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Chef's Special - NFL Best Bets for Week 17

Drew Deen's top expert betting picks for NFL Week 17. Drew finished the 2020 season with over 20 units in winnings and is 95-52 in 2020 for over 57 units.

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Welcome back and Happy New Year to all the RotoBallers.  Unfortunately, I was hit with a case of the 'Rona on the final day of 2020 so it still feels very much like 2020 to me.  With that being said, there is still NFL week 17 tomorrow and playoff football nears.  As I said in the DFS preview video, even if I'm feeling awful, the grind doesn't stop as long as I plan to submit a DFS lineup or bet.  If I can do that, I can get the article and content out to all of you.

As I anticipated, the card is smaller than usual this week with it being week 17.  I will definitely re-evaluate one more time in the morning and add any additional plays.

Holiday Special! Save 50% on any Premium Pass using discount code THANKS. Win more with our DFS, Betting and Season-Long Pass, get expert tools and advice from proven winners! GAIN ACCESS

Before getting too far into the post, please refer to this post as an introductory piece before continuing. Also, be sure to check out the betting tools.

 

Introduction to Chef's Special Betting Picks

***Read only if it is your first week here***

This week I will layout a little more information for those of you that are reading for the first time. Last year I handicapped the entire season and had a solid year finishing up 20+ units. If you are new or unfamiliar with the terminology, I will explain (also use Google if you need it).

In a nutshell, it is a way to measure the size of a bet for players of all bankroll sizes. For example, @Uncle_Leo may have a standard bet size of $10, @GarageGuyChase may have a standard bet size of $25, and @ThunderDanDFS may have a standard bet size of $50.

The weight of a unit would mean different financial gain for all of these players but tracks how well someone is doing betting as a sports bettor. For all of you basic bois, let's use my results from last year as an example - see below:

  • Example: 2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total Bets [7-2 on 4&5U plays]
  • Mr. Uncle Leo would be the following: 22.5U x $10 = $225 in the green on the season
  • Mr. Garage Guy would be the following: 22.5U x $25 = $562.50 in the green on the season
  • Mr. Danny Boi would be the following: 22.5U x $50 = $1125 in the green on the season.

Everyone finished in the green. However, Mr. Danny Boi made more financially than the others on his unit scale. With that being said, I performed equally for all parties.

 

Drew Deen's (@ChefBoiRDeen) Week 17 Betting Card

Here, I will post my Week 17 betting picks. Staying consistent with your unit size is crucial. Without it, it will seem as if I am doing better or worse than I actually am because some wins/losses will be weighted differently than the others.

2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total [7-2 on 4&5U plays]

2020 NFL Best Bets (+57.75u) 95-52 Total [3-0 on 4&5U plays]

  • 0-1.5U Risk Record: 62-42
  • 1.51U - 3.99U Risk Record: 30-10
  • 4-5U Risk Record: 3-0

As I anticipated, the card is smaller than usual this week with it being week 17.  I will definitely re-evaluate one more time in the morning and add any additional plays.  

Last Updated: Saturday 9:15 ET

  • Cowboys ML vs Giants - Risk 2.4u to win 2u
  • Jets +3 vs Patriots  - Risk 1.1u to win 1u
  • Vikings/Lions Under 54 - Risk 1.1u to win 1u
  • Bucs/Titans 6pt Teaser (Bucs -1, Titans -1 - Risk 1.1u to win 1u
  • Bucs/Seahawks 6pt Teaser (Bucs -1, Seahawks -1) - Risk 1.1u to win 1u
  • Seahawks/Titans 6pt Teaser (Seahawks -1, Titans -1) - Risk 1.1u to win 1u


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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Tetairoa McMillan

Expected to Play in Week 17 Despite Illness
Tetairoa McMillan

Added to Injury Report, Questionable to Play in Week 17
George Kittle

Highly Unlikely to Play in Week 17
Andrei Svechnikov

Extends Scoring Run With Three-Point Effort
Auston Matthews

Bags Three Points Saturday Night
Alex Laferriere

Records First Career Hat Trick
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Sustains Lower-Body Injury Saturday
Zach Werenski

Unlikely to Play Sunday
Ashton Jeanty

With the No. 1 Pick on the Line, Ashton Jeanty Still Expected to Play
Jake Evans

to Miss 4-6 Weeks
George Kittle

is a Game-Time Decision for Week 17
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Inks Eight-Year Extension
Ajay Mitchell

Cleared to Return Sunday
Bogdan Bogdanović

Bogdan Bogdanovic Ruled Out for Sunday
Kyshawn George

Iffy for Sunday
De'Anthony Melton

Sits Out First Leg of Back-to-Back
Jaxson Hayes

Unlikely to Play Sunday
Derrick Jones Jr.

to Return From Knee Injury Sunday
Jock Landale

in Danger of Missing Another Game Sunday
Vince Williams Jr.

Won't Play Sunday
Robert Williams III

Inactive on Sunday
Jerami Grant

to Sit Out Fifth Consecutive Game
Brandin Podziemski

Probable to Play Sunday
Jakob Poeltl

to Miss Another Game Sunday
RJ Barrett

Listed as Questionable for Sunday
Paul George

Probable for Meeting With Former Team
Joel Embiid

Won't Play on Sunday
Josh Hart

to Miss at Least Two More Games
Kevin Love

Resting on Saturday
Ace Bailey

Misses Saturday's Action
Mohamed Diawara

Starting on Saturday Night
Gary Trent Jr.

Sits Out Second Straight Game
Bam Adebayo

Ruled Out Again on Saturday
TreVeyon Henderson

Clears Concussion Protocol, Will Play in Week 17
Davante Adams

Downgraded to Doubtful for Week 17
Ryan McDonagh

Misses Saturday's Action
Jordan Kyrou

Jimmy Snuggerud Back for Blues Saturday
Tanner Jeannot

Misses First Game of the Season
Rasmus Dahlin

Won't Play on Saturday
Elias Pettersson

Ready to Return Saturday
Leo Carlsson

Available Against Kings
Jack Eichel

Still Out Saturday
Ilya Sorokin

Lands on Injured Reserve
Bo Horvat

Returns to Action Saturday
Kimani Vidal

Inactive on Saturday
George Kittle

Questionable to Face the Bears in Week 17
Maxx Crosby

Done for the Season
Calvin Austin III

Ruled Out with Hamstring Injury for Week 17
Harold Fannin Jr.

Expected to Play on Sunday
Jordan Love

Ruled Out with Concussion for Saturday's Contest
George Kittle

"Likely a Game-Time Decision" on Sunday Night
A.J. Brown

Returns to Practice on Friday
Josh Allen

Trending Toward Playing Vs. Philly
CFB

Michigan Targeting Kyle Whittingham as Next Head Coach
CFB

Texas Leading Rusher Quintrevion Wisner Set to Transfer
George Kittle

Remains Sidelined During Thursday's Practice
Malik Willis

Carrying Questionable Tag for Week 17 Tilt
Jordan Love

Questionable for Saturday's Contest
Lamar Jackson

Listed as Doubtful for Week 17
Amon-Ra St. Brown

to Suit Up on Christmas Day
Pete Fairbanks

Marlins Agree on One-Year Deal
Brooks Koepka

Leaving LIV Golf
Connor McDavid

Finishes Battle of Alberta With Five Assists
Karel Vejmelka

Battling Upper-Body Injury
Alexandre Texier

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Against Bruins
Alexander Nikishin

Dealing With Apparent Ankle Injury
Denver Barkey

Exits Early Tuesday
Ryan O'Hearn

Pirates Agree on Two-Year Deal
CFB

Jeff Brohm, Eli Drinkwitz "Names of Interest" for Michigan Head Coach
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Byrum Brown Entering Transfer Portal

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