Chef's Special - NFL Best Bets for Week 9

November 8, 2020

Drew Deen's top expert betting picks for Week 9 of the NFL season. Drew finished the 2019 season with over 20 units in winnings and is already off to a 53-23 start in 2020 for over 42 units.

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A late NYG touchdown last week prevented an undefeated weekend of plays, but 4-1 keeps the heater alive and well.  Hitting 70% of plays on the season, and only having one week with a losing record has me excited to get back after it for week 9.  Please do me a favor, and share the article/picks with a friend if you have been making money week in, week out.

This week the cover movie/photo is The Longest Yard featuring Adam Sandler and Chris Rock.  Before getting too far into the post, please refer to this post as an introductory piece before continuing.  Also, be sure to check out the betting tools.

Introduction to Chef's Special Betting Picks

***Read only if it is your first week here***

This week I will layout a little more information than usual since it is Week 1.  Last year I handicapped the entire season and had a solid year finishing up 20+ units.  If you are new or unfamiliar with the terminology, I will explain (also use Google if you need it).

In a nutshell, it is a way to measure the size of a bet for players of all bankroll sizes.  For example, @Uncle_Leo may have a standard bet size of $10, @GarageGuyChase may have a standard bet size of $25, and @ThunderDanDFS may have a standard bet size of $50.

The weight of a unit would mean different financial gain for all of these players but tracks how well someone is doing betting as a sports bettor.  For all of you basic bois, let's use my results from last year as an example - see below:

• Example:  2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total Bets [7-2 on 4&5U plays]
• Mr. Uncle Leo would be the following:  22.5U x $10 = $225 in the green on the season
• Mr. Garage Guy would be the following:  22.5U x $25 = $562.50 in the green on the season
• Mr. Danny Boi would be the following:  22.5U x $50 = $1125 in the green on the season.

Everyone finished in the green.  However, Mr. Danny Boi made more financially than the others on his unit scale.  With that being said, I performed equally for all parties.

Drew Deen's (@ChefBoiRDeen) Week 9 Betting Card

Here, I will post my Week 9 picks.  Staying consistent with your unit size is crucial.  Without it, it will seem as if I am doing better or worse than I actually am because some wins/losses will be weighted differently than the others.

2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total [7-2 on 4&5U plays]

2020 NFL Best Bets (+42.2u) 53-23 Total [2-0 on 4&5U plays]

• 0-1.5U Risk Record:  34-18
• 1.51U - 3.99U Risk Record:  17-5
• 4-5U Risk Record:  2-0

Be sure to follow me on Twitter and join the RotoBaller Slack Chat.  If I have a play involving the Thursday Night game, like this week, I will post it in both places.  Last week we faded public in a few spots, and it paid off.  This week, I do like a few of the more "public" or obvious spots on the board.  Be sure to check back because the card can change or become more extensive Saturday night or Sunday morning.  Even if I don't change anything, like last week, this week or a future week could be different.   

• From Thursday on Twitter/Slack Chat - Packers/Texans 6pt Teaser - Risk 2.3U to win 2U
• Ravens/Colts U48 - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
• Chiefs/Texans 7pt Teaser - Risk 1.3U to win 1U
• Chargers/Raiders O51 - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
• Texans -6.5 vs Jaguars - Risk 1.15U to win 1U
• Texans/Chiefs/Bucs ML Parlay - Risk 1U to win 1.3U
• Broncos +4.5 vs Falcons - Risk 1.15U to win 1U
• Broncos/Chiefs 7pt Teaser - Risk 1.3U to win 1U
• Seahawks -2.5 vs Bills - Risk 1.8U to win 1.5U
• Chef's Yolo Parlay (Or play?) - none this week

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