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Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Betting Picks - Today's Free MLB Best Bets, Odds, Predictions (8/29)

Bryce Harper - Philadelphia Phillies

Today's free MLB betting picks, odds, predictions for the Diamondbacks vs. Phillies on August 29, 2022. Our best bets and top picks for moneylines, run totals and more.

Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Monday August 29th, 2022.

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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

The Phillies take on the Diamondbacks on Monday August 29th at Chase Field, Arizona. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.

  • Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (72-56) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (59-67)
  • Date: Monday August 29th, 2022
  • Time: 9:40 ET
  • Venue: Chase Field, Arizona

 

Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis

As the Philadelphia Phillies travel to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks with a record of 72-56, placing them 3rd in the NL East division. Through 59 road contests, the Phillies come in with a mark of 33-26. In their previous games, the Phillies lost by a score of 5-0 to Pittsburgh. Philadelphia's overall series record is above .500, sitting at 20-17-3.

Making the start for Philadelphia, is Ranger Suarez. So far, Suarez has a record of 8-5 and an ERA of 3.38, placing him near the MLB average. So far, Suarez has given up just 10 home runs. Averaging just 0.75 allowed per 9 innings. In his previous outings, Suarez has struck out 2.27 batters for every issued walk. This includes averaging 4.63 K's per game.

Entering today's action, the Phillies features the 7th ranked scoring unit, averaging 4.63 runs per game. This includes posting a season long run differential of +79. Heading into play, the Phillies are the 9th ranked unit in team batting average. Combined, the team is batting .252. Over their last three games, the team is hitting .224. The team has also been strong in the power department, averaging 1.27 home runs per game ranks 6th. For the season, the team has one of the best hard-hit rates in the league at 41.4. Philadelphia's OBP of .315 places them 14th in the league, while the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .322.

 

Arizona Diamondbacks - Today's MLB Betting Analysis

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this road contest vs Philadelphia with a below .500 record (59-67). In the NL West division standings, the team ranks 4th. The Diamondbacks hope to avoid dropping below .500 at home, as they are currently 32-32 at Chase Field. In their last game, Arizona picked up a 3-2 win over the White Sox. So far, the team has won less than half of their series, going just 15-18-7.

For Arizona, Madison Bumgarner will look to pick up a win over Philadelphia, as he has a record of 6-13. With an ERA of 4.53, Bumgarner has had his struggles on the mound. Madison Bumgarner has had problems limiting base runners, made evident by a WHIP of 1.43. In today's game, he will look to do a better job limiting base runners, as his batting average allowed sits at .276. So far, Madison Bumgarner has a SLG% allowed of .466, including giving up 19 home runs. For the season, Bumgarner has picked up 97 strikeouts on a K rate of 17.0%.

Arizona's offense comes into this game averaging 4.33 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. In the team's 64 games at home, their run differential is 4. Through 126 games, the Diamondbacks have the 27th ranked batting average at .229. For the season, 37.4% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. The team's lineup is hitting home runs at a rate of 1.09 per game, good for 14th in the league. The team's current slugging percentage of .385 ranks near the league average. Up to this point, Arizona has been getting on base at a rate of just .307, placing them 24th in all of baseball. While their current wOBA of .305 is similar to the league average.

 

Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and Arizona, the Phillies are the heavy favorite at -188 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 65.28%. However, the MLB predictive model does not show enough value to take Philadelphia on the moneyline. Instead, its recommended to take the Diamondbacks on the runline at +1.5 runs.

Recommended Betting Pick: Diamondbacks +1.5 Runline



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