RADIO
Welcome to Week 15 of the NFL Season! Each week, I'll be bringing you our famous NFL DFS Cheat Sheet with expert research and picks for cash games and GPPs. Here are a few notes about the sheet.
- We are officially now using 2023 DATA!
- Green means GO (good for the player) while red reflects a poor rating/matchup. The more green, the better...
- In fact, CASH CORE pieces are highlighted with BRIGHT GREEN highlighter on the chart for extra emphasis.
- The "fantasy points allowed rank" reflects how a player's opponent ranked in fantasy points allowed to their specific position. The lower the number, the better the matchup.
- Passing and Rushing game matchups are once again DVOA ratings as I regained access to that metric and I find it to be super helpful.
- A play labeled "cash" is a higher-owned play that is recommended for cash games. A "strong" play is playable in all formats. "Slate-breakers" are some of my favorite GPP targets for upside or reduced ownership.
- Vegas and risk columns will all be updated during the week to reflect injury info, weather info, and the most recent Vegas info.
Premium NFL DFS Cheat Sheet - Week 15
Cash Game Cores
DraftKings: McCaffrey-Williams-Rice-Wilson
FanDuel: McCaffrey-Williams-Rice-Elliott
Deeper GPP Flyers
This is where I want to give you some other players who will be in my player pool, who didn't make the cut for the cheat sheet. The main recommended plays are always going to be geared more toward cash games and single-entry tournaments, but here are some lower-owned options for large-field tournaments.
QB: Dak Prescott, Tommy Devito
RB: Derrick Henry, Tony Pollard, Breece Hall
WR: Brandon Aiyuk, DeAndre Hopkins, Terry McLaurin, Jayden Reed
TE: Jake Ferguson, Logan Thomas, Cade Otton, Tyler Conklin
DEFENSE: BUF, GB, CLE, ATL
Week 15 DFS Slate Notes
Weekend Updates:
My top four QBs happen to be the highest projected in ownership today, too, but I am okay with that for the most part. I want to focus heavily on that Washington game and I am okay with a chalky Howell or Stafford (in cash).
My core RBs lead the way in projected ownership, too, with Kyren Williams and CMC looking like 25-30% and likely heavier chalk in cash. Zeke Elliot is the cheap back to prioritize and that leaves Bijan Robinson as the guy you can get over the field on (projected for only 10% rostership - wow!).
A lot of builds today are going to pay DOWN at receiver since people want to smash in CMC and/or Kyren. That is making guys like Jayden Reed, Demario Douglas, and Demarcus Robinson all popular plays at their prices. Don't be afraid to "flip the build" in GPPs and pay down at RB and up at WR to be different - or pay up for a TE like Kelce or Kittle.
Speaking of TEs, McBride looks to be the chalk there and if you can't afford him then I would recommend Kraft who is also looking pretty chalky.
It looks like Texas will start Case Keenum at QB, which makes me wonder if we shouldn't overlook Noah Brown, Robert Woods, and John Metchie as Houston has a decent matchup against a bad Tennessee secondary. I was originally crossing off that entire team, but I think those Houston receivers could be somewhat sneaky.
DON't BE AFRAID TO ROSTER SOME JETS! I love Garrett Wilson and "like" Breece Hall quite a bit today and neither player looks like they will carry too much ownership either.
FAVORITE GAME STACKS:
WAS-LAR: Stafford-Williams-Nacua-Gibson (also consider: Samuel, Kupp)
SF-ARI: Purdy-McCaffrey-Samuel (also consider: McBride, Kittle)
DAL-BUF: Allen-Lamb-Cook (also consider: Kincaid, Diggs)
Premium DFS Expert Lineups - Week 15
FanDuel Lineup
DraftKings Lineup
Please note that these are sample lineups we provide as a tool for you to use. They are designed to give you building block options as you go about choosing your own lineups, but in no way can we guarantee success. Be sure to examine the latest injury updates, Las Vegas projected game totals, and late scratches before finalizing your lineups to ensure the players you are choosing are active on game day.
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