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Keith Eyster's top NBA prop bets for 12/1/25: expert player-prop picks, value plays, quick model edges and line-shopping tips for today’s slate. Check odds & get the edge.
Welcome back to another edition of RotoBaller's NBA Props! We have another exciting night of NBA action ahead, with nine games in total on the schedule. Bets have been running hot lately, going 9-2 over the last two articles. Let's keep the momentum rolling!
The injury report is actually fairly clean considering the decent-sized slate. Alex Sarr and Kristaps Porzingis are a pair of names to monitor, but most of the stars appear good to go this evening. Of course, we will need to stay on top of any news, as the NBA loves to surprise us sometimes.
In this article, I will provide my favorite NBA player props picks for Monday, December 1st. Prop picks can range from individual stats—points, assists, rebounds, three-pointers made, and defensive stats —to combination props (Points + Rebounds + Assists = PRA). All odds and sportsbooks used are listed, but it's always a good idea to shop around, as odds change throughout the day as bets are placed. Let's get to the picks already. It's time to dive in!
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Today’s Best NBA Prop Bets & Player Props
Let’s take a look at the top player props for today’s NBA slate:
- Coby White over 21.5 Points (-107 DK)
- Tyler Herro over 21.5 Points (-120 MGM)
- Evan Mobley over 9.5 Rebounds (-148 FD)
- T.J. McConnell over 16.5 Points and Assists (+100 FAN)
- Collin Gillespie over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (+105 B365)
Coby White over 21.5 Points (-107 DK)
Bulls guard Coby White is still working his way back to full strength after the start to his season was delayed by a calf injury. He still hasn't played on a back-to-back, but he has now returned to the starting lineup in each of the last three games and played at least 29 minutes in each contest. White last played on Friday before sitting out the second leg of the back-to-back on Saturday, so he should be fully rested for this one and has a good chance to play at least 30 minutes.
Even as he has been dealing with load management and working on getting his conditioning into top form, his scoring ability has not lagged behind. White is averaging 24.2 points on a career-high 31.5% usage through five games this season. He has cleared 21.5 points in four of his five games. White averaged 23.1 points on 26.1% usage after the Zach LaVine trade last season, so his role as the team's leading scorer is not new.
Chicago has been in a free fall since opening the season as one of the top teams in the East. They have dropped three consecutive games to bad teams and are desperately looking to get their season back on track. Tonight's matchup against the Magic presents that opportunity, and Coby White leading the scoring charge is key to achieving it.
Tyler Herro over 21.5 Points (-120 MGM)
An ankle injury delayed Tyler Herro's start to the season, but the Heat guard has returned to the lineup in top form. They lost a tightly contested matchup with the Pistons on Saturday after making a furious fourth-quarter run to close a 22-point deficit. Herro played 32 minutes in that contest, indicating his conditioning is in a good spot, and he's nearly back to full strength. The guard has scored at least 24 points in all three games he has played, and looks comfortable back in his role as the focal point of the Heat offense.
Tyler Herro in his first 3 games after missing 9 weeks:
24 PTS - 4 REB - 6 3PM - 100 FT%
29 PTS - 5 REB - 7 AST - 60 FG%
24 PTS - 7 REB - 3 STL - 67 FG%Herro won us the games vs Mavs/Bucks. He’s also providing very efficient scoring even without a training camp & preseason. pic.twitter.com/kOye1QC0nE
— 𝙃𝙚𝙖𝙩𝘾𝙪𝙡𝙩𝙪𝙧𝙚 (@WadexFlash) December 1, 2025
Tonight's matchup against the Clippers brings further appeal to Herro, as they rank just 25th in defensive efficiency this season. They play at one of the slowest paces in the league, but the Heat's league-leading tempo should help offset that. Herro is well-positioned to clear his points total for the fourth consecutive time to begin his season.
Evan Mobley over 9.5 Rebounds (-148 FD)
Cleveland Cavaliers big man Evan Mobley is coming off two monster performances as he settles into his new center role with Jarrett Allen sidelined. In his last game, he dominated Boston with 27 points and 14 rebounds. Before that was another excellent performance, with 20 points and 14 rebounds against the Hawks in a game in which Allen actually played.
Mobley has one outlier poor performance that is skewing his on/off numbers this season in a small sample, but last season, he saw a rebounding bump of nearly 2% with Allen off the floor. In a sample of 1,116 minutes last season, Mobley averaged 12.0 rebounds per-36 minutes when playing without Allen.
Over his last 2 games, Evan Mobley is averaging:
23.5 Points
14.0 Rebounds
5.5 Assists
1.0 Steal
1.0 Block
52.9% FG
50.0% 3PT
100.0% FT#LetEmKnow pic.twitter.com/NR6TSO16Cl— Mack Perry (@DevaronPerry) December 1, 2025
Tonight, he gets one of the best possible rebounding matchups against Indiana, which has allowed the third most rebounds in the league. This is another fantastic spot to continue his dominant run with Jarrett Allen out again.
Top Value Props & Sleeper Picks
Betting on superstars is always exciting, but the best value often lies on the margins of a roster. Role players and emerging contributors can offer hidden edges, especially as the season wears on and injuries start to shake up rotations.
Let’s dive into some of the top value plays for today’s NBA slate.
T.J. McConnell over 16.5 Points and Assists (+100 FAN)
Pacers guard T.J. McConnell played a season-high 25 minutes on Saturday in a win over the Bulls, but he scored just eight points on 4-of-10 shooting. He did rack up six assists in the contest, but he also had nine potential assists. A slight boost in efficiency in either category is possible for one of the most efficient players in the league.
Cleveland has a strong defensive efficiency (9th), but they play at the seventh-fastest pace in the league. The increased tempo allows for a few extra possessions in their games, leading to more points and assists than might be expected. For the season, Cleveland ranks 14th in points allowed and 21st in assists allowed. Indiana also plays at a top-10 pace, further adding to the attractive tempo in this matchup.
McConnell's playing time is trending in the right direction, and he is averaging 13.5 points and 6.3 assists in his last four games. He should clear his points and assists line in an up-tempo matchup.
Collin Gillespie over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (+105 B365)
The Phoenix Suns got Grayson Allen back from injury on Saturday and could potentially get Ryan Dunn back this evening. Collin Gillespie moved back to a bench role, where he had been excelling before the other injuries in the rotation. While none of those things is particularly promising for Gillespie's playing time outlook, he has still played well enough to retain a significant role in the Suns' rotation.
Gillespie played 29 minutes on Saturday and scored 12 points in the first half alone, all from beyond the three-point line. Unfortunately, he took just one shot in 14 minutes of second-half action and finished with 12 points. His shot volume from long range (8 attempts) was still positive with another floor spacer like Allen back in the lineup.
Dialed in from deep 🎯
Royce O'Neale and Collin Gillespie each have 3+ triples in seven consecutive games which is tied for the longest active streak in the NBA with 3+ three-pointers! pic.twitter.com/F62BOIIitd
— Phoenix Suns (@Suns) November 30, 2025
Tonight's matchup against the Lakers sets up well for Gillespie, as they have struggled to defend the three-point line. They rank just 17th in defensive efficiency and 18th in three-pointers made. Gillespie has been filling it up from beyond the arc and should be able to find success again tonight.
NBA Betting Tools & Resources
Don't forget to utilize all of the NBA DFS and betting tools we have here at RotoBaller! The NBA betting landscape changes by the minute throughout the day, so stay up to date with the latest odds and market values with our NBA DFS and betting tools and projections.
Thanks for reading, RotoBallers, and good luck if you are tailing our bets tonight!
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