.

Joe has been playing a regular role anyway for the Thunder, with consistent minutes in the low- to mid-20s. If he starts again we may see him get up near 30, which is more than enough to pay off his price tag even though he's a low-usage guy.

If you're aiming for a 5x floor in cash games, Joe only needs 18 DK points to pay that tag off. Anything else is gravy.

Others Under Consideration: Lu Dort - SG/SF ($4,100), Nic Claxton - C ($5,700), Stephon Castle - PG/SG ($4,900), Jeremiah Robinson-Earl - PF/C ($4,500)

 

Today's Top NBA DFS Game Stack

Cavaliers at Bulls (237.5 O/U)

This is the game to target on a short slate, as it laps the field as far as both having the highest total on the slate as well as featuring two of the fastest teams in the NBA. Cleveland is fourth in pace factor and Chicago is tops in the league.

All of Donovan Mitchell, Darius Garland, Evan Mobley, and Jarrett Allen are in play, and the best way to stack them is to see how ownership settles in. Generally, I would recommend a max-one of Allen/Mobley and a max-one of Mitchell/Garland, but you can play a little fast and loose with that on a shorter slate.

Caris LeVert is also playable with a 30-minute role off the bench as Chicago allows the third most bench points in the league.

For Chicago, Nikola Vucevic meets the tough Cleveland interior, so it's best to stick with the wings. Zack LaVine once again has a questionable tag, but it looks more like he's probable. This muddies up the usage a bit more, but it also spreads out the ownership enough that you can gain leverage a bit easier by picking the right one.

All four Chicago stars have a very similar usage rate (in the 22-24% range), but Josh Giddey's 36% assist rate far outstrips the rest. Even with fewer minutes, he possesses the best per-dollar upside of the four.

 

My Favorite NBA DFS Picks for Today

Here is where I leave you with some of my favorites.

  • My favorite OVERALL play on the slate: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
  • My favorite CASH play on the slate: Brandon Ingram
  • My favorite GPP play on the slate: James Harden
  • My favorite VALUE play: Jose Alvarado


Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy basketball mobile app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, lineup notifications & DFS articles. All free!

NBA DFS News and Injury Alerts

More DFS Lineup Picks and Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Brice Matthews

Joining Astros
MLB

White Sox-Guardians Postponed on Thursday
Brandon Aiyuk

Likely to Begin Season on PUP List, but Not Ruled Out for Week 1
Jameson Williams

Not in the Team's Long-Term Plans?
Tallison Teixeira

Set For His First UFC Main Event
Micah Parsons

Plans to be Present for Start of Training Camp
Derrick Lewis

Set To Headline UFC Nashville
Ikem Ekwonu

Next Up for Extension in Carolina?
Jalen Thompson

Heading into Last Year With Cardinals?
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Najee Harris

Suffers Eye Injury in Fireworks Mishap
Stephen Thompson

Returns At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Calvin Kattar

In Dire Need Of Victory
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere A Favorite At UFC Nashville
Nate Landwehr

Aims To Bounce Back
MMA

Austen Lane Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Vitor Petrino

Set For His Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Set To Open Up UFC Nashville Main Card
Junior Tafa

Set For Light-Heavyweight Bout
Alex Bregman

Will Return to Red Sox This Weekend
Chris Sale

Braves Won't Consider Trading Chris Sale
Clarke Schmidt

to Undergo Season-Ending Elbow Surgery on Friday
Nick Nash

Unlikely to Make Falcons Active Roster
Lane Johnson

in No Rush To Retire
Jalen Williams

Signs Contract Extension With Thunder
Blake Corum

has "Gotten His Speed Back"
Jarquez Hunter

Picking Up Rams Offense Quickly
Alijah Martin

Agrees to Two-Way Deal With Raptors
Tristan Vukcevic

Set to Return to Washington
Kirk Cousins

Feels Misled by Falcons
Bijan Robinson

Says Falcons Have "Outlandish Goals" for the Running Game
Luther Burden III

Bears Expect Luther Burden III to be Ready for Training Camp
Cole Kmet

an Unlikely Trade Piece
Tony Pollard

Titans Hope to Balance Rushing Attack With Tony Pollard, Tyjae Spears
Byron Buxton

Sitting Thursday
Quentin Johnston

Not Assured of Starting Role
Cordarrelle Patterson

on the Roster Bubble in Pittsburgh?
Shedeur Sanders

Not Assured of Roster Spot in Cleveland?
Wan'Dale Robinson

Hoping For More Downfield Opportunities
Anfernee Simons

Celtics Are "Actively Trying to Trade" Anfernee Simons
NBA

Alex Ducas Heading to Australia
Dominick Barlow

Inks Two-Way Deal With 76ers
Jordan McLaughlin

Spurs Re-Sign Jordan McLaughlin to One-Year Deal
Dylan Harper

Out Thursday, Expected to Play Saturday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Homers Twice on Wednesday
Mike Trout

Homers Twice in Win Over Rangers
Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Leads Yankees to Victory
Salvador Perez

Crushes Two Homers in Win
Cleveland Browns

Greg Newsome on the Trade Block?
VJ Edgecombe

Diagnosed with a Sprained Thumb
Zach Tom

An Extension Candidate in Green Bay
Devin Booker

Agrees to Extension with Phoenix
Trevor Williams

to Undergo Season-Ending Elbow Surgery
Byron Buxton

Exits After Hit-by-Pitch, X-Rays Negative
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Playing on Wednesday
Alex Bregman

has "Really Good Chance" to Return Before All-Star Break
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Expected to Return on Friday
Walter Clayton Jr.

Leads Jazz to Summer League Win
Carter Bryant

Struggles in Summer League Loss
Kyle Filipowski

Drops a Double-Double in Summer League Action on Tuesday
Oklahoma City Thunder

Malevy Leons Logs Impressive Summer League Outing on Tuesday
Dalton Knecht

Collects 25 Points in Lakers Summer League Win
Los Angeles Lakers

Darius Bazley Drops 27 Points in Summer League on Tuesday
Gary Woodland

Looking to Find Rhythm at Scottish Open
Aaron Rai

Brings Consistent Play to Scottish Open
Maverick McNealy

a Solid Value Play at Scottish Open
Aldrich Potgieter

Making Scottish Open Debut
Tom Kim

Looks to Rebound at Scottish Open
Brian Harman

a Safe Option at Scottish Open
Luke Clanton

a Sneaky Value Play at Scottish Open
Sam Burns

Looking to Stay Hot at Scottish Open
Chet Holmgren

Agrees to Rookie Max Extension
Alex Bregman

Not Returning Wednesday
Jhoan Duran

Unavailable Due to Illness
Shane McClanahan

Tosses Clean Frame in First Rehab Appearance
Jacob Wilson

Day-to-Day After HBP
Nicolai Hojgaard

May Feel More at Home in Europe
Harry Hall

Showing Fine Form Heading to Scotland
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. to be Reassessed Wednesday
Ryan Fox

Playing Well Since Early Spring Struggles
Malaki Branham

Traded to Washington
Max Greyserman

has Solid History at the Genesis Scottish Open
Blake Wesley

Moves to Washington
Harris English

Aims High for Scotland Next
Corey Conners

Primed for the Genesis Scottish Open
Kelly Olynyk

on the Move Again
Daniel Brown

Attempts the Scottish Swing Again
Anthony Davis

Recovering From Eye Surgery
Jacob Bridgeman

Needs Putter to Work at Genesis Scottish Open
Cal Raleigh

Continues Historic Homer Pace Tuesday
Scottie Scheffler

Headlines Field at Genesis Scottish Open
Rory McIlroy

a Smart Play for Scottish Open
Adam Scott

Looking to Build on History at The Renaissance Club
NASCAR

Sepp Straka Not Likely to Find Momentum at Scottish Open
Justin Rose

Hopes Month Hiatus Helps Him Bounce Back at Scottish Open
NHL

Tyler Johnson Retires After 13 NHL Seasons
Jack McBain

Inks New Five-Year Deal with Mammoth
Cam York

Re-Signs with Flyers for Five Years
Jake Knapp

Fits the Mold for Success at The Renaissance Club
Ty Gibbs

Finishes Second at Chicago and Advances in In-Season Challenge
Alex Bowman

Defeats Bubba Wallace in In-Season Challenge, but Not Without Controversy
Alex Bowman

Bubba Wallace Wrecked by Alex Bowman Again, Putting Playoffs in Doubt
Michael McDowell

Throttle Failure Ends Michael McDowell's Chances to Win at Chicago
Austin Hill

Earns First NASCAR Cup Series Top Ten at Chicago
Tyler Reddick

Scores a Strong Third-Place Run at Chicago
Kyle Busch

Matches his Best Career Finish At Chicago on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

Fights his Way to a Top-5 Finish at Chicago
William Byron

has his Worst Weekend of the Season at Chicago
Sonny Milano

on Track to Be Ready for Training Camp
Jakub Dobes

Signs Two-Year Deal with Canadiens
NHL

Hendrix Lapierre Signs One-Year Deal with Capitals
Carson Hocevar

Should DFS Players Consider Carson Hocevar for Chicago Lineups?
Tye Kartye

Kraken Re-Sign Tye Kartye for Two Years
Ross Chastain

May be A Decent DFS Option for Chicago Lineups
Dmitri Voronkov

Signs Two-Year, $8.35 Million Extension with Blue Jackets
Ryan Preece

Should DFS Players Roster Ryan Preece at Chicago?
Austin Dillon

Is Too Great of A Risk to Add to Chicago Lineups
Zane Smith

Is A Value Play Worth Rostering At Chicago
Austin Hill

is A Favorable Value Option for Chicago DFS Lineups
Ty Dillon

Is Ty Dillon A Decent Driver to Add For NASCAR DFS At Chicago?
William Byron

Qualifying Crash Makes William Byron a Likely DFS Must-Have
Alex Bowman

Should Finish Well, but Probably Costs Too Much for Serious DFS Consideration
Joey Logano

Has Been Relatively Mediocre on Road Courses Lately
Ryan Blaney

Doesn't Really Fit Neatly into Optimal DFS Lineups
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF