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Welcome to our PrizePicks NBA DFS prop picks for Monday, April 24th, 2023. The 2022-2023 NBA season is rolling along, and our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of.
PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
At PrizePicks, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the projections, and the guys at PrizePicks have worked hard to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money.
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PrizePicks Over/Under DFS Props Contests
PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game.
The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total.
You can mix and match players from different types of games in your entry, or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option.
NBA DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Today
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Ja Morant OVER 36.5 Points + Assists
I'll kick off today's slate with Ja Morant's points and assists prop. Ja has exceeded this number in four of his last five playoff games, averaging 43 PA during that stretch.
Today the Memphis Grizzlies will be taking on the Los Angeles Lakers in game four of the series, currently down 2-1. The Grizzlies are coming off a game three loss in which Morant dropped 24 points in the fourth quarter alone. Morant ended the game looking quite unstoppable and should pick up game four right where he left off.
The books have Morant at -120 odds to go over 36.5 PA, giving us a slight lean on the over here. This number is reasonable for Morant, and I expect the Lakers to have a difficult time keeping up with him.
Kyle Lowry OVER 12.5 Points + Assists
Next up, I'll be taking a look at Kyle Lowry's points and assists prop. Lowry has exceeded this projection in one of his last three games of the series, averaging 10.3 PA during that span.
In game three of the Miami Heat against the Milwaukee Bucks series, Lowry played 28 minutes and recorded 15 points and 3 assists. Lowry's usage flies from 16.7 percent to 21.9 percent when Tyler Herro doesn't play. Herro suffered a hand injury in game two and is out indefinitely, which means Lowry's role will, and already has, increased significantly.
The books have Lowry to go over 12.5 PA at -130 0dds, while some have him listed at 13.5 with slight odds on the under, giving us a one-point margin.
Jrue Holiday OVER 7.5 Assists
I'll finish things off with Jrue Holiday's assists prop. Holiday has exceeded this projection in four of his last five games, averaging 11 assists during that span.
Holiday is coming off a low three-assist game in game threes loss, and I expect a bounceback performance here in game four. After going down in the series, the Milwaukee Bucks should come out playing aggressively in effort to tie the series up again.
The books like Holiday to go over 7.5 assists at -140 odds, giving us a nice edge here. Look for Holiday to bounce back and dish out some dimes to his sharpshooting teammates.
Other Recommendations:
- Anthony Davis OVER 13.5 Rebounds
- Max Strus OVER 3.5 Rebounds
- Grayson Allen OVER 11.5 PA
- Ja Morant OVER 8 Assists
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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