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Jamie's best MLB player prop bets for today (6/22/2026). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including Kyle Schwarber, Willson Contreras, and others!
It's now OFFICIALLY summer, RotoBallers, even though the weather in some parts of the country has already gotten there. We can expect the offenses to heat up as temperatures rise in July and August, and some games today will feature 85-degree temps and wind blowing out.
It's a heavy slate of games for a Monday, and some intriguing series are on tap. Make sure to tune into our RotoBaller Discord as the day goes on, as we'll be analyzing the entire slate for both DFS and betting purposes. We have an elite staff that's ready to help you pad your bank accounts for the summer months.
Below, you'll be able to read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Monday, June 22, 2026. The current odds given reflect the best price as of the time of publication, but remember to always shop around at other sportsbooks so you can get the most value on your home run wagers. Odds can vary significantly from one sportsbook to another.
MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (6/22/2026)
Kyle Schwarber OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+250, Hard Rock)
I'd almost consider it base treachery to this article if I DIDN'T headline it with Kyle Schwarber, given the way he's been bombing the ball lately. The mighty Phillies lefty has four homers and nine RBI over his last two games, and he now sits at 26 long balls on the year. Betting on him to homer when he's barreling this way seems to be smart money, and I also just put a small bet on him for National League MVP at +3000 (DraftKings).
Kyle Schwarber last 6 PAs:
HR
HR
single
HR
BB
HRpic.twitter.com/uc3UJcBtCT— Underdog MLB (@UnderdogMLB) June 22, 2026
Schwarber is always going to be a risk of striking out too much, especially against a lefty, where his K rate is 33% this year. This is amplified a touch as Nationals pitcher Foster Griffin has an above-average 28% K rate against same-handed hitters. That said, Schwarber is still barreling southpaws at a 21.9% rate (highest on the Phillies by far) and has a 1.036 OPS and a .339 ISO against them (also highest on the team by far).
The Nationals' bullpen is also well below average, ranking 24th in ERA (4.62) with a closer-by-committee group. Schwarber should have nine full innings of upside in this one, and the wind is currently blowing straight out to center with temps in the mid-80s.
Jackson Chourio OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+350, Hard Rock)
Picking which Brewer to write about was a brutal choice, as the team has an IRT of 5.7 runs and is facing Brady Singer, who has been throwing batting practice for hitters this year (especially at home). The Reds righty has a 5.32 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, and a .245 ISO while only striking out 13.1% of batters at Great American Ball Park. Also, the wind is blowing straight out to center field.
Ultimately, Jackson Chourio's recent batted-ball rate, coupled with Singer's splits against same-handed hitters, was the deciding factor here. Chourio's 18.2% barrel rate against righties is the highest on the Brewers, and he has a .405 wOBA and a .226 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year. He's found his power stroke lately, bringing his HR total up to ten and his OPS to .896.
Singer has been battered by RHB this season, allowing a 41.1% HHR and a .254 ISO while only striking out 11.2% of right-handed bats. Doing a two-player parlay with any of the Brewers' power lefties is a worthy move today as well, but getting Chourio at +350 here seems like pretty solid odds.
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