👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

2016 Player vs. Player - Aaron Rodgers vs. Cam Newton

It's never too early to start preparing for your fantasy football drafts, and Rotoballer is here to help! In this series, two RotoBaller experts will discuss the merits of two players with similar value and average draft position (ADP). Remember that situations will change for all players over the course of the summer and it may impact where they are selected in drafts.

Our next article comes from featured writers Pierre Camus (@pfunk00) and Kane Green (@NovaKaneSports). Kane defends perennial Pro Bowl QB Aaron Rodgers in his attempt to rebound from what would qualify as a sub-par season only for him, while Pierre is on the side of reigning MVP Cam Newton.

Editor's Note: RotoBaller offers the best Premium MLB Subscription - only $1.99 per week. All the tools you need to help win your seasonal and daily leagues: Hitter & Pitcher Streamers, Matchup Ratings for every player, Under-the-Radar Surgers for AVG, HR, Ks, plus daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Lineup Picks, Expert Lineups, Stacks and Avoids. 

Featured Promo: Looking for some more fantasy football action? Adopt a dynasty orphan team over at FFPC. Sign up today and get $25 off any FFPC league. Sign Up Now!

 

Aaron Rodgers vs. Cam Newton

Admittedly, it would be hard to go wrong with either Cam Newton or Aaron Rodgers in your QB slot. However, as fantasy writers, it is our duty to perform exhaustive analysis of their pros and cons, so that you, the reader, can make the best decision possible in this year’s draft. Let’s get started!

 

TD/INT ratio

Kane: There is no doubt that Cam has the potential to put up huge numbers, but one of the primary categories I look at when drafting a quarterback is the ability to avoid turnovers. Taking that into consideration, there is no better pick than Aaron Rodgers. In the past two seasons, Rodgers has 13 combined interceptions. To put that in perspective, 11 starting quarterbacks had that many interceptions, or more, in 2015 alone. Add the fact that he has thrown 38 or more TD in three of the last five seasons (remember, he only played nine games in 2013) and that makes for a surefire fantasy bet.

Pierre: Avoiding turnovers is a big asset, especially in leagues that penalize players with negative points. That alone isn't a deciding factor when drafting a top-flight quarterback as early as the third round. If so, Alex Smith would be a #1 pick in fantasy as well. TD/INT ratio is more telling statistic and, despite a few more turnovers, Newton should be prioritized. He produced more combined touchdowns last year than any other QB (hence the MVP award), while throwing just ten interceptions. He has lowered his interceptions in three of the past four seasons down to 10 in 2016. Look more closely and you'll notice he only threw one pick in the second half of the season, showcasing his progress. Newton may not touch double-digit INT this season, narrowing the gap between him and Rodgers in this category.

 

Impact of Primary Target Returning

Kane: Quarterbacks are only as good as their primary weapons, and Rodgers has some great receiving reads to go through. In 2015, Rodgers had one of the worst seasons of his career. Arguably the biggest reason for this was the absence of his favorite target, Jordy Nelson. This left Randall Cobb to face the bulk of the coverage, and Rodgers had to force it to his less established receivers instead. Between 2013 and 2014 seasons, Nelson had 2,833 receiving yards, and 21 TDs. Needless to say, it will only help Rodgers’ 2016 outlook.

Pierre: Newton also returns his best receiver, third-year 1st rounder Kelvin Benjamin. Unlike the 31 year-old Nelson, Benjamin is just 25 and entering the all-important third year as an NFL receiver. In his rookie season, before Newton's breakout, Benjamin already put up 1,008 YD and nine TD. Just think what he is capable of producing this season. The 6'5", 250 lb behemoth will make an enormous red zone threat and ease the pressure off of Cam from having to spread the ball around to lesser receivers.

 

Receiving Depth

Kane: In addition to Rodgers’ two prime time receivers, he also has extreme depth to fall back on if one of his receivers gets hurt. Not only will Cobb and Nelson be pulling down their share of receptions, but Davante Adams will be looking to regain the trust that he lost in 2015, and will no longer be under the pressure of supporting the offense. Don’t forget the promising youngsters Ty Montgomery and Jared Abbrederis, and Jared Cook’s backup at the tight end position, Richard Rodgers. All of these guys have the talent to start on a lot of NFL teams, and are in a position where they can develop as playmakers. In comparison, Cam Newton has… Corey Brown and Stephen Hill?

Pierre: Sure, the Packers have more players qualified to fight for the glory of the third or fourth receiver job, the Panthers probably have a more talented starting group. Benjamin aside, Devin Funchess is a second-rounder primed to break out in his sophomore season in a way that Davante Adams couldn't do last year. Ted Ginn is capable of taking it to the house every time he touches the ball (when he doesn't drop it, that is). Ed Dickson is a quality backup tight end and frankly, Greg Olsen is worth more than two Jared Cooks anyway.

 

Coaching Philosophies

Kane: With the rule changes regarding the point after touchdown, a lot of teams are looking more closely at going for two instead of kicking the extra point. Coach Mike McCarthy was recently quoted as saying that he would have “zero issue” with the Packers ramping up their two-point attempts in 2016. Even with Eddie Lacy leaning out in the offseason, the Packers would still need to mix it up if they want to keep defenses off balance. It isn’t like they aren’t already good at it. In 2015, Green Bay ranked second in successful two point conversions, completing four out of their eight tries. Aaron Rodgers would likely see a few QB sneaks, and some short dump passes, resulting in extra two extra fantasy points on top of Rodgers’ consistently impressive weekly lines.

Pierre: While Rodgers may get the chance to chip in an extra two points more frequently, Newton will be cashing in six with his legs. I don't have to tell you (but I will anyway) that Newton is the best running QB in the league and maybe the best dual-threat ever. He ran for 636 yards and 10 touchdowns just last season. He has put up 43 rushing TD in his first five seasons - numbers that most running backs can be jealous of. Newton’s rushing value alone makes him top-10 QB and as valuable as most starting running backs. Most importantly, Coach Ron Rivera was quoted as saying Newton is “just scratching the surface of how good he can be” and believes he is a triple-threat. Words from a coach that don't sound like he will stop him from running with the ball any time soon.

 

Health

Kane: Cam’s legs are a crucial part of his game. All-in-all, he is a much bigger threat on the ground than Rodgers. I concede that. However, with the Panthers receiving core (with the obvious exception of Greg Olsen) still unproven, and an aging and injury-prone Jonathan Stewart lining up in the backfield, Cam may be forced to use his legs more often to make up yardage on third downs. This will not bode well for him this season. Apart from historical data reflecting sharp regression in mobile quarterbacks, defenses will be able to plan for his scampers, and shut them down early. Aaron Rodgers, on the other hand, will not have to use his legs, but, instead, will be able to use them as an accent to all of his other threats. This will keep him healthier, and able to make more plays through the air as the season progresses. No quarterback has a higher floor than Rodgers and he makes for a sure bet among early QB picks. Do you really want to risk injury or regression on a stud QB?

Pierre: True, Newton won't be able to scramble forever, but at age 27 it is a non-issue entering the 2016 season. Despite his hard-playing style, Newton has been remarkably healthy, playing in 78 of a possible 80 games in his career so far. Plus, the Panthers are one of just three teams that are returning the same offensive line that played together for the majority of last season. They will continue to keep defenders off his back and open running lanes for him to dart through. His Super Bowl experience, increased maturity, and motivation after losing the big game will only make him hungrier if anything. There is always risk involved with a QB like Newton, but he has arguably the highest ceiling than any player in the entire league. You can play it safe, but fantasy championships aren't won by making a bunch of safe picks, are they?

 

NFL & Fantasy Football Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-0" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]


Check out RotoBaller's famous fantasy football draft sleepers and waiver wire pickups list, updated regularly!


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Troy Terry

Adds Three Points in Return to Lineup
Leo Carlsson

Picks Up Trio of Points on Sunday
Dejounte Murray

Battling Illness Ahead of Monday
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Could Miss Another Game Monday
Noah Clowney

Sidelined Monday Versus Trail Blazers
Michael Porter Jr.

to Miss Third Straight Game
José Ramírez

Jose Ramirez is Day-to-Day with Shoulder Inflammation
Alexandre Sarr

Out Monday Against Golden State
Jeremy Sochan

Returns to Action Sunday
Ömer Yurtseven

Omer Yurtseven Set to Debut Sunday for Golden State
Quinten Post

Cleared to Play Sunday Against New York
Malik Monk

to Miss Third Straight Game Sunday
Devin Carter

Sidelined Sunday Versus Utah
Brendan Gallagher

Rejoins Canadiens Lineup Sunday
Russell Westbrook

Won't Play Sunday Versus Jazz
Josh Hart

Cleared to Play Sunday Against Golden State
Daniil Tarasov

Starting Against Kraken
Quinn Ewers

Set to Back Up New Quarterback
Ty Emberson

Remains Out Sunday
Chris Brooks

the Preferred Handcuff in Green Bay?
Bobby Brink

Questionable Sunday
Kendre Miller

Continues to Fall Out of Favor in New Orleans
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Unavailable Against Wild
Brashard Smith

Ascension Put on Pause?
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

a Game-Time Call Sunday
Corbin Carroll

to Resume Playing Defense This Week
John Carlson

Set for Ducks Debut
Francisco Lindor

Non-Committal About Status for Opening Day
Nathan Eovaldi

Named Rangers' Opening Day Starter
Hayden Birdsong

Diagnosed with Grade 2 Forearm Strain and UCL Sprain
Jacksonville Jaguars

Jaguars Eyeing Defensive Linemen and a Tight End in the NFL Draft?
Davante Adams

Rams Explored Trading Davante Adams
Dallas Goedert

Eagles Bring Back Dallas Goedert on a One-Year Deal
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Continues to Disappoint in Year 2
Theo Johnson

Facing Increased Competition in New York
Kyle Monangai

Will Continue to Test Fantasy Managers' Patience
Jayden Daniels

' Suppressed Dynasty Value Makes him a Buy-Low Candidate
Zay Flowers

an Early Free Agency Winner
Joe Burrow

Can a Healthy Joe Burrow Challenge for QB1?
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Is Amon-Ra St. Brown the Safest Pick in Fantasy?
Xavier Worthy

Dynasty Value Continues to Tumble
Andrei Iosivas

Overshadowed by Two Stud Receivers in Cincy
Jaylen Wright

a Handcuff Option With Upside Going into Year 3
Tyjae Spears

Figures to be in Backup Pass-Catching Role Again in 2026
Tyler Shough

Looking to Build on Encouraging Close to 2025
Karl-Anthony Towns

Rejoins Knicks Lineup Sunday
Marcelo Mayer

Scratched With Left-Knee Soreness
Zach Neto

Tests Come Back Negative, Dealing With Sprained Hand
Ausar Thompson

Returns to Action Sunday
NFL

Emmett Johnson Could Develop into a Three-Down Workhorse in the NFL
Isaiah Hartenstein

Cleared to Return Sunday
NFL

Does Jordyn Tyson Carry Future WR1 Upside?
Anthony Edwards

Available Sunday
Christopher Bell

Looking for Redemption, Wins Pole at Las Vegas
Denny Hamlin

Should Contend for Another Vegas Win
Chase Briscoe

Qualifies 18th Despite Toyota Dominating at Las Vegas
Chase Elliott

May Fly Under the Radar at Las Vegas
De'Anthony Melton

Held Out Sunday Versus New York
NASCAR

Ross Chastian Has Been As Solid As They Come at Las Vegas
Ty Gibbs

Could Ty Gibbs Finally Break Through With a Win at Las Vegas?
Kristaps Porzingis

Won't Play Sunday Versus Knicks
Brad Keselowski

a Solid DFS Pick at Las Vegas
Kevin Porter Jr.

Sidelined Sunday Versus Pacers
Jarrett Allen

to Miss Fifth Straight Game Sunday
Kyle Filipowski

to Sit Sunday for Rest
Francisco Lindor

is Making Spring Debut on Sunday
Carter Verhaeghe

Anton Lundell Expected to Return Sunday
Kyle Larson

Should Kyle Larson be Considered A Favorite for Las Vegas?
Sam Bennett

Considered Day-to-Day
William Byron

Could Compete for a Top-Five Finish at Las Vegas
Sam Reinhart

Not Traveling on Four-Game Road Trip
Ryan Blaney

Is Ryan Blaney Worth Rostering in Tournament DFS Lineups for Las Vegas?
Michael Rasmussen

Ruled Out for One Week
Tyler Reddick

Could Continue his Top-10 Streak at Las Vegas
Declan Carlile

to Miss 4-5 Weeks
Joey Logano

Should DFS Managers Underestimate Joey Logano for Las Vegas?
Igor Chernyshov

Exits Early Due to Injury Saturday
Chris Buescher

Is Chris Buescher Worth Rostering For Las Vegas DFS Lineups?
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace is A Risky DFS Option Who Could Pay Off at Las Vegas
Josh Berry

Has Plenty of Upside for Las Vegas DFS Lineups
Ryan Preece

Scores his First Las Vegas Top-10 Starting Spot in Qualifying
Justin Allgaier

Will Fill In for an Injured Alex Bowman at Las Vegas
Nico Hischier

has Four-Point Performance on Saturday
Seiya Suzuki

Leaves WBC Game on Saturday With Right-Knee Discomfort
Macklin Celebrini

Continues to Dominate With Three Points
Anze Kopitar

Becomes All-Time Leading Scorer for Kings
Linus Ullmark

Posts Shutout Against Ducks
Zach Neto

is Removed After Suffering Hand Injury
TB

Nicholas Paul Rejoins Lightning Lineup
Cole Caufield

Cleared to Play Saturday
Joe Ryan

Won't Pitch in the World Baseball Classic
Zack Wheeler

Throws First Live BP Session on Saturday
Merrill Kelly

Expected to Open Season on the Injured List
Kevin Gausman

Named Toronto's Opening Day Starter
Kyle Stowers

Back in Grapefruit League Lineup
Francisco Lindor

Takes Full Batting Practice on Friday
Brandon Woodruff

Still TBD for Opening Day
Trevor Rogers

to Start on Opening Day for Orioles
Kevin Vallejos

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Josh Emmett

In Dire Need Of Victory
Gillian Robertson

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 114
Amanda Lemos

Set For Co-Main Event
Oumar Sy

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Ion Cutelaba

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Blake Snell

Around Six Weeks From Being Fully Built Up
Zack Wheeler

to Face Hitters in Live Batting Practice on Saturday
Gerrit Cole

Could Pitch in a Spring Game Next Week
Hideki Matsuyama

Brings Strong Course History to TPC Sawgrass
Adam Scott

in Strong Form Ahead of The Players
Rickie Fowler

on Quite the Run Heading to TPC Sawgrass
Sepp Straka

Needs to Forget What Happened Sunday at Bay Hill
Jordan Spieth

an Enigma Heading to The Players Championship
Justin Rose

Trying to Pick Up the Pieces in Florida
Maverick McNealy

Bounces Back at Arnold Palmer Invitational
Brooks Koepka

Continues His Florida Swing With Some Momentum
Nicolai Hojgaard

in Strong Form Ahead of The Players
Robert MacIntyre

a Volatile Option at The Players
Matt Fitzpatrick

Looks to Return to Top Form at The Players
Sam Burns

a High-Risk, High-Reward Option at The Players
Keegan Bradley

Hard to Trust at The Players
Xander Schauffele

Rounding into Form Heading to Players Championship
Rory McIlroy

Set to Return at Players Championship to Defend Title
Jake Knapp

Set to Return at Players Championship
Viktor Hovland

Continues Strong Start to 2026 Season
Rasmus Hojgaard

Looking for Bounce-Back at Players Championship
Tommy Fleetwood

Will Need to Find Putter to Compete at Players Championship
Akshay Bhatia

Continues Improving Heading to Players Championship
Justin Thomas

Continues Competitive Return at The Players Championship
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF