Alvin Kamara - 2025 Fantasy Football Busts and Overvalued Draft Picks

Alvin Kamara is a potential fantasy football bust and overvalued draft pick to avoid in 2025. Read the fantasy football outlook and draft advice for the New Orleans Saints running back.

RotoBaller Ranking (half-PPR): RB17

Fantasy Draft Analysis: Kamara finished the 2024 season with a career high 950 rushing yards and ended the year as the PPR RB9.

Despite the success, he once again did not score well in several key metrics. Among 46 backs with 100+ carries, Kamara finished 32nd in Fantasy Points Data Suite's missed tackles forced per attempt (MTF/ATT) and 37th in Next Gen Stats rush yards over expected (RYOE). Kamara is now another year older, and 2025 will be his age-30 season. This has traditionally been a point at which many running backs experience a decline in their play.

While Klint Kubiak's rush offense was able to get the most out of a declining Kamara last year, it's uncertain if Kellen Moore can do the same. Yes, Moore was the offensive coordinator for Barkley's huge 2024 season, but the Eagles boasted one of the top run-blocking offensive lines in the league, and Barkley was still clearly at the top of his game.

Saints, RB Alvin Kamara agree to two-year, $24.5M extension. (via @MikeGarafolo) pic.twitter.com/eU8uE1hgNZ

— NFL (@NFL) October 22, 2024

Neither is the case for Kamara in 2025.

Kamara has been a viable fantasy option for the last few years despite declining metrics. However, Father Time always wins. At some point, Kamara's production will plummet. Throw in the Saints' horrendous quarterback situation, and it's hard to see Kamara replicating last year's success.

- Dave Ventresca

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