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AAA Texas 500: Daily Fantasy NASCAR DraftKings and FanDuel DFS Lineup Picks

Chris Durell brings you DraftKings fantasy NASCAR advice, DFS lineups picks and sleepers analysis for Chris Durell brings you DraftKings fantasy NASCAR advice, DFS lineups picks and sleepers analysis for the AAA Texas 500 at Texas Motor Speedway

Welcome back races fans. The second race of the third round of the playoffs takes the Monster Energy Cup Series to Texas Motor Speedway for the AAA Texas 500 on Sunday. With his win last week, Joey Logano has locked himself into the final four at Homestead in two weeks leaving seven drivers to fight for the final three spots over the next two races.

The track is a 1.5-mile quad-oval with 334 laps putting a ton of emphasis on dominator points. Over the last six races here at Texas, there has been at least one driver to lead 100 or more laps in each with three drivers leading 50 or more laps in each of the last two races here. Qualifying was back to normal this week and was completed on Friday and looking at the results, there are also some nice place differential values. Let's dig in and take a look at the picks.

Daily Fantasy NASCAR: DraftKings and FanDuel DFS Lineup Picks - AAA Texas 500

Kyle Busch(DK-$12,200 FD-$13,000)/Kevin Harvick(DK - $11,700 FD - $13,500)

These two drivers are #1 and #2 in my overall projections this week and it's not really close. They have dominated the mile and half tracks this season with three wins apiece with Busch finishing each of them inside the Top 10. They have also combined for three wins and six Top 5's in the last five races here at Texas. To cap it off, they both showed a ton of speed in the final two practices with Harvick ranks first in 10-lap averages in both with Kyle Busch second in both. I will have a  ton of exposure to both with more Harvick on DraftKings(cheaper) and Busch on FanDuel(cheaper).

Kyle Larson(DK-$10,000 FD-$11,500)

If you are looking to pivot off the "big 3" in GPP formats, consider Kyle Larson who is the fifth most expensive driver and DraftKings and the seventh most expensive on FanDuel. Texas hasn't been his best track as he has crashed out in back to back races and he comes into this week with zero wins on the season but he has been extremely consistent on the mile and half tracks with three straight Top 5's(Kansas, Vegas, Darlington) and has finished Top 10 in nine of the 10 this season.

Aric Almirola(DK-$8,100 FD-$10,200)

Another driver who has not been great here at Texas(crashed out in the Spring race) is Aric Almirola. I feel he will turn it around this week for a couple reasons starting with the fact he has been very consistent in the playoffs with four Top 10's and the second-best average finish(9.3). He has also shown a ton of speed this weekend qualifying 4th and ranking 1st and 9th in the final two practices with the 6th and 9th fastest 10-lap averages.

Chris Buescher(DK-$6,200 FD-$5,900)

In the value range, I will be rostering a lot of Chris Buescher this week. I would have liked it more if he was qualifying a bit farther back(starting 21st) but he returns to Texas with four straight finishes of 22nd or better and is very cheap on both sites. He also showed better speed than that starting position on Saturday ranking 14th in both final practices.

NASCAR DFS Cheat Sheet

Don't have the time to search multiple sites looking for NASCAR stats and data?

Check out my DFS NASCAR cheatsheet which includes Track History(2-Year Trend & Career), Track Type History(2-Year Trend), Current Form, Practice/Qualifying Data, and a weighted system to get an overall rank for each driver each race. Check out it now while it's still in BETA mode and FREE to everyone. Also, be sure to check out the Race by Race Trends Sheet.

DFS & Fantasy NASCAR Chat Room

If you have any questions leading up to the race hit me up in the chat below!

[iflychat_embed id="c-59" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]



The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success

NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller!
Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.

Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Could Return as Bucks Face Bulls
Brandon Williams

Appears Unlikely to Play vs. Sacramento
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Questionable Saturday Against Cavaliers
Mike Conley

May Miss Saturday's Game Against Nets
De'Aaron Fox

Appears on Injury Report for Saturday
Josh Hart

Sidelined Against Hawks Due to Ankle Injury
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Questionable With Adductor Soreness Saturday
Kris Murray

Will Play Against the Clippers
Robert Williams III

Available on Friday Night
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Facing Multiweek Absence With Calf Issue
Anthony Edwards

Listed as Questionable Against Brooklyn
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Out at Least One Week With Calf Strain
Jock Landale

to Miss Bucks Game With Calf Issue
Jordan Poole

Cleared to Play Friday vs. Suns
Joel Embiid

Set to Suit Up Against Bulls
George Kittle

Questionable to Face the Bears in Week 17
Cedric Coward

Active On Friday Against Milwaukee
Ja Morant

Available On Friday Night Against Milwaukee
Maxx Crosby

Done for the Season
VJ Edgecombe

Available on Friday
Dominick Barlow

Will Suit Up Against Chicago
Collin Murray-Boyles

Good to Go Versus Washington
Scottie Barnes

Upgraded to Available Against Washington
Calvin Austin III

Ruled Out with Hamstring Injury for Week 17
Harold Fannin Jr.

Expected to Play on Sunday
Jordan Love

Ruled Out with Concussion for Saturday's Contest
George Kittle

"Likely a Game-Time Decision" on Sunday Night
A.J. Brown

Returns to Practice on Friday
Josh Allen

Trending Toward Playing Vs. Philly
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Michigan Targeting Kyle Whittingham as Next Head Coach
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Texas Leading Rusher Quintrevion Wisner Set to Transfer
George Kittle

Remains Sidelined During Thursday's Practice
Malik Willis

Carrying Questionable Tag for Week 17 Tilt
Jordan Love

Questionable for Saturday's Contest
Lamar Jackson

Listed as Doubtful for Week 17
Amon-Ra St. Brown

to Suit Up on Christmas Day
Rome Odunze

"Increasing Unlikely to Play" in Week 17
Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Carries Questionable Tag on Thursday
David Montgomery

Expected to Play on Christmas Day
David Montgomery

Questionable to Play With Illness
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Questionable, Expected to Play on Thursday
Rashee Rice

Chiefs Place Rashee Rice on Injured Reserve
T.J. Hockenson

Ruled Out for Week 17
Pete Fairbanks

Marlins Agree on One-Year Deal
Josh Johnson

to Start at QB on Thursday Against Dallas
Brooks Koepka

Leaving LIV Golf
Connor McDavid

Finishes Battle of Alberta With Five Assists
Karel Vejmelka

Battling Upper-Body Injury
Alexandre Texier

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Against Bruins
Alexander Nikishin

Dealing With Apparent Ankle Injury
Denver Barkey

Exits Early Tuesday
Travis Sanheim

Pulled by Concussion Spotter Tuesday
Ryan O'Hearn

Pirates Agree on Two-Year Deal
Viktor Arvidsson

a Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Ryan Leonard

Available Tuesday
Tom Wilson

in Danger of Missing First Game of the Season
Phillip Danault

Makes Second Canadiens Debut Tuesday
Collin Graf

Available Against Golden Knights
Jack Eichel

Misses Fourth Straight Game
Vince Dunn

Won't Play Tuesday
CFB

Jeff Brohm, Eli Drinkwitz "Names of Interest" for Michigan Head Coach
Timothy Liljegren

to Miss Second Straight Game Tuesday
Will Smith

Out Week-to-Week
Jaccob Slavin

Placed on Injured Reserve, Out Week-to-Week
Seth Jarvis

Considered Week-to-Week
Darren Raddysh

Totals Three Points in Monday's Win
Mason Marchment

Scores Twice Monday
Vince Dunn

Injured in Monday's Win
Ilya Sorokin

to Miss Tuesday's Game
CFB

Byrum Brown Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

Bobby Petrino Joining Bill Belichick as North Carolina's Offensive Coordinator
Willson Contreras

Shipped to the Red Sox

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