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Week 11 Underdog NFL DFS prop picks for Sunday, November 19, 2023 by Shaun Evans. Use his NFL over/under props recommendations to win money on Underdog.
Happy Friday, RotoBallers! Welcome to our Underdog Fantasy NFL DFS prop picks for Week 11, Sunday Late Slate. Welcome to our brand new NFL DFS series covering Underdog Fantasy contests! We will continue to focus on the NFL DFS props offered on Underdog called Higher/Lower (Over/Under).
Higher/Lower is traditional over/under DFS prop picks -- whether you think a player will score Over or Under the set lines, and choose your amount. You can parlay multiple picks together to vastly increase the juice (e.g., three picks = 6x your bet). Underdog Fantasy offers some of the industry's best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games. At Underdog Fantasy, you're not playing against other people -- you're just playing against the projections.
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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Sunday Late Slate
Be sure also to check out our brand new Props Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
Fred Warner, 8 Tackles and Assists (HIGHER)
Fred Warner comes into Sunday's action with the third-highest implied total to hit the over in the San Francisco 49ers matchup. Warner comes in at -116 (53.81%) to hit the over when using the Proptimizer. He has been a ball hawk on defense and if he's not getting credited with the tackle, he's most likely nearby. He had seven total tackles and assists in Week 10 but had put up 10 or more tackles in Weeks 7 and 8. The San Francisco 49ers rank 29th when it comes to missed tackles, giving very few opportunities for opposing offenses to march down the field.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, 42.5 Receiving Yards (HIGHER)
The rookie, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, has become a consistent weapon for the Seattle Seahawks offense. He has now had back-to-back weeks with 100% catchable targets, with his target share moving up as high as 33%. In the past five games, Smith-Njigba has only dipped below 42.5 receiving yards once while recording 48, 63, 63, and 53 receiving yards in the other four games. The Los Angeles Rams will be another tough challenge but one that will be different from Jaxon Smith-Njigba's Week 1 performance.
Garrett Wilson, 65.5 Receiving Yards (HIGHER)
When in doubt, just throw it to Garrett Wilson. Zach Wilson has found his safety net with Wilson and it could be another good game for him. In the past four games, Wilson has had many opportunities to succeed. He has recorded 12, 13, 13, and 14 targets in the last four while going for 80 receiving yards or more. He has moved to a target share of 32% on the season, coming off of a 36% target share in Week 10. With the New York Jets defense playing well against the top quarterbacks of the league, Garrett Wilson and the Jets offense should have many opportunities to stay on the field.
Khalil Shakir, 32.5 Receiving Yards (LOWER)
Khalil Shakir had his season-best performance in Week 8 with six receptions for 92 receiving yards but has declined since then. In Week 9, he had four receptions for 57 yards and in Week 10, he had one reception for 24 yards. Now, an offensive coordinator change has happened in Buffalo with Ken Dorsey being fired. Many changes may come this week overall and the way the offense functions may be different. All of that combined could be why Shakir has the highest implied total, -127 (55.96%), to hit the under in the Proptimizer. James Cook had a heavy workload in Week 10 and that could be the route again this Sunday. If not, expect Stefon Diggs to be the focus point for Josh Allen and this Buffalo Bills offense.
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