X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Quarterback Fantasy Football Sleepers - 2022 Later-Round Draft Targets

Daniel Jones - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Tommy's 2022 fantasy football quarterback sleepers for drafts. He recommends targeting these fantasy football QB values as undervalued players later in drafts.

Today I'm here to discuss some quarterback fantasy football sleepers and value picks. Identifying undervalued players in the late rounds of fantasy football drafts is one of the best ways to give you a better shot of winning your fantasy leagues year in and year out.

This is especially true with the quarterback position, as we have seen guys like Patrick Mahomes in 2018, Lamar Jackson in 2019, and Jalen Hurts in 2021 be on many fantasy championship teams.

For those who like to wait on a quarterback, I will be going over three players that I believe can well outperform their current draft price.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders

After throwing for 4,804 yards during the 2021 season, Carr will be reunited with his college teammate Davante Adams, who will make his supporting cast one of the best in the NFL.

Despite having Darren Waller for just 11 games and losing his No. 1 deep-threat after seven games, Carr was able to finish fifth in passing yards, seventh in yards per attempt, and 13th in passing touchdowns while leading the Raiders to a playoff appearance.

His 626 pass attempts were good for fifth-most, which we can likely expect to remain similar this year as the Raiders could be in some pass-heavy game scripts going against each of Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, and Russell Wilson twice this season.

Despite setting a career-high in passing yardage by over 700 yards, Carr found himself as the QB16 in fantasy points per game. Much of this had to do with his 3.7% touchdown rate, which was 23rd among quarterbacks.

This was behind Taylor Heinicke, Davis Mills, Baker Mayfield, and Teddy Bridgewater. Considering his TD rate for his career is 4.3% and was 5.2% in 2020, it is safe to say that Carr will see some positive regression in this category, especially considering he has three weapons at his disposal that are all threats in the red zone.

When you consider the leap the Raiders' offense can take with arguably the best wide receiver in the NFL added to their team, it is hard to envision Carr throwing just 23 touchdowns once again. He finished with the 10th-most red zone attempts (86) as the Raiders averaged the 11th-most red zone drives per game.

However, per TeamRankings, the Las Vegas offense had a 49.2% touchdown rate in the red zone, which was the fourth-worst in the NFL. Only the Chicago Bears, Detroit Lions, and New York Giants had a worse scoring percentage.

Enter new head coach Josh McDaniels, who led the New England Patriots to the seventh-highest red zone scoring percentage and we should see a significant improvement going into the 2022 season for Carr and company. Adams has 27 touchdowns in the red zone since 2020, while Renfrow finished sixth in touchdowns from inside the 20-yard line during the 2021 season.

The 31-year-old is going to have the green light to air it out this season (fifth-most deep-ball attempts in 2021), so fantasy managers can feel more than confident having him as their starting quarterback.

On average, he is going behind guys like Dak Prescott and Aaron Rodgers, who he can easily outscore in terms of fantasy points when you consider the new situation the two of those guys are in. Carr is a great value for those who like to wait on drafting a quarterback.

 

Daniel Jones, New York Giants

Jones is heading into a prove-it year as he enters his fourth season in the NFL, now under the direction of Brian Daboll. You know, the guy that helped Josh Allen become one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL? Now, let’s not get ahead of ourselves, but there is reason to believe that Daboll can take Jones to another level.

The former sixth-overall pick in the NFL Draft has been under the direction of lackluster coaching ever since he arrived in New York, so we will likely be able to truly see the kind of ability the 25-year-old has under the new coaching staff.

Despite a terrible offensive scheme, one of the league’s worst offensive lines, and a depleted group of skill position players, we have seen Jones produce some eye-popping performances.

Sometimes in a good way, but sometimes in a bad way. Before Joe Judge came in as head coach, Jones was the QB15 with 17.2 fantasy points per game as a rookie, where he threw for 24 touchdowns in just 13 games.

Enter Judge as head coach, and Jones throws for just 21 touchdowns over a 25-game span from 2020-2021, finishing as the QB17 in PPG in 2021 and the QB29 in 2020.

Even with such a poor coaching staff and poor offensive line, Jones was the QB6 in fantasy points through the first four weeks of the 2021 season, with a 400-yard passing performance under his belt. Yes, this is a small sample size, but the point is that Jones has shown flashes of his ability, which is exciting when you consider his much-improved situation going into Year 4.

The 6-foot-5, 221-pound Jones should be able to take steps as a passer with Daboll and Mike Kafka, who has the quarterback coach of Mahomes, now leading him. With Andrew Thomas ascending as a very good player and Evan Neal being added to the mix, the Giants' improved offensive line should help Jones be more comfortable in the pocket.

Not to mention, the skill position group of Saquon Barkley, Kenny Golladay, Kadarius Toney, and Wan’Dale Robinson is the most talented Jones has been surrounded by during his time in New York.

However, the thing that sticks out the most about Jones is his dual-threat ability, which we all know is very valuable in fantasy football land. In 2021, he finished with 27.1 rushing yards per game. Among quarterbacks that started over 10 games, that ranked as the sixth-most. Only Allen, Jackson, Hurts, Justin Fields, and Kyler Murray averaged more.

If Daboll would like to deploy Jones as a rusher in a similar fashion to Allen, we could see him be pretty active with his legs given that he has proved he can be effective with the ball in his hands. Allen finished with the most red zone carries (32), while having the third-most rushing attempts (122), rushing yards (763), and rushing touchdowns (six) among quarterbacks.

Now, I’m not expecting Jones to see this type of volume as a rusher, but we have seen he can handle a significant workload on the ground, as he finished 10th in carries among quarterbacks in just 11 games this season. 

This kind of upside is hard to find at the end of drafts, as he is being drafted as a low-end QB2 option, and likely has the most upside out of anyone being drafted around him, which includes players like Ryan Tannehill, Zach Wilson, Carson Wentz, and Jared Goff. When you consider Jones is in a position to succeed as a passer and is one of the better dual-threat quarterbacks in the league, that is enough to identify him as a potential fantasy sleeper and great late-round dart throw.

 

Jameis Winston, New Orleans Saints

Winston is recovering from a torn ACL that he suffered in Week 8 of last season, but all signs point toward him being ready to go for the 2022 season opener.

The former first-overall pick in the NFL draft will be armed with all that he needs to find success, which includes former All-Pro Michael Thomas, RB Alvin Kamara, rookie Chris Olave, and former Brown Jarvis Landry.

In his first season as the starter with the Saints, Winston was able to average 17.2 fantasy points per game (14th) despite averaging just 23 pass attempts per game, with a far worse wide receiver core than he has now.

It is hard to believe the Saints will throw the ball at such a low rate once again, as they finished 30th in team pass plays per game during the 2021 season. With a pass-catching group led by Tre’Quan Smith and Marquez Callaway, it shouldn't be a surprise that they ranked fourth in run plays. In 2022, we should see a passing attack that finds some more balance given how deep their arsenal of weaponry is at the skill positions.

Still, Winston finished with a 14:3 TD: INT ratio in that depleted offense, which would be a full season pace of 34:7.

Now, that would obviously be hard to keep up over a 17-game season, but the fact that he is surrounded by a group of weapons reminiscent of his days in Tampa Bay is an encouraging sign that he can throw touchdowns at a high rate.

In his last full season as a starter in 2019, with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin at his disposal, Winston threw for 5,109 yards, 33 touchdowns, and a notorious 30 interceptions. It took him 626 attempts to do this, so let’s not get ahead of ourselves and expect this type of production in 2022.

Despite his astronomical volume, he was actually still very efficient. He ranked fifth in yards per attempt with 8.2 but was down to 7.3 last season. However, 7.3 yards per attempt was good for the 14th most last season. To put it in perspective, Mahomes and Tom Brady averaged 7.4 yards per attempt, and Justin Herbert averaged 7.5.

There is proof that Winston has the ability to produce as a QB1 in fantasy when he is a starting quarterback (QB8 in 2019 and QB11 in 2018) yet he is being drafted as a lower-end QB2. The 28-year-old is a great target in two-QB/SuperFlex leagues, as he may have the best chance at posting low-end QB1 numbers among those drafted around him.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jakobi Meyers

Unsure About Potential Extension
Matthew Stafford

Off Injury Report Ahead of Week 1
Will Smith

Exits With Hand Contusion
Jackson Chourio

in Lineup Wednesday Despite Hamstring Cramps
Sepp Straka

Gets Captain's Pick to Join Team Europe
Christian Yelich

Dealing With Soreness in Lower Back
PGA

Victor Hovland to Make Third Ryder Cup Appearance for Team Europe
J.J. Spaun

Set to Represent Team USA for First Time at Bethpage
Russell Henley

Makes First Ryder Cup Appearance at Bethpage
Harris English

Named to Ryder Cup Team for Second Time
Kyle Finnegan

Dealing With Groin Issue
Shohei Ohtani

Will Pitch "Sometime This Weekend"
Jackson Chourio

Absent on Wednesday With Hamstring Cramp
Roman Anthony

Officially Goes on Injured List
Jauan Jennings

Limited on Wednesday, Expected to Play in Week 1
Malik Nabers

Not on Initial Injury Report
Roman Anthony

"High Probability" Roman Anthony Lands on Injured List
Justin Thomas

Making Fourth Ryder Cup Team Appearance at Bethpage
Ben Griffin

Making First Career Ryder Cup Appearance at Bethpage
Bryson DeChambeau

Set to be Part of Team USA at Bethpage
Jason Adam

to Undergo Season-Ending Surgery
Roman Anthony

Will Undergo MRI on Wednesday
Santi Aldama

Bags Double-Double in Losing Effort
Guerschon Yabusele

Erupts for 36 Points Against Poland
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Leads Slovenia Into Next Round at EuroBasket
San Antonio Spurs

Stanley Umude Signs Training Camp Deal With Spurs
Reece Beekman

Joins Magic for Training Camp
Justin Minaya

Signs Exhibit 10 Deal With Magic
Travis Hunter

Jaguars List Travis Hunter as Starting Wide Receiver, Backup Cornerback
Kyle Tucker

Leaves With Calf Tightness on Tuesday
Alexandre Sarr

to Miss Rest of EuroBasket
Max Scherzer

Blue Jays Confident Max Scherzer Will Make Saturday Start Despite Back Tightness
Roman Anthony

Leaves Early With Back Injury
Jared McCain

"On Pace" for Training Camp
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Done for the Year With Torn ACL
Luke Hughes

Devils Optimistic About Signing Luke Hughes
Martin Fehérváry

Martin Fehervary on Track to Be Ready for Training Camp
Dylan Holloway

Good to Go for Start of Season
Nick Kurtz

Back in Action on Tuesday
Josh Morrissey

Fully Healthy for Start of Season
Dennis Hildeby

Signs Three-Year Extension With Maple Leafs
Nick Lodolo

Scratched With Illness
Dalton Kincaid

Role Not Expected to Grow?
Quinshon Judkins

Zero Chance Quinshon Judkins Plays Against Bengals?
Najee Harris

Says He's Expecting to Play Against Chiefs
Adolis García

Adolis Garcia Departs Monday with Quad Injury
Franz Wagner

Collects Double-Double in Blowout Win
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Achieves Rare Numbers at EuroBasket
Nikola Vučević

Nikola Vucevic Dominates Against Sweden
Stefon Diggs

Expected to Suit Up in Week 1
Kristaps Porzingis

Finding Form at EuroBasket
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic Suffers Minor Injury at EuroBasket
DJ Moore

Bears Experimenting with DJ Moore in Backfield
Rome Odunze

Could Move All Around the Offense
Carolina Panthers

Dave Canales Comfortable With Panthers' Young Receivers
Quinshon Judkins

Not Considering NCAA Return
Dallas Goedert

Healthy for Week 1
Marvin Mims Jr.

Returns to Practice Monday
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Carted Off Monday With Knee Injury
Jason Adam

Diagnosed With Ruptured Left Quadriceps Tendon
Victor Wembanyama

Looking "Quite Stellar"
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Scratched on Monday
Matthew Stafford

Expected to Start in Week 1
Edward Cabrera

Heading to Injured List With Elbow Sprain
Najee Harris

Cleared for Contact, Could Play in Week 1
Denny Hamlin

Ends Eventful Day at Darlington in Seventh Place
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Almost Earns a Top-Five Finish at Darlington
John Hunter Nemechek

has His Best 2025 Performance at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

Has An Underwhelming Performance At Darlington
Josh Berry

Crashes Early and Suffers A Playoff Setback at Darlington
Giannis Antetokounmpo

"Staying in Milwaukee"
Thanasis Antetokounmpo

Agrees to a One-Year Contract with Milwaukee
Kyrie Irving

"Healing Up Great"
Dante Exum

Mavs Agree on a One-Year Deal
Jaylen Warren

Agrees to Two-Year Extension With Steelers
De'Von Achane

Practicing Monday, on Track to Play in Week 1
Quinshon Judkins

Could Report to Browns This Week
Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs, Trent McDuffie Not Expected to Finalize Extension
Chase Elliott

Under Playoff Pressure After 17th-Place Darlington Finish
Kyle Larson

Despite Hendrick Mediocrity, Kyle Larson Remains Pretty Safe in Playoffs
Alex Bowman

Opening-Lap Crash and Botched Pit Stop May Have Sunk Alex Bowman's Playoff Hopes
Erik Jones

Darlington Master Erik Jones Comes Up Short but Still Finishes Third
AJ Allmendinger

A.J. Allmendinger Impresses at Southern 500
Daniel Suarez

is A DFS Risk for Darlington Lineups?
Noah Gragson

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Noah Gragson for Darlington?
Ty Dillon

is an Excellent Punt Option for Darlington DFS Lineups
Bogdan Bogdanović

Bogdan Bogdanovic to Miss the Rest of EuroBasket
Denny Hamlin

Picking Up Where He Left Off At Darlington
Kyle Larson

The Sky Is The Limit for Kyle Larson at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

a Strong DFS Play at Darlington This Weekend
Tyler Reddick

Shouldn't Be Overlooked at Darlington This Weekend
Alex Bowman

An Easy Place-Differential Play in DFS This Weekend
Ty Gibbs

Could Be Strong at Darlington This Weekend
Erik Jones

Has Best Darlington Qualifying Effort Since Last Win
Zane Smith

Hopeful For Another Solid Run At Darlington
Dallas Mavericks

Olivier-Maxence Prosper Waived by the Mavs
Lauri Markkanen

Dominant in Win Over Great Britain

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP