🖥 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE THANKS
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

2016 Player vs. Player - Aaron Rodgers vs. Cam Newton

It's never too early to start preparing for your fantasy football drafts, and Rotoballer is here to help! In this series, two RotoBaller experts will discuss the merits of two players with similar value and average draft position (ADP). Remember that situations will change for all players over the course of the summer and it may impact where they are selected in drafts.

Our next article comes from featured writers Pierre Camus (@pfunk00) and Kane Green (@NovaKaneSports). Kane defends perennial Pro Bowl QB Aaron Rodgers in his attempt to rebound from what would qualify as a sub-par season only for him, while Pierre is on the side of reigning MVP Cam Newton.

Editor's Note: RotoBaller offers the best Premium MLB Subscription - only $1.99 per week. All the tools you need to help win your seasonal and daily leagues: Hitter & Pitcher Streamers, Matchup Ratings for every player, Under-the-Radar Surgers for AVG, HR, Ks, plus daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Lineup Picks, Expert Lineups, Stacks and Avoids. 

Editor's Note: Stay on top of your draft prep with RotoBaller’s fantasy football rankings, featuring expert analysis, ADPs, and draft insights for both PPR and non-PPR leagues.

 

Aaron Rodgers vs. Cam Newton

Admittedly, it would be hard to go wrong with either Cam Newton or Aaron Rodgers in your QB slot. However, as fantasy writers, it is our duty to perform exhaustive analysis of their pros and cons, so that you, the reader, can make the best decision possible in this year’s draft. Let’s get started!

 

TD/INT ratio

Kane: There is no doubt that Cam has the potential to put up huge numbers, but one of the primary categories I look at when drafting a quarterback is the ability to avoid turnovers. Taking that into consideration, there is no better pick than Aaron Rodgers. In the past two seasons, Rodgers has 13 combined interceptions. To put that in perspective, 11 starting quarterbacks had that many interceptions, or more, in 2015 alone. Add the fact that he has thrown 38 or more TD in three of the last five seasons (remember, he only played nine games in 2013) and that makes for a surefire fantasy bet.

Pierre: Avoiding turnovers is a big asset, especially in leagues that penalize players with negative points. That alone isn't a deciding factor when drafting a top-flight quarterback as early as the third round. If so, Alex Smith would be a #1 pick in fantasy as well. TD/INT ratio is more telling statistic and, despite a few more turnovers, Newton should be prioritized. He produced more combined touchdowns last year than any other QB (hence the MVP award), while throwing just ten interceptions. He has lowered his interceptions in three of the past four seasons down to 10 in 2016. Look more closely and you'll notice he only threw one pick in the second half of the season, showcasing his progress. Newton may not touch double-digit INT this season, narrowing the gap between him and Rodgers in this category.

 

Impact of Primary Target Returning

Kane: Quarterbacks are only as good as their primary weapons, and Rodgers has some great receiving reads to go through. In 2015, Rodgers had one of the worst seasons of his career. Arguably the biggest reason for this was the absence of his favorite target, Jordy Nelson. This left Randall Cobb to face the bulk of the coverage, and Rodgers had to force it to his less established receivers instead. Between 2013 and 2014 seasons, Nelson had 2,833 receiving yards, and 21 TDs. Needless to say, it will only help Rodgers’ 2016 outlook.

Pierre: Newton also returns his best receiver, third-year 1st rounder Kelvin Benjamin. Unlike the 31 year-old Nelson, Benjamin is just 25 and entering the all-important third year as an NFL receiver. In his rookie season, before Newton's breakout, Benjamin already put up 1,008 YD and nine TD. Just think what he is capable of producing this season. The 6'5", 250 lb behemoth will make an enormous red zone threat and ease the pressure off of Cam from having to spread the ball around to lesser receivers.

 

Receiving Depth

Kane: In addition to Rodgers’ two prime time receivers, he also has extreme depth to fall back on if one of his receivers gets hurt. Not only will Cobb and Nelson be pulling down their share of receptions, but Davante Adams will be looking to regain the trust that he lost in 2015, and will no longer be under the pressure of supporting the offense. Don’t forget the promising youngsters Ty Montgomery and Jared Abbrederis, and Jared Cook’s backup at the tight end position, Richard Rodgers. All of these guys have the talent to start on a lot of NFL teams, and are in a position where they can develop as playmakers. In comparison, Cam Newton has… Corey Brown and Stephen Hill?

Pierre: Sure, the Packers have more players qualified to fight for the glory of the third or fourth receiver job, the Panthers probably have a more talented starting group. Benjamin aside, Devin Funchess is a second-rounder primed to break out in his sophomore season in a way that Davante Adams couldn't do last year. Ted Ginn is capable of taking it to the house every time he touches the ball (when he doesn't drop it, that is). Ed Dickson is a quality backup tight end and frankly, Greg Olsen is worth more than two Jared Cooks anyway.

 

Coaching Philosophies

Kane: With the rule changes regarding the point after touchdown, a lot of teams are looking more closely at going for two instead of kicking the extra point. Coach Mike McCarthy was recently quoted as saying that he would have “zero issue” with the Packers ramping up their two-point attempts in 2016. Even with Eddie Lacy leaning out in the offseason, the Packers would still need to mix it up if they want to keep defenses off balance. It isn’t like they aren’t already good at it. In 2015, Green Bay ranked second in successful two point conversions, completing four out of their eight tries. Aaron Rodgers would likely see a few QB sneaks, and some short dump passes, resulting in extra two extra fantasy points on top of Rodgers’ consistently impressive weekly lines.

Pierre: While Rodgers may get the chance to chip in an extra two points more frequently, Newton will be cashing in six with his legs. I don't have to tell you (but I will anyway) that Newton is the best running QB in the league and maybe the best dual-threat ever. He ran for 636 yards and 10 touchdowns just last season. He has put up 43 rushing TD in his first five seasons - numbers that most running backs can be jealous of. Newton’s rushing value alone makes him top-10 QB and as valuable as most starting running backs. Most importantly, Coach Ron Rivera was quoted as saying Newton is “just scratching the surface of how good he can be” and believes he is a triple-threat. Words from a coach that don't sound like he will stop him from running with the ball any time soon.

 

Health

Kane: Cam’s legs are a crucial part of his game. All-in-all, he is a much bigger threat on the ground than Rodgers. I concede that. However, with the Panthers receiving core (with the obvious exception of Greg Olsen) still unproven, and an aging and injury-prone Jonathan Stewart lining up in the backfield, Cam may be forced to use his legs more often to make up yardage on third downs. This will not bode well for him this season. Apart from historical data reflecting sharp regression in mobile quarterbacks, defenses will be able to plan for his scampers, and shut them down early. Aaron Rodgers, on the other hand, will not have to use his legs, but, instead, will be able to use them as an accent to all of his other threats. This will keep him healthier, and able to make more plays through the air as the season progresses. No quarterback has a higher floor than Rodgers and he makes for a sure bet among early QB picks. Do you really want to risk injury or regression on a stud QB?

Pierre: True, Newton won't be able to scramble forever, but at age 27 it is a non-issue entering the 2016 season. Despite his hard-playing style, Newton has been remarkably healthy, playing in 78 of a possible 80 games in his career so far. Plus, the Panthers are one of just three teams that are returning the same offensive line that played together for the majority of last season. They will continue to keep defenders off his back and open running lanes for him to dart through. His Super Bowl experience, increased maturity, and motivation after losing the big game will only make him hungrier if anything. There is always risk involved with a QB like Newton, but he has arguably the highest ceiling than any player in the entire league. You can play it safe, but fantasy championships aren't won by making a bunch of safe picks, are they?

 

NFL & Fantasy Football Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-0" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]


Check out RotoBaller's famous fantasy football draft sleepers and waiver wire pickups list, updated regularly!


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

CFB

Arch Manning Agrees to Reduced Compensation for 2026 Season
Zach Werenski

Enjoys Second Consecutive Multi-Goal Game
Logan Thompson

Collects Second Shutout of the Season
Linus Ullmark

Blanks Penguins Thursday
Tyson Kozak

Hurt Against Flyers
Conor Timmins

to Miss 6-8 Weeks With Broken Leg
Tristan Jarry

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Versus Bruins
Anthony Cirelli

Injured in Thursday's Loss
Matthew Stafford

Racks Up Highest Yardage Total in Over a Decade
Puka Nacua

Delivers Career-Best Performance on Thursday Night Football
Michael King

Padres Bring Michael King Back on Three-Year Deal
Anthony Edwards

on the Injury Report Again for Friday Night
Joel Embiid

on the Injury Report for Friday Due to an Illness
Logan Webb

Will Pitch for Team USA in World Baseball Classic
Tarik Skubal

Joins Team USA for World Baseball Classic
Anthony Davis

Cleared to Play Versus Detroit
Jakobi Meyers

Jaguars Agree to Three-Year Extension With Jakobi Meyers
Davante Adams

Officially Out on Thursday Night
LaMelo Ball

Available Against Atlanta
Trae Young

on a Minutes Restriction on Thursday
Michael Kesselring

Available After 14-Game Absence
Tyrese Maxey

Off the Injury Report for Friday Night
Peyton Krebs

Good to Go Thursday
Norman Powell

Good to Go Against Brooklyn
Jake Bean

Set for Surgery, Out Indefinitely
Mike Matheson

Misses Second Straight Game Thursday
Mitchell Robinson

Won't Suit Up Against Indiana
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Back for Lightning Thursday
Josh Hart

Sidelined on Thursday Evening
Ryan McDonagh

Available Thursday
OG Anunoby

Available Against Indiana
Karl-Anthony Towns

Out on Thursday Night
Artemi Panarin

a Game-Time Call Thursday
Devin Neal

Placed on Injured Reserve, Will Not Return in 2025
CFB

Will Muschamp Becoming Next Texas Defensive Coordinator
Norman Powell

Upgraded to Probable
Lauri Markkanen

Ruled Out Thursday
LaMelo Ball

Upgraded to Probable for Thursday
Trae Young

Will Play Thursday Against the Hornets
Christian Watson

Questionable for Week 16
Gabe Vincent

Will Miss at Least a Week
Josh Jacobs

Listed as Questionable for Saturday Night
T.J. Watt

Unlikely to Play in Week 16
D'Andre Swift

Questionable to Face the Packers
Rome Odunze

Ruled Out for Week 16
Jawhar Jordan

Could be in for Significant Workload Against Raiders
Rome Odunze

Expected to Miss Third Straight Game
CFB

Beau Pribula Set to Enter Transfer Portal
Josh Jacobs

Expected to Play in Week 16
Sebastian Aho

Leads Hurricanes to Victory With Three-Point Period
Joel Hofer

Notches Third Shutout of the Season
Jordan Martinook

Sustains Lower-Body Injury
Puka Nacua

Brother Charged With Stealing NBA Player's SUV
Jonathan Marchessault

Exits Early Wednesday
Evan Rodrigues

Suffers Lower-Body Injury Wednesday
Lars Eller

to Miss at Least Three More Weeks
Thomas Chabot

Remains Out Thursday
Jrue Holiday

Remains Out Thursday
Khris Middleton

Unavailable Against Spurs
Bilal Coulibaly

Back From Four-Game Absence Thursday
Collin Sexton

Out on Thursday
Tari Eason

Remains Questionable on Injury Report
Bo Bichette

Willing to Make the Move to Second Base
Davante Adams

Doubtful to Play Thursday Night
Devin Neal

Ruled Out for Sunday
Christian Watson

"Should be Good" to Face the Bears on Saturday
Geno Smith

has "a Good Chance" to Return in Week 16
Saquon Barkley

Back at Practice on Wednesday
Brady Cook

Will Start Again in Week 16
Patrick Mahomes

Rehabbing ACL, LCL Tears
CFB

Jeremiyah Love Officially Heading to NFL Draft
CFB

Jake Merklinger Leaving Tennessee for Transfer Portal
Mike Trout

Angels Open to Mike Trout Playing Center Field in 2026
CFB

Kansas State's Jayce Brown Intends to Transfer
CFB

Nation's Leading Passer Drew Mestemaker to Enter Transfer Portal
Justin Crawford

Phillies Planning to Start Justin Crawford in Center Field
CFB

Jayden Maiava Signs New Deal to Return to USC
CFB

Aidan Mizell Won't Return to Florida, Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

East Carolina Targeting Jordan Davis as Next Offensive Coordinator
CFB

Michigan QB Jadyn Davis Set to Enter Transfer Portal
CFB

Travis Williams Joining Texas A&M Defensive Staff
CFB

Dylan Raiola Entering His Name into Transfer Portal
CFB

Cincinnati's Brendan Sorsby Plans to Transfer When Portal Opens
Adolis García

Adolis Garcia, Phillies Finalizing One-Year Deal on Monday
Brandon Royval

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
CFB

Baylor, LSU, Miami Among Potential Suitors for DJ Lagway
CFB

Aidan Chiles Will Enter Transfer Portal
Manel Kape

Shines At UFC Vegas 112
Kevin Vallejos

Gets Second-Round Knockout Win
Giga Chikadze

Suffers His First Career Knockout Loss
CFB

Quarterback DJ Lagway Entering Transfer Portal
Cesar Almeida

Gets Dominated
Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Wins Sixth Fight In A Row
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Melquizael Costa

Gets First-Round Knockout Win
Marcus Buchecha

Still Winless In The UFC
Kennedy Nzechukwu

And Marcus Buchecha Fight To Draw
Lance Gibson jr

Lance Gibson Jr. Drops Decision In His UFC Debut
King Green

Gets Back In The Win Column
Kenley Jansen

Agrees to One-Year Deal With Tigers
Merrill Kelly

Returns to Diamondbacks on Two-Year Deal
Jorge Polanco

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Mets
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Return to South Carolina in 2026

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP