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Daily Fantasy Golf DraftKings Picks (PGA DFS): RBC Heritage

Welcome back RotoBallers! What a thrilling Masters that was! We don't need to rehash it, everybody knows Tiger won his fifth green jacket. Here are my quick hit thoughts though; Francesco Molinari will win a major this year. Tony Finau and Xander Schauffele got the experience they needed to get over the hump in the near future.

In this article, I will be providing you with my  DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for the RBC Heritage. My goal as always is to help put together your optimal daily fantasy golf lineups. You can also track my selections against every other fantasy golf expert on dailyoverlay.com

If anyone has lineup questions before the start of the tournament Thursday morning, feel free to contact me via Twitter @SethFinkTV.

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RBC Heritage - PGA DFS Overview

The PGA Tour heads up the coast to Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head Island, SC for the RBC Heritage.

This par-71 is one of the shortest course on tour playing to 7,100 yards. The course has four par-3's, 11 par-4's, and three par-5's. The par-5's are three of the four easiest holes on course. The course is a Pete Dye design.

The greens are Bermuda and average in speed. They are the smallest on tour.

 

Let's take a look at the stats:

Stat Harbour Town GL Tour Average
Driving Distance 267 283
Driving Accuracy 63% 61%
GIR Percentage 58% 66%
Scrambling Percentage 61% 57%
Average three-putts per round 0.39 0.56

 

The average cut line the last seven years has been plus-five.

Player Strokes Gained Total (last five years)
Matt Kuchar 46.24
Luke Donald 41.69
Russell Knox 36.24
Branden Grace 30.68
Kevin Kisner 27.24

The defending champion is Satoshi Kodaira. Previous winners are Wesley Bryan, Branden Grace, Jim Furyk, Matt Kuchar, Graeme McDowell, Carl Pettersson, Brandt Snedeker, and Furyk.

 

In Vegas, as of Tuesday on sportsbook.ag, Dustin Johnson is the 7.5/1 favorite. Francesco Molinari is 14-1, Bryson DeChambeau and Xander Schauffele are both 18-1.

My custom stat model will be focusing on the following,

 

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

High-Priced DFS Players 

There are six players this week priced above $10,000;

Dustin Johnson ($11,600) - Often the highest-priced player but he deserves to be this week. He's my number one ranked player. His stats are ripe and he comes into form off a runner-up at the Masters, T-6 at the Valspar, and T-5 at THE PLAYERS. I'd be shocked if he doesn't finish in the top-10. Last year he finished T-16.

Francesco Molinari ($11,300) - He was leading for the majority of the weekend at Augusta until the Rae's Creek on 12 got him. I wonder how he'll respond here. Molinari has played here the last three years; T-45, T-22, and 49th last year. His stats are fine and I know he'll avoid bogeys, but he usually brings his best at the biggest stage and quite frankly, this tournament isn't that.

Xander Schauffele ($10,900) - Another player I had last week who didn't disappoint with a runner-up. He played here last year finishing T-32 and he will improve upon with the way he's playing.

Bryson DeChambeau ($10,400) - He hasn't been playing great golf of late. His approach and around-the-green numbers aren't good. He also isn't a good wind player. I'm siding with the stats here despite two top-5's the last three years.

Matt Kuchar ($10,000) - The 2014 champion has seen his finishing position gradually worsen the last four years; fifth, T-9, T-11, and T-23 last year. Despite those final positions, he has all the stats and knows exactly how to play at this course. He does have the most stokes gained here the last five years.

 

 

Middle-Priced DFS Players

Patrick Cantlay ($9,700) - I really wasn't a fan of his coming into the Masters because I felt like he hadn't prove himself on the big stages, but he sure did on the week vaulting himself up to a T-9. He's finished T-3 and T-7 his two times playing here.

Jim Furyk ($9,400) - The 2015 champion hasn't seen great success the last two years having been cut and finishing T-70. But he is my second-ranked player for good measure; his stats are phenomenal. Furyk doesn't have the distance like he used to and he doesn't need it here. His accuracy will get the job done.

Webb Simpson ($9,300) - The Carolina native is fresh off a T-5 at the Masters. He's a great putter and is even better on Pete Dye courses. Simpson has made four consecutive cuts here and the last two years was T-11 and T-5.

Byeong Hun An ($8,200) - Number one in strokes gained around the green the last 24 rounds and also a good performer on Pete Dye courses. He most recently finished T-7 at the Texas Open and will look to build off a T-7 at this tournament last year.

Ryan Moore ($8,100) - He'll have plenty of birdie opportunities as he ranks seventh in approaching the green. He was T-16 here last year and off a third-place finish at the Texas Open.

Russell Knox ($7,700) - Third-most strokes gained here the last five years including a T-2 in 2016.

Luke Donald ($7,200) - The only reason I'm taking him is because he's a horse for the course. Despite being cut last year, he's had seven top-3's at this tournament.

 

Low-Priced DFS Players

Ryan Palmer ($7,000) - Three consecutive cuts made here with pretty good stats including the fact that he can play well in the wind.

Chris Kirk ($6,800) - Made the last four of five cuts here.

Satoshi Kodaira ($6,400) - The defending champ just finished 61st at the Masters. I just like the fact that he's the defending champ at this price.

 

Custom Rankings

 

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