RADIO
Welcome back to another week of NFL DFS GPP Stacks! Last week I wrote up the Arizona Cardinals, Tennesee Titans, Buffalo Bills, Cincinnati Bengals, and Kansas City Chiefs. The Cardinals and Chiefs did well, the Bengals were actually in the $5 Milly Maker Winning Lineup and the Titans and Bills....... Well......I never said I would get 100% of them right!
I generally make 3-5 lineups (last week I made 7), because it is hard to nail every stack. I generally use a different stack for each GPP lineup and hope one of them pops to the top of the standings! If I win a GPP with one lineup and do not cash in the other six, I will still have a very nice day and win a good chunk of cash!
Before just diving into the picks for this week, some reminders about guidelines I use for stacks:
I want games with high point-scoring totals and close point spreads. The scoring part is obvious (more scoring = more fantasy points) but the game being close makes a bring-back player viable and keeps the team that is up playing with urgency throughout the game.
I generally want to fade a stack combination that is projected to be the most popular in the slate. This means I may choose to stack up that team different than the crowd, or I may do an outright fade. With that said, onto the picks!
(1) Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is back at the top of the list for Week 2! After balling out against Tennesee, they get to follow that up with another bad pass defense: The Minnesota Vikings. While Arizona played at a pace that was middle of the road in week 1, they played at the third-fastest pace at home in the NFL in 2020. This isn't a Patrick Peterson revenge game, he is going to get torched by Arizona's talented receivers. This game is the fourth-highest on the slate and has a narrow 3.5 point spread in favor of Arizona.
I would consider stacking up Kyler Murray-DeAndre Hopkins - Christian Kirk/Chase Edmonds/Rondale Moore depending on what you can fit in your lineup. A.J. Green was technically second on the Cardinals in targets last week with six, but I do not see the upside in Green to use in tournaments. Because this will be an expensive stack, they will be less popular but could also be challenging to find a viable lineup, having an average salary of just $4,800 or so.
(2) Seattle Seahawks
We just saw Arizona torch the Tennessee Titans defense, so why don't we go right back to the well and attack the same defense again? What I like about Seattle is the target share is consolidated. Last week, Tyler Lockett had the big game, but D.K. Metcalf had the same number of targets (5) as Lockett did. Together, Metcalf and Lockett combined for 10 of the team's 21 targets. The danger here is the point spread is five points at the time of this writing in favor of Seattle as opposed to the typical 3.5 we see for many NFL games. If Seattle can get up a couple of scores, they will sit on the lead and stop passing, which is a risk here. On the other hand, the game has the second-highest total on the slate.
Consider stacking Wilson - Lockett - Metcalf with A.J. Brown as the bring back from Tennessee as he lead Tennessee with eight targets last week.
If you want to get contrarian, go with Tennessee as a stack. After they burned people last week and looked awful, they will not be popular.
(3) Philadelphia Eagles
The game has a 50 point total which is the fifth-highest total on the slate and has a narrow spread at 3.5 points. If people play this game in tournaments, I think they go with the 49ers side of the game because of all the points they put up last week against Detroit. The Eagles offer a little more upside. Jalen Hurts can run the ball, and the team is still priced way down, allowing room to pay up in other positional spots. Also, I like playing the home team side on a game where they are small underdogs and the game has a chance of being the highest scoring on the slate.
If looking for a bring back from San Francisco, Deebo Samuel or George Kittle are the way to go. I am not sure what is going on with Brandon Aiyuk but until we get clarity, it's a situation to stay away from in general.
What About The Dallas Cowboys And The Los Angeles Chargers?
I am leaning towards fading this game in tournaments. It has the highest total on the slate and most of America saw Dallas score tons of points and sling it all over the field against Tampa Bay last Thursday. Without looking at any metrics, I can tell you the percent of lineups that will have one of these two stacks is larger than the probability that one of these two stacks is the top stack of the slate. I would be willing to play some pieces as a one-off if I could fit into my lineups. I also would consider leveraging by playing the run game from either of these two teams. The Chargers gave up 126 rushing yards last week, perhaps this is the week that Ezekiel Elliott has a great game?
Final Thoughts
To close, there are a lot of different directions one can go with stacks. If playing a handful of lineups (less than 10), each one should have its own stack, so you can cover as many games as possible. There are potential options not listed but these are just a handful I wanted to mention based on what I am interested in playing as of now. I encourage you to do your own research, play around with different lineup combinations on DraftKings and Fanduel and see how your lineups look with these various stacks in them.
Thanks for reading, and I wish you the best of luck with your Week 2 DFS Stacks!
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