🖥 CYBER WEEK - TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE CYBER
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Finding Daily Fantasy Basketball Value Picks and NBA DFS Lineup Sleepers

By Keith Allison [CC-BY-SA-2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Dmetri looks at different NBA DFS statistics, to provide daily fantasy basketball tips and advice for DraftKings or FanDuel, and find lineup value picks and sleepers.

We often hear that baseball is a game of numbers. Well, all sports are. Basketball, like the others, is filled with statistics that are the building blocks used when forming trends. This is all very, very relevant to Daily Fantasy.

Any given player can break out on any given night, however, in attempting to string together consistency, trends are the most important thing to look at in doing so.

DvP, Defense vs. Position, is a vital statistic to observe constantly for Daily Fantasy, while affecting so many other categories that could reflect on an individual performance. It isn't exactly the easiest thing to keep track of, but luckily our guys at RotoBaller have put together an invaluable tool that calculates DvP daily, along with other extremely useful statistics that serve as an incredible aid when selecting DraftKings and FanDuel DFS lineups. Let's take a look at the tool's function, and what each category on the list entails.

 

Using DvP (Defense vs. Position) for DFS

As listed above, Defense vs. Position calculates how effective and ineffective teams defend each position. This category sorts through each player on the card for that day and ranks them using their opponent. This comes in handy particularly when picking sleepers, those who aren't necessarily a solid pick on a nightly basis. For example, Anderson Verajao and Timofey Mozgov are rarely reliable DFS options, but when facing the Los Angeles Lakers, the team ranked 30th (dead last) in guarding centers, their value increases quite a bit.

This feature also lets you narrow down a team's performance over the last 15 days, while giving you a look at their rankings from the prior season. Since injuries occur and teams often slump and streak, being able to observe a team's recent struggles allows you to hone in on an even more predictable outcome.

Average points allowed by a team vs. a specific position is also calculated here.

DvP

 

Using 'Projection/Value' for DFS

Who doesn't want an estimation of how many fantasy points a specific player could post? It's always comforting when experts are predicting which players they think will break out more than others. The projection category is RotoBaller's way of letting viewers and Daily Fantasy participants in on our top picks of the night.

Projection is paired with Value, calculated using a player's projection and comparing it to their price. This feature gives you a loud bang for your buck, considering it's another inside look at who we think is and isn't worth their price, while predicting which of the lower priced guys will reach or exceed projection.

Projection:Value

 

'Usage Rate' for DFS Lineups

Usage Rate has been dubbed by RotoBaller as "DFS crack sauce." And for good reason, as it is the most important factor in placing in DFS tournaments. This column measures the percentage of a team's possession a player "uses" while on the floor. To put it in simpler terms, Usage Rate measures how involved a player is in their teams offense when on the court. Ceilings, Floors, and Upsides can all be predicted using a player's Usage Rate.

Injuries also play a big role in calculating Usage Rate. Does James Harden's rate increase with Dwight Howard on or off the court? How will the injury to Jimmy Butler affect how much Pau Gasol is now used? Has Chris Paul become the heaviest source of production in the absence of Blake Griffin? These are all questions that can be answered by observing the Usage Rate of each player. DeMarcus Cousins and Harden have two of the highest Usage Rate's, 33.06 and 32.2.

Usage

 

More Statistics for DFS Lineups

Trend

This simply measures whether a player is hot or cold. (An arrow pointed either up or down is the indication)

Fantasy Points Per Game

This, along with the next couple, is self-explanatory, but what should also be stressed is the time it would take in doing the math yourself. Most of the time we're not necessarily searching for the best, but for consistency. This category helps you do so.

Minutes Per Game

Everybody wants to select guys that see plenty of the floor each night. Minutes per Game can be pinned against Fantasy Points per Game to observe whether a player is worth drafting. A player that plays over 30 minutes a night doesn't always result in big fantasy points. Marcus Morris sees over 35 minutes a night and averages only 24.97 fantasy points. Lebron James plays around the same amount of time as Morris but averages 46.22 FPPG.

Fantasy Points Per Minute

This is another stat that helps in figuring out if a player who sees a bulk of minutes is worth starting. Each of the aforementioned categories can also be narrowed down further: Home/Away, DraftKings/FanDuel, Season/Last 15 Days/Last Season, and of course Position C, PF, SF, SG, G.

Granted, some of these stats can be found on DraftKings and FanDuel, but being able to access them all together is rare. Each stat builds and reflects on the next, aiding DFS participants in putting together the best possible lineup while scrutinizing every possible angle to success, examining so much more than just how often a player can put the ball in the hoop.

Overall

 

Try RotoBaller's Daily Fantasy Basketball Premium Tools

Our NBA Premium Subscription goes above and beyond standard DFS tools.

  • DFS Cheat Sheet with Lineup Picks: Get access to 10 deeply researched picks per cheat sheet, complete with a slew of advanced stats that are key to unlocking NBA player value and DFS success. Cheat Sheets are released three days a week for full NBA slates: Monday, Wednesday, and Friday
  • DFS Value Picks Tool: This cutting edge tool will help you find, sort and filter the best value and sleeper picks for each day of NBA DFS action. With premium stats like "Usage Rate", "Trend" and "Value", you will have a serious leg up on the competition.
  • Daily NBA Projections: Meticulously researched daily NBA DFS points projections for FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.


If you're already purchased your NBA DFS Premium Subscription, you can access it here.

 

Premium Tool Screenshots - Check It Out

Daily Projections, Trends & Value Picks



NBA DFS Lineup Picks & Cheat Sheet

Click here to see a full size version of the cheat sheet

 

Fantasy Basketball & NBA DFS Chat Room - Live Advice

 

[iflychat_embed id="c-11" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="320px"]

 

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Trey Murphy III

Will Return Tuesday Night
Yves Missi

Uncertain to Play Tuesday Against the Timberwolves
Zion Williamson

Questionable Against Minnesota
Neemias Queta

Set to Return on Tuesday
Derrick White

Will Play Tuesday Against New York
Quentin Grimes

Downgraded to Questionable on Tuesday
CFB

Five-Star Quarterback Jared Curtis Flips Commitment From Georgia to Vanderbilt
CFB

Florida Hiring Brad White as Defensive Coordinator
Kyle Schwarber

Giants Have Checked in on Kyle Schwarber
Willson Contreras

Willing to Waive his Full No-Trade Clause?
Brandon Aiyuk

49ers "Hopeful" Brandon Aiyuk Will Play in 2025
Brayden Point

Without Timetable for Return
Jake Walman

Still Out Tuesday
Mason Appleton

Misses Tuesday's Contest
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Good to Go Tuesday
Conor Garland

Out on Tuesday
Petr Mrazek

Considered Day-to-Day
Tyson Foerster

Hurt in Monday's Loss
Trey Murphy III

May Skip Another Game Tuesday
Zion Williamson

Back in Pelicans Lineup Tuesday
Draymond Green

Probable for Tuesday Night
Jimmy Butler III

Questionable to Play Tuesday
Derrick White

Likely Available Tuesday
Paul George

Listed as Questionable for Tuesday
Joel Embiid

Won't Play Against Wizards
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Carted Off With Hip Injury on Monday Night
Edwin Díaz

Mets Still Interested in Re-Signing Edwin Diaz
Devin Williams

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Mets
Cole Ragans

Red Sox Targeting Cole Ragans in a Trade?
CFB

Kentucky Hires Oregon Offensive Coordinator Will Stein As Head Coach
Davante Adams

Not Dealing With a Serious Injury
Brandon Miller

Unavailable on Monday
Kyler Murray

Surgery Not on the Table for Kyler Murray
Duncan Robinson

Absent Against Atlanta
Marvin Harrison Jr.

in Danger of Missing Week 14?
Jalen Duren

Back in the Lineup on Monday Evening
Noah Clowney

Cleared to Play Versus Charlotte
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Active On Monday
Danila Yurov

Won't Play on Tuesday
Michael Porter Jr.

Back in Action on Monday
Sam Merrill

Unavailable Versus Pacers
David Pastrnak

to Remain Out Tuesday
Alexandre Sarr

Won't Play Versus Milwaukee
Adam Gaudette

Iffy for Monday
CFB

Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
Logan Cooley

a Game-Time Decision Monday
Josh Norris

Available Monday
Neal Pionk

Remains Out Monday
Jimmy Snuggerud

to Miss Six Weeks After Wrist Surgery
Justin Herbert

Having Hand Surgery on Monday
Kyler Murray

Cardinals Won't Open Kyler Murray's Practice Window This Week
Sauce Gardner

Not a Candidate to Go on Injured Reserve
Jayden Daniels

Not Cleared for Contact, Decision on Week 14 Status Delayed
CFB

Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job
Trey Hendrickson

Doubtful to Return in Week 14
Tee Higgins

Still in the Concussion Protocol
Drake London

"has a Chance" to Play in Week 14
J.J. McCarthy

in Line to Start in Week 14?
Aaron Jones Sr.

Not Dealing With Serious Shoulder Injury, Likely Day-to-Day
Sam Darnold

Dealing With Ankle Injury, "Should be Good" for Week 14
CFB

Will Stein, Brian Hartline the Top Candidates for Kentucky Job?
CFB

Nebraska Fires Defensive Coordinator John Butler After One Season
CFB

UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
Sauce Gardner

Officially Week-to-Week with Strained Calf
CFB

Lane Kiffin to Make $13 Million Salary, Ties Kirby Smart
CFB

Buster Faulkner, Joey Halzle Candidates for Florida Offensive Coordinator Job?
CFB

Kentucky Officially Fires Mark Stoops
Justin Herbert

Has Metacarpal Fracture in Left Hand
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Week 14 Availability Up in the Air
VEG

Carter Hart Expected to Make Golden Knights Debut Tuesday
Pyotr Kochetkov

Remains Without Timeline For Return
Boone Jenner

Close to Returning
Lian Bichsel

Exits With Injury Sunday
Petr Mrazek

Injured in Sunday's Loss
Adam Fox

Placed on Long-Term Injured Reserve
Zach Ertz

Leads Washington in Receiving in Overtime Loss
James Cook

Handles Career-High 32 Carries for 144 Yards in Win
Justin Herbert

Planning to Play Through Broken Bone in Left Hand in Week 14
CFB

Lane Kiffin to be Introduced as LSU's Next Head Coach on Monday
CFB

Florida Poised to Land Jon Sumrall as Next Head Coach
CFB

Alex Golesh Taking Over Auburn Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Arkansas Expected to Hire Ryan Silverfield as Next Head Coach
Joel Hofer

Shuts Out Mammoth
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles
Dylan Cease

Agrees With Blue Jays on Seven-Year, $210 Million Deal
Anthony Rendon

Angels Could Buy Out Final Year of Anthony Rendon's Contract

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP