Chef's Special - NFL Best Bets for Week 13

December 5, 2020

Drew Deen's top expert betting picks for NFL Week 13. Drew finished the 2020 season with over 20 units in winnings and is already off to a 69-42 start in 2020 for over 37 units.

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The cold streak is officially over going undefeated on the Thanksgiving slate and the Sunday slate.  There are a few spots I like this week, and I could possibly add two additional plays depending on injury news.  The Bears missed my card because Akiem Hicks is questionable and likely to miss the game, but he has not been ruled out.  The 49ers make for a good teaser option, but I want to get through the key number of 7 to get them +7.5, and right now they are favored by 1 (a 7 point teaser would get them only to +6 instead of a full TD+XP) so I am passing on that for now.  I may revisit both of these tomorrow.

With it being season-long fantasy playoff time, it only seems right to turn to one of my favorites of all time in Friday Night Lights.  The show has its corny moments for sure, but it gets the job done in so many ways.  Minus the whole cheating with your best friend's girlfriend thing in season one, Tim Riggins has to be one of the greatest characters of all time - especially with his redemption arc.  Also, Kyle Chander and Connie Britton play their roles of Head Coach and High School Counselor/Coach's wife to perfection.

Before getting too far into the post, please refer to this post as an introductory piece before continuing. Also, be sure to check out the betting tools.

Introduction to Chef's Special Betting Picks

***Read only if it is your first week here***

This week I will layout a little more information for those of you that are reading for the first time. Last year I handicapped the entire season and had a solid year finishing up 20+ units. If you are new or unfamiliar with the terminology, I will explain (also use Google if you need it).

In a nutshell, it is a way to measure the size of a bet for players of all bankroll sizes. For example, @Uncle_Leo may have a standard bet size of $10, @GarageGuyChase may have a standard bet size of $25, and @ThunderDanDFS may have a standard bet size of $50.

The weight of a unit would mean different financial gain for all of these players but tracks how well someone is doing betting as a sports bettor. For all of you basic bois, let's use my results from last year as an example - see below:

• Example: 2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total Bets [7-2 on 4&5U plays]
• Mr. Uncle Leo would be the following: 22.5U x $10 = $225 in the green on the season
• Mr. Garage Guy would be the following: 22.5U x $25 = $562.50 in the green on the season
• Mr. Danny Boi would be the following: 22.5U x $50 = $1125 in the green on the season.

Everyone finished in the green. However, Mr. Danny Boi made more financially than the others on his unit scale. With that being said, I performed equally for all parties.

Drew Deen's (@ChefBoiRDeen) Week 13 Betting Card

Here, I will post my Week 13 betting picks. Staying consistent with your unit size is crucial. Without it, it will seem as if I am doing better or worse than I actually am because some wins/losses will be weighted differently than the others.

2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total [7-2 on 4&5U plays]

2020 NFL Best Bets (+37.25u) 69-42 Total [2-0 on 4&5U plays]

• 0-1.5U Risk Record: 42-33
• 1.51U - 3.99U Risk Record: 25-9
• 4-5U Risk Record: 2-0

Be sure to check back before the slate begins just in case the card changes - especially with so much news breaking.

• Bengals/Dolphins Under 42.5 - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
• Colts -3 vs Texans  - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
• Jets +8 vs Raiders - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
• Teaser: Falcons +10 & Under 53 - Risk 1.3U to win 1U
• Chargers ML vs Patriots - Risk 1.8U to win 1.5U
• Rams ML vs Cardinals - Risk 1.2U to win 1U
• Packers/Jets 6.5 Pt Teaser (Packers -1.5, Jets +14.5) - Risk 1.2U to win 1U
• Packers/Dolphins/Vikings ML Parlay - Risk 2.1U to win 2U

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