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Dave's Divisional Round NFL player props picks and anytime touchdown wagers. Get his best Divisional Round NFL player prop bets with odds, expert analysis, and predictions. Top weekly NFL prop bets and winning picks.
The Wild Card Round is behind us, and the NFL playoffs march forward. The Divisional Round is traditionally the time when true contenders make their Super Bowl statements.
With just three weeks left in the NFL season, the time to make player prop bets is officially winding down. However, every week, there are NFL games that present an opportunity to make money. So let's not waste any more time chit-chatting and get to the fun stuff.
Make sure you're following RotoBaller on X and download the RotoBaller app for all your fantasy football and betting needs. Let's get into some of my favorite player props for the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs.
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Divisional Round Passing Prop Bets
Bo Nix OVER 0.5 Interceptions (-112) DraftKings Sportsbook
Risk .56 Units to Win .5 Units
Nix threw 11 interceptions in the regular season but was only picked off two times in his final five games. However, Nix ranked middle of the pack in Fantasy Points Data Suite's turnover-worthy throw rate (20th out of 45 quarterbacks with 100+ dropbacks). So despite his stats, he is prone to making poor decisions.
Buffalo tied for the 11th-most interceptions in the league this year. They confused Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence on multiple occasions last week, forcing him into a few bad throws. With the Broncos lacking high-end pass-catchers, it's easy to see Buffalo forcing Nix into at least one turnover.
Even though Buffalo's defense has holes in its secondary, look for the team to scheme up a few looks that will confuse Nix, which should result in us hitting this prop.
Brock Purdy UNDER 231.5 Passing Yards (-111) DraftKings Sportsbook
Risk 1.1 Units to Win 1 Unit
Purdy has faced the Seahawks defense twice this season. He threw for 277 and 127 yards in those two games. However, that 277-yard performance was all the way back in Week 1 and well before the Seattle defense started playing at an elite level. The Seahawks rank first in FTN Fantasy's defensive passing DVOA and have allowed the 10th-fewest passing yards per game.
Even though San Francisco could get wide receiver Ricky Pearsall back, the team lost star tight end George Kittle to a torn Achilles tendon last week. That loss will certainly hurt Purdy's outlook.
Seattle also boasts one of the league's top run defenses and could easily shut down Christian McCaffrey. That would make it difficult for San Francisco to move the ball on offense and would also negatively affect Purdy's outlook.
A lot is working against the 49ers QB1 here. That makes this a good time to fade Purdy in a tough matchup.
Divisional Round Rushing Prop Bets
Zach Charbonnet OVER 46.5 Rushing Yards (-114) FanDuel Sportsbook
Risk 1.14 Units to Win 1 Unit
Despite defensive coordinator Robert Saleh doing his best patchwork job, the 49ers' run defense remains a below-average unit. San Francisco currently ranks 31st in PFF's rushing defense grade, 25th in defensive rushing DVOA, and has allowed the 10th-most rushing yards to running backs this year.
The 49ers allowed 140 rushing yards to the Philadelphia Eagles last week. With Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold being prone to meltdown games in big spots, we likely see Seattle deploy a run-heavy game plan. That should mean plenty of opportunities for Charbonnet to eclipse this total.
Charbonnet also ran for 74 yards and a touchdown against San Francisco back in Week 18. There's nothing to suggest the 49ers' run defense has suddenly improved since that game. That means we should expect another strong outing from Charbonnet and the Seattle ground attack.
D'Andre Swift UNDER 13.5 Rush Attempts (-127) DraftKings Sportsbook
Risk .38 Units to Win .3 Units
This is a tough spot for the upstart Bears as they face a Rams run defense that is among the best in the NFL. Los Angeles ranks fifth in defensive rushing DVOA and third in PFF's rushing defense grade.
Even though Chicago will attempt to run the football, there is a strong possibility that it falls behind by multiple scores and is forced to abandon the run. That would be bad news for Swift.
Chicago will likely need quarterback Caleb Williams to consistently play well from start to finish to have a realistic shot at winning this game. I think we could be looking at a major come-down-to-earth spot for Chicago here after an emotional come-from-behind win against their biggest rival last week. Don't be surprised to see the Bears' offense struggle to move the football on offense in this game.
I prefer to fade Swift through his rushing attempts prop because while the Rams' run defense is very good, Swift is capable of ripping off a few chunk gains to eclipse his yardage total. That makes his rush attempts the safer play.
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Divisional Round Receiving Prop Bets
Colston Loveland UNDER 55.5 Receiving Yards (-110) Bet365 Sportsbook
Risk 1.1 Units to Win 1 Unit
Since I think this game is a letdown spot for Chicago, it also makes sense to fade Loveland. While that might look idiotic given Loveland's incredible play as of late, this is a difficult matchup for the Bears' young tight end.
Los Angeles ranks third in DVOA against tight ends and allows just 46.6 receiving yards per game to the position. I think we will likely see the Rams try to eliminate the off-script plays from Caleb Williams and dare him to beat them from the pocket. That will be problematic for Loveland, as Williams has been very erratic from the pocket throughout the season.
This all makes it an ideal time to hop off the Loveland train. I would play this number down to 50.5 for a full unit.
Brandin Cooks OVER 28.5 Receiving Yards (-117) NOVIG Sportsbook
Risk .59 Units to Win .5 Units
Cooks was a late-season addition to the Bills' roster. He eclipsed 100 receiving yards in a Week 17 game against the Philadelphia Eagles and showed he could still be a difference maker. Cooks also had several key receptions in last week's 27-24 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars.
BRANDIN. COOKS.
📺: CBS pic.twitter.com/gbfzrsZLw3
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) January 11, 2026
While Cooks does draw a tough matchup against a Broncos defense that ranks seventh in PFF's pass coverage grade, this is a low total. With Josh Allen's penchant for breaking the pocket and creating off-script plays downfield, Cooks could eclipse this total on just one catch.
I would expect to see Cooks remain involved in the Buffalo offense, as his speed springs an element to the Bills' passing game that's been sorely missed. I think he could post another surprise effort in this game, so I'll take a small stab at him to surpass this low yardage total. I also think the over on Cooks' longest reception prop (17.5 yards) is a good look.
Divisional Round Anytime Touchdown Bets
Bo Nix Anytime Touchdown (+320) Bet365 Sportsbook
Risk .5 Units to Win 1.6 Units
While Nix is prone to making poor decisions as a passer, he is also capable of producing plays with his legs. Buffalo has been vulnerable to mobile quarterbacks throughout the season. With their run defense being one of the worst in the league, this could be an ideal spot for Denver to utilize Nix more as a rusher.
If that's the case, this is a great matchup for him to find the end zone. It also means these are great odds to take a chance on him doing so.
Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown (+128) NOVIG
Risk 1 Unit to Win 1.28 Units
Chicago ranks 28th in defensive rushing DVOA. The Bears also allowed the sixth-most rushing yards per game in the regular season. While Chicago only allowed nine rushing touchdowns to running backs this year, its run defense has not good.
With Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford nursing a finger injury, we could very well see Los Angeles turn to Williams and its ground attack to pick up the win here. That scenario feels highly likely, and it would mean Williams will have a great chance to score.
At plus money odds, this is a great time to take a shot on the Rams RB1.
Terrance Ferguson Anytime Touchdown (+600) DraftKings Sportsbook
Risk .2 Units to Win 1.2 Units
Ferguson is expected to return to the Rams lineup after missing last week's game with a hamstring injury. That's good news because he has shown flashes of talent throughout the season and is capable of producing big plays over the middle of the field.
Terrance gets his first career TD!
📺 @NFLNetwork | #RamsHouse pic.twitter.com/bTvMRBcJ9p
— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) October 19, 2025
Even though the Rams have been using a tight end rotation, Ferguson should still have a role and is a threat to score whenever the team is in the redzone or at the goal line.
Long Shot Props & Value Plays
Kenneth Walker III - Most Rushing Yards in the Divisional Round (+900) DraftKings Sportsbook
Risk .2 Units to Win 1.8 Units
Zach Charbonnet - Most Rushing Yards in the Divisional Round (+1500) DraftKings Sportsbook
Risk .1 Units to Win 1.5 Units
Divisional Round Props Summary
Here's a quick, handy recap of all the props I recommended in this article in one place!
- Bo Nix OVER 0.5 Interceptions (-112) DraftKings Sportsbook
- Brock Purdy UNDER 231.5 Passing Yards (-111) DraftKings Sportsbook
- Zach Charbonnet OVER 46.5 Rushing Yards (-114) FanDuel Sportsbook
- D'Andre Swift UNDER 13.5 Rush Attempts (-127) DraftKings Sportsbook
- Colston Loveland UNDER 55.5 Receiving Yards (-110) Bet365 Sportsbook
- Brandin Cooks OVER 28.5 Receiving Yards (-117) NOVIG Sportsbook
- Bo Nix Anytime Touchdown (+320) Bet365 Sportsbook
- Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown (+128) NOVIG
- Terrance Ferguson Anytime Touchdown (+600) DraftKings Sportsbook
Thanks for reading, and make sure you check back again before Sunday for updated info and more betting content from RotoBaller!
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