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Chef's Special - NFL Best Bets for Week 8

Drew Deen's top expert betting picks for Week 8 of the NFL season. Drew finished the 2019 season with over 20 units in winnings and is already off to a 49-22 start in 2020 for over 39 units.

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Another week of NFL games and another week of winners last week with the bets going 9-3 bringing the season record to 49-22.  Thank you to those of you that have been reading and enjoying the heater for the NFL season.

As I mentioned in my DFS Tier Rankings, the cover photos/themes are on a one-week hiatus as I travel this weekend.  Adam Gase will have to carry the weight for a week until the normal routine resumes in Week 9.

Editor's Note: Steer clear of costly draft mistakes with RotoBaller’s expert Fantasy Football Bust analysis. We break down overvalued players, potential letdowns, and risky ADPs to avoid, so you can build a smarter, safer roster.

Before getting too far into the post, please refer to this post as an introductory piece before continuing.  Also, be sure to check out the betting tools.

 

Introduction to Chef's Special Betting Picks

***Read only if it is your first week here***

This week I will layout a little more information than usual since it is Week 1.  Last year I handicapped the entire season and had a solid year finishing up 20+ units.  If you are new or unfamiliar with the terminology, I will explain (also use Google if you need it).

In a nutshell, it is a way to measure the size of a bet for players of all bankroll sizes.  For example, @Uncle_Leo may have a standard bet size of $10, @GarageGuyChase may have a standard bet size of $25, and @ThunderDanDFS may have a standard bet size of $50.

The weight of a unit would mean different financial gain for all of these players but tracks how well someone is doing betting as a sports bettor.  For all of you basic bois, let's use my results from last year as an example - see below:

  • Example:  2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total Bets [7-2 on 4&5U plays]
  • Mr. Uncle Leo would be the following:  22.5U x $10 = $225 in the green on the season
  • Mr. Garage Guy would be the following:  22.5U x $25 = $562.50 in the green on the season
  • Mr. Danny Boi would be the following:  22.5U x $50 = $1125 in the green on the season.

Everyone finished in the green.  However, Mr. Danny Boi made more financially than the others on his unit scale.  With that being said, I performed equally for all parties.

 

Drew Deen's (@ChefBoiRDeen) Week 8 Betting Card

Here, I will post my Week 6 picks.  Staying consistent with your unit size is crucial.  Without it, it will seem as if I am doing better or worse than I actually am because some wins/losses will be weighted differently than the others.

2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total [7-2 on 4&5U plays]

2020 NFL Best Bets (+39.5u) 49-22 Total [2-0 on 4&5U plays]

  • 0-1.5U Risk Record:  30-17
  • 1.51U - 3.99U Risk Record:  17-5
  • 4-5U Risk Record:  2-0

As of right now, this is a much smaller card than usual, and all 1u plays. Be sure to check back Sunday morning.

  • Vikings +6.5 vs Packers - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
  • Raiders +3 vs Browns - Risk 1.3U to win 1U
  • Dolphins +3.5 vs Rams - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
  • Bears +4.5 vs Saints - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
  • Eagles/Bucs 7pt Teaser - Risk 1.3U to win 1U
  • Chef's Yolo Parlay (Or play?) - No play as of Saturday night - check back Sunday morning


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