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Keith Eyster's top NBA prop bets for 11/26/25: expert player-prop picks, value plays, quick model edges and line-shopping tips for today’s slate. Check odds & get the edge.
Welcome back to another edition of RotoBaller's NBA Props! We have another Emirates NBA Cup day on the schedule this evening, with nine games in total and a little extra incentive on the table for each of the teams.
The injury report is littered with impactful names, with none bigger than Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who is listed as questionable with an illness for the defending champs. Giannis Antetokounmpo has a chance to return to action for the Bucks after missing the last four games, and the Heat are dealing with a cluster of injuries that could greatly impact a rotation that should include Tyler Herro for the first time in Cup play.
In this article, I will provide my favorite NBA player props picks for Wednesday, November 26th. Prop picks can range from individual stats—points, assists, rebounds, three-pointers made, and defensive stats —to combination props (Points + Rebounds + Assists = PRA). All odds and sportsbooks used are listed, but it's always a good idea to shop around, as odds change throughout the day as bets are placed. Let's get to the picks already. It's time to dive in!
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Today’s Best NBA Prop Bets & Player Props
Let’s take a look at the top player props for today’s NBA slate:
- De'Aaron Fox over 24.5 Points (-102 FD)
- Jalen Duren over 31.5 Points and Rebounds (-110 MGM)
- Josh Hart over 11.5 Rebounds and Assists (-135 Bet365)
- T.J. McConnell over 9.5 Points (-104 DK)
- Collin Gillespie over 14.5 Points (+100 FD)
- Vince Williams Jr. over 11.5 Rebounds and Assists (-118 FD)
De'Aaron Fox over 24.5 Points (-102 FD)
The Spurs continue to play without two of their up-and-coming young stars in Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle, but veteran De'Aaron Fox has stepped in to provide a stabilizing scorer in their absence. The 27-year-old guard is averaging 23.5 points per game and has scored at least 24 points in each of the team's last four games. He has been thriving in a high-volume role, posting a 28% usage rate while still maintaining strong efficiency with a 62.7% True Shooting mark.
Tonight's matchup sets up as another spot for him to remain highly productive. The Trail Blazers have played at a swift tempo all season, currently ranking third in pace, while their defensive rating has slipped to 20th in the league. Fox is the primary scorer in this current iteration of the Spurs, and he should excel with the plus matchup here tonight.
Jalen Duren over 31.5 Points and Rebounds (-110 MGM)
Pistons center Jalen Duren has enjoyed a breakout season thus far. He fell just short of his points prop for us on Monday, but we are going right back to him in another incredible spot here tonight. For the season, Duren is averaging 20.3 points and 11.5 rebounds. His usage rate has increased more than seven percentage points from last season, and he is still boasting an elite 21.9% rebounding rate, which is almost exactly where he has been for the last three seasons.
Tonight's matchup against Boston sets up perfectly for him. The Celtics have already struggled mightily against the center position this season, and now their primary interior defender, Neemias Queta, is out for this game. After Queta went down in the last game, Boston elected to play with a small lineup that did not even include a traditional center. Their available options this evening include Luke Kornet and Xavier Tillman, who have both notoriously struggled as defenders at the NBA level.
Duren should be able to dominate on the interior this evening, playing a huge role in the Pistons' offense and cleaning up the leftovers on the glass.
Top Value Props & Sleeper Picks
Betting on superstars is always exciting, but the best value often lies on the margins of a roster. Role players and emerging contributors can offer hidden edges, especially as the season wears on and injuries start to shake up rotations.
Let’s dive into some of the top value plays for today’s NBA slate.
Josh Hart over 11.5 Rebounds and Assists (-135 Bet365)
The Knicks are still dealing with a couple of injuries in their rotation. OG Anunoby has been out for multiple games, and now Landry Shamet has joined him on the sidelines. We saw this setup in their last game, and it was Josh Hart who was the major beneficiary. The 30-year-old slid into the starting lineup for Shamet and played nearly 38 minutes against the Nets, posting 19 combined rebounds and assists.
Hart has been in a high-volume role for the Knicks plenty of times in the past, and he has always been able to fill the stat sheet in that scenario. For the season, the Villanova product is averaging 7.0 rebounds and 4.7 assists (11.7 RA)in just 26.8 minutes, and he should be in line for considerably more playing time if he draws the start again.
Charlotte has been stingy on the glass, allowing the fewest opponent rebounds in the league, but they have allowed the fourth-most assists in the league. Hart has a real chance to play at least 10 additional minutes compared to his season average, and he should easily cruise over his 11.7 RA average in that case, regardless of the matchup.
T.J. McConnell over 9.5 Points (-104 DK)
The Pacers are finally starting to get a little healthier with Andrew Nembhard and Bennedict Mathurin back in the lineup. An additional underrated name that has returned to the rotation after missing some time is T.J. McConnell, who adds much-needed depth to the backcourt rotation.
TJM had been hovering around 14-16 minutes per game until recently, when he played 22 minutes against the Pistons last time out. McConnell has never been shy about getting his shots up as a sparkplug off the bench, and now that he seems fully capable of playing 20+ minutes, he should smash this points line.
McConnell has cleared 9.5 points in each of his last three games despite averaging just 17.7 minutes per game in those contests. He should play closer to 20 minutes tonight in a matchup with the Raptors.
Collin Gillespie over 14.5 Points (+100 FD)
The Suns will again be without Jalen Green and Grayson Allen, which should mean another significant role for Collin Gillespie. The 26-year-old easily cashed this prop for us on Monday, and we are going right back to the well with an even better matchup tonight.
Last game, the Suns faced the Rockets, who play at a bottom-five pace and rank fifth in defensive efficiency. Gillespie poured in 16 points in 29 minutes despite facing that difficult matchup.
Tonight, he gets a much easier opponent in the Kings, who play at the seventh-fastest pace and rank just 26th in defensive efficiency. Gillespie should continue to thrive in his role as the sixth man, playing a leading role on the second unit and remaining a huge part of the offense. The guard has scored at least 15 points in each of his last five games, and he should reach that mark again in this elite matchup.
Vince Williams Jr. over 11.5 Rebounds and Assists (-118 FD)
The Memphis Grizzlies continue to play shorthanded as Ja Morant remains sidelined. One of the players who has stepped up in his absence has been Vince Williams Jr. The VCU product has started each of the last four games and produced an average of 7.3 rebounds and 9.3 assists (16.6 RA) in that span despite playing just 25.5 minutes per game. He has been hovering around 24 minutes played in the last few games, but he has approached 30 minutes on a couple of occasions. If we can get the high end of that range in this Cup matchup, it would be a nice bonus, but Williams has been plenty productive in his current role.
Tonight's matchup sets up favorably for Williams, as the Pelicans rank just 21st in opponent rebounds and 24th in opponent assists, providing a solid opportunity for him to contribute across the stat sheet yet again.
NBA Betting Tools & Resources
Don't forget to utilize all of the NBA DFS and betting tools we have here at RotoBaller! The NBA betting landscape changes by the minute throughout the day, so stay up to date with the latest odds and market values with our NBA DFS and betting tools and projections.
Thanks for reading, RotoBallers, and good luck if you are tailing our bets tonight!
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