RADIO
RotoBallers, welcome to Week 13 of the daily fantasy football season. In this column, you will find my recommended FanDuel DFS Lineup Picks to target for Week 13 of the NFL season. You can also click here to find more DFS analysis articles and tools.
The goal is to identify players to start on FanDuel this week based on various factors including the opponent, the player's opportunity, analysis of the game's matchups, and the FanDuel price.
Let's find some DFS lineup sleepers, and win on FanDuel. Good luck in Week 13! Find me @DFS_Tom if you have any questions.
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FanDuel Quarterbacks - Week 13 DFS Picks
Aaron Rodgers - QB, GB vs ARI (FD - $8,300)
Rodgers and the Packers are no doubt struggling this season and facing a tough matchup this week against the Cardinals who have the 9th DVOA versus the pass, but you should still like him this week. He has multiple touchdowns in three of his last four games and is setting up to be one of the lower owned quarterbacks on the slate since the Packers come in as 14-point home favorites, which generally means a blowout and less concentration on the QBs. For this reason, you should be interested in him, but for GPP only, as he is a bit too expensive for cash games this week. Love this spot for him to come out and post at least three touchdowns, along with coming in under 10% owned.
Kirk Cousins - QB, MIN @ NE (FD - $7,600)
Cousins is a bit cheaper compared to Rodgers and comes in with a solid matchup, in what should be a bit of a shootout. He is up against the Patriots who have the 19th DVOA versus the pass and more importantly, the 24th DVOA versus WR 1. This sets him up to be a perfect stacking option with Stefon Diggs, who always has big-play ability and multi-touchdown upside. Cousins has posted multiple touchdowns in four of his last five weeks and has thrown the ball 38 times or more in four of those games. The amount of time the ball is in his hands compared to the running game gives him immense upside simply from a volume perspective. We should see the Vikings playing from behind in this game, thus, presenting the need for even more passing.
FanDuel Running Backs - Week 13 DFS Picks
Gus Edwards - RB, BAL @ ATL (FD - $6,400)
Edwards was the starting running back for the Ravens last week and we should be seeing him the same role against the Falcons this week, setting him for another strong performance. Last week, he carried the ball 23 times for 118 yards, but no touchdowns. He should be able to get on the board this week since the Falcons come in with the 31st DVOA versus the rush and the 26th DVOA versus running backs in the passing game. Love the price on him and the fact the Ravens are trending towards a run-heavy offense.
T.J. Yeldon - RB, JAC vs IND (FD - $4,800)
Yeldon is very, very cheap this week and should be seeing an increase in snaps and overall touches versus the Colts since we know that Leonard Fournette is suspended for one game. Yeldon has seen very limited action in the past few weeks, but that is due to the fact Fournette was back from his injury. If we look back to when Yeldon was seeing the majority of the snaps, he was over 60% snaps in three of four weeks. We should see him closer to those numbers, especially in the passing game since the Colts have the 30th DVOA versus running backs in the passing game.
FanDuel Wide Receivers - Week 13 DFS Picks
Courtland Sutton - WR, DEN @ CIN (FD - $5,400)
Sutton is very reasonably priced this week and comes in with 30% of the Broncos air yards on average per week, showing he has big play threat. Really like the Broncos and how they set up this week to be a sneaky GPP stack, where Sutton should a key part of. He has four or more targets in four straight weeks, which truly isn't a ton, but he has posted over 57 yards in three of those weeks. He has a high yards-per-catch, which he should be able to truly show this week against the Bengals, who have the 26th DVOA versus the pass and the 26th DVOA versus WR 2.
Julian Edelman - WR, NE vs MIN (FD - $7,200)
Edelman seemingly never gets priced up but continues to produce every single week no matter what the game script says. He comes in with 12 or more FanDuel points in six straight weeks, where he has seven or more targets in six of those games. Love the consistency from him, love the touchdown equity he has on the team, and with this game having an over-under set at 48.5, we should be looking at plenty of points in this one.
FanDuel Tight End - Week 13 DFS Pick
Greg Olsen - TE, CAR @ TB (FD - $6,000)
Olsen and the Panthers are up against the Buccaneers where we have the over-under set at 54.5, which is one of the highest on the slate, meaning there is plenty of fantasy goodness to be captured. This sets up to be a complete shootout since both teams are so bad on defense, especially the Buccaneers who are 32nd DVOA versus the pass and 28th DVOA versus tight ends. All of this sets up perfectly for Olsen, who has four or more targets in six of his last seven games.
FanDuel Defense - Week 13 DFS Pick
Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders - (FD - $4,300)
The Chiefs aren't a "good" defense this season, but they are set up to be a high upside typer of play this week. The upside comes from the fact they are up against a turnover-prone Raiders offense, but more importantly, have upside from Tyreek Hill return touchdowns. This means stacking Hill with the defense will allow you to double dip on points, which is fantastic for tournaments.
