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Drew Deen's top expert betting picks for Week 11 of the NFL season. Drew finished the 2019 season with over 20 units in winnings and is already off to a 59-34 start in 2020 for over 35 units.
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Welcome back to another edition of my betting piece for Week 11 of the NFL season. The Packers and Ravens really let us down last week and crushed our Teaser Bets, but overall it has been an incredible NFL betting season with a 59-34 record. See below for what I am targetting for the Week 11 slate.
This week is I was looking at the NFL standings and felt bad for all the NFC east fans out there. Naturally, it felt right to make Invincible the cover movie of the week for Week 11 of the NFL season. Mark Wahlberg stars in the movie which centers around a lifelong fan of the Philadelphia Eagles that is allowed the opportunity to try and out for the team. Be sure to give it a watch as you prepare your lineups and enter your betting tickets.
Editor's Note: The FFPC Playoff Challenge #2 is back with a massive $100,000 grand prize and $203,250 total prize pool, paying down to 100th place. Here's the deal: no salary cap, no draft, no pickups, no subs. Choose 8 players, and as NFL teams get knocked out so will your players, so choose your team wisely. The entries will sell out quickly, and registrations will close on Saturday January 17th at 4:30 pm ET . Don't wait - get your team now and end your fantasy football season with a shot at $100,000! Sign Up Now!Before getting too far into the post, please refer to this post as an introductory piece before continuing. Also, be sure to check out the betting tools.
Introduction to Chef's Special Betting Picks
***Read only if it is your first week here***
This week I will layout a little more information for those of you that are reading for the first time. Last year I handicapped the entire season and had a solid year finishing up 20+ units. If you are new or unfamiliar with the terminology, I will explain (also use Google if you need it).
In a nutshell, it is a way to measure the size of a bet for players of all bankroll sizes. For example, @Uncle_Leo may have a standard bet size of $10, @GarageGuyChase may have a standard bet size of $25, and @ThunderDanDFS may have a standard bet size of $50.
The weight of a unit would mean different financial gain for all of these players but tracks how well someone is doing betting as a sports bettor. For all of you basic bois, let's use my results from last year as an example - see below:
- Example: 2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total Bets [7-2 on 4&5U plays]
- Mr. Uncle Leo would be the following: 22.5U x $10 = $225 in the green on the season
- Mr. Garage Guy would be the following: 22.5U x $25 = $562.50 in the green on the season
- Mr. Danny Boi would be the following: 22.5U x $50 = $1125 in the green on the season.
Everyone finished in the green. However, Mr. Danny Boi made more financially than the others on his unit scale. With that being said, I performed equally for all parties.
Drew Deen's (@ChefBoiRDeen) Week 11 Betting Card
Here, I will post my Week 11 picks. Staying consistent with your unit size is crucial. Without it, it will seem as if I am doing better or worse than I actually am because some wins/losses will be weighted differently than the others.
2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total [7-2 on 4&5U plays]
2020 NFL Best Bets (+35.15u) 59-34 Total [2-0 on 4&5U plays]
- 0-1.5U Risk Record: 38-27
- 1.51U - 3.99U Risk Record: 19-7
- 4-5U Risk Record: 2-0
Be sure to follow me on Twitter and join the RotoBaller Slack Chat. If I have a play involving the Thursday Night game, like this week, I will post it in both places. Be sure to check back because the card can change or become more extensive Saturday night or Sunday morning.
- Browns ML vs Eagles - Risk 1.3U to win 1U
- Patriots ML vs Texans - Risk 1.25U to win 1U
- Dolphins -3 vs Broncos - Risk 1.9U to win 1.5U
- Colts ML vs Packers - Risk 2.5U to win 2U
- Bengals +1.5 vs Washington - Risk 2.2U to win 2U
- Vikings/Bucs ML Parlay - Risk 1U to win 1U
- Vikings/Chargers 7 pt Teaser (Vikings PK, Chargers -2.5) - Risk 1.3U to win 1U
- Vikings/Chiefs 6.5 Pt Teaser (Vikings -0.5, Chiefs -1) - Risk 1.2U to win 1U
- Bucs/Chiefs ML Parlay - Risk 1.05U to win 1U
- Chiefs/Dolphins ML Parlay - Risk 1U to win 1.1U
- Chef's Yolo Play - Bucs/Steelers/Colts/Dolphins/Vikings/ChiefsML Parlay - Risk 0.5U to win 3.65U
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