RADIO
RotoBallers, welcome to Divisional Round of the daily fantasy football season. In this column, you will find my recommended DraftKings DFS Lineup Picks to target for the Divisional Round of the NFL season.
The goal is to identify players to start on DraftKings this week based on various factors including the opponent, the player's opportunity, analysis of the game's matchups, and the DraftKings price.
Let's find some DFS lineup sleepers, and win on DraftKings. Good luck in Divisional Round!
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DraftKings Quarterbacks - Divisional Round DFS Picks
Case Keenum - MIN vs NO (DK - $6,100)
Keenum is right in the middle in terms of pricing, so can provide a bit of flexibility when ti comes to roster construction. Pricing is very tight this week, and really all of the quarterbacks on this slate can put up multiple touchdowns, so you may want to go with one of the cheaper options. Keenum had multiple touchdowns in four of his last six games this season, an has shown the ability to get the Vikings off to a hot start. This game has an over-under of 46 points, making it one of the higher ones of the weekend, so you will want some exposure to it.
Matt Ryan - ATL @ PHI (DK - $5,700)
Ryan is playing in a hometown game, so if you like a good DFS narrative, this is the spot for you. The Falcons are getting hot right now, and there is a lot of talk around them making another playoff run for their shot at redemption. Ryan has 15 or more DraftKings points in three of his last four games, which is a nice bit of consistency compared to how he played in parts of this season. The Eagles have the 6th DVOA against the pass, so a bit of a tougher match up, but they are coming off a bye week. In the Wild Card round, we saw Ryan take advantage of a Rams defense who rested their starters and came out slow. So hopefully he will be able to do the same against this Philly team.
DraftKings Running Backs - Divisional Round DFS Picks
Dion Lewis - NE vs TEN (DK - $6,600)
The Patriots are favored by nearly 14 points in this game, which puts Lewis in a spot to succeed, especially in the second half. The game script is looking to be in his favor, so he should see plenty of touches later in the game, when they aren't pushing the ball downfield. It was announced that Rex Burkhead is officially listed as questionable for this game, but is making progress this week. With his status still being up in the air, Lewis will stand to gain from this, as he will be their primary running back. He has 24 or more rushing attempts in two straight games, along with 12 targets over that same span.
Derrick Henry - TEN @ NE (DK - $7,300)
It was announced earlier this week that DeMarco Murray will be out for yet another game, making Henry the primary back for the Titans. Last week the projected game script said the Titans would be down in the game, but Henry still saw 23 rushing attempts. We are looking at a very similar situation this week, as the Titans are 14 point underdogs. This may or may not turnout to be a factor in this game, but is still very much worth noting. The Patriots have the 32nd DVOA against the run, putting Henry in a great spot. We will likely see the Titans try and keep the Patriots offense off the field, and flip the game script on it's head, meaning more work for Henry.
DraftKings Wide Receivers -Divisional Round DFS Picks
Julio Jones - ATL @ PHI (DK - $7,900)
Jones is just a bit cheaper compared to Antonio Brown, so if you really need to save that money, Jones is a great choice. Last week he had nine receptions on 10 targets for 94 yards and one touchdown. He is up against the Eagles who have the 6th DVOA against the pass, but we have seen Jones overcome tough match ups time and time again. He has seen 10 or more targets in three straight games, with two of those being against great secondaries, showing he can be productive in tough spots.
Corey Davis - TEN @ NE (DK - $3,400)
Last week Davis ended with seven receptions, which was a team high for the wide receivers. He is super, super cheap this week, and with pricing being so tight, you have to take all the savings you can get. The Titans are up against the Patriots, who have the 21st DVOA against the pass, putting the Titans in a good spot. The game flow should be in favor of the Patriots, meaning the Titans will have to pass the ball a lot to catch up. At his price, Davis really only needs about 10 DraftKings points in order to reach 3x value, which is what you want for cash games.
DraftKings Tight End - Divisional Round DFS Pick
Zach Ertz - PHI vs ATL (DK - $5,800)
In the two full games that Foles started for the Eagles, he targeted Ertz 23 times, which is massive and something you want to key in on. Ertz is the second most expensive tight end on the board this weekend, but is over $1K cheap than Gronkowski, so if you can save a bit of salary and get great PPR value. It's unclear how much the Eagles are willing to trust Foles pushing the ball downfield, meaning we could be seeing plenty of easy dump down passes for Ertz.
DraftKings Defense - Divisional Round DFS Pick
Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints (DK - $2,900)
The Vikings are the third overall defense in the league this year, but they are one of the four cheapest on the slate this week. They are likely price in this manner due to being up against the Saints, who have one of the best offenses in the league. They are almost certainly going to give up some points, but can likely even it out with some sacks or turnovers. They are the best of the bottom four priced teams, and shouldn't pass up the savings the bring.
