6 days agoHarrison Burton scored his first top ten of the season last week at Talladega, but it is extremely unlikely to foresee him repeating that feat in this weekend's race at Dover. Although he did gain eleven positions from his starting position in both of his NASCAR Cup Series starts at Dover, he finished two laps down in both races and he has a mediocre average finish of 22nd. Additionally, in both races, his average running position was worse than his finish. Even in his Xfinity Series starts, he was essentially a nonfactor as he led no laps and finished no better than fifth for a Joe Gibbs Racing team that tends to dominate at Dover, as evidenced by Ryan Truex's back-to-back Xfinity Series wins there. With Burton qualifying 26th, it's hard to imagine any of these trends changing this weekend.
--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
6 days agoA.J. Allmendinger qualified 10th for this weekend's Würth 400 at Dover, giving Kaulig Racing its best starting position in the NASCAR Cup Series this year. Although Allmendinger has never led a lap there in the Xfinity Series, he has finished in the top six in his last three Xfinity starts there, including finishing sixth in his weekend's event. Allmendinger has had good performances in the Cup Series, but not really recently, as all three of his top ten finishes and 152 laps led came in a five-race period from 2009-2011 when he was driving for Richard Petty Motorsports. In the years since then, he has finished no better than 16th. He did have his best qualifying run in all that time today so he might be a little faster this weekend, but it definitely isn't something to count on.
--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
6 days agoOn Saturday afternoon, Bubba Wallace qualified 16th for Sunday's Wurth 400 at Dover Motor Speedway. Despite high expectations heading into last week's race at Talladega, the eight-year Cup veteran made contact with Erik Jones on lap 154 of the 188-lap race, ending the day for both drivers. While 2024 has been a strong season for the 23XI superstar, as he already has three appearances in the DraftKings optimal lineup, it is unlikely that he will add to this total on Sunday. Despite finishing 12th at this track last season, his average DraftKings score in the Next Gen car at this venue is just 34.40 points, which ranks him 16th in the Cup Series. With no top 10s and an average finish of 20.2 in nine Cup starts at "The Monster Mile," Wallace is nothing more than a contrarian play, a driver you will want to limit your exposure to in DFS this weekend.
--Adam Erhardt - RotoBallerSource: Racing-Reference.info
6 days agoRyan Preece will start 28th in Sunday's Wurth 400 at Dover Motor Speedway. On Saturday, Preece was largely underwhelming as he was only able to produce the 20th fastest time in practice (22.839), a time that ranked ninth among the Fords. What makes this time particularly interesting is that he was only on the track for 12 laps during practice, which was the second-fewest of anyone in the field. Given that his car was not strong, it makes you wonder why he limited himself to such few laps during practice. While drivers will sometimes limit themselves in practice in order to save something for qualifying, this does not appear to be what Preece was doing as he was just .327 faster in the qualifying session. Considering he has no top-10 finishes in seven Cup starts at this track, and that his average DraftKings score is 22.90 in the two starts in the Next Gen car here, we recommend limiting your exposure to the No. 41 in DFS this weekend.
--Adam Erhardt - RotoBallerSource: Racing-Reference.info
6 days agoNASCAR Hall of Famer Jimmie Johnson will start 27th in Sunday's Wurth 400 at Dover Motor Speedway. Every week in NASCAR DFS, there seems to be one driver in the field that is particularly difficult to assess, a driver that you can make a strong argument for and
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6 days agoWhen Carson Hocevar starts 20th in Sunday's Wurth 400 at Dover Motor Speedway, it will be just the second time the 21-year-old races on "The Monster Mile" in any of NASCAR's three major series. With no Cup or Xfinity starts, the only track history that we have to
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6 days agoOn Saturday afternoon, Denny Hamlin qualified sixth for Sunday's Wurth 400 at Dover Motor Speedway. After a late race incident ended his day on lap 154 last week at Talladega, Hamlin is looking to bounce back at Dover, a track he has a lot of experience on. In 33 starts at "The Monster Mile," the Joe Gibbs Racing star has one win, seven top-fives, 15 top-10s, and an average finish of 16.1, which ranks 13th among full-time drivers at this track. From a fantasy side, in the two races in the Next Gen car in The Diamond State, the 43-year-old is averaging 48.49 DraftKings points, which ranks him ninth in the Cup Series. These numbers, while decent, leave a lot to be desired. With the fourth-highest salary on DraftKings ($10,800), you will need more than just average production to justify this play. While we fully expect the 20-year Cup veteran to be competitive on the track on Sunday, do not expect him to produce the fantasy results needed to take down a DFS contest.
--Adam Erhardt - RotoBallerSource: Racing-Reference.info
6 days agoChase Briscoe is set to start seventh in Sunday's Wurth 400 at Dover Motor Speedway. With four top-10 finishes, and as the 12th-ranked driver in the playoff standings, Briscoe is quietly having a strong 2024 season. Despite being one of the more consistent drivers in the Cup Series this year in actual racing, as a fantasy play, he has been underwhelming. While his average DraftKings score of 32.50 is not disastrous, it does fall below value on his average salary of $7,200. What is also concerning is that in his three Cup starts at this track, he has an average finish of just 26th, with an average place differential of -10.7. Although it is important to recognize that Briscoe does have four top 10s in five Xfinity starts at this venue, his struggles at the Cup level on "The Monster Mile" cannot be ignored, which is why we recommend limiting your exposure to a max of 5-10% of your lineup builds this weekend in DFS.
--Adam Erhardt - RotoBallerSource: Racing-Reference.info
6 days agoAfter a disappointing 38th-place finish at Talladega, Christopher Bell will look to bounce back this weekend when he starts 33rd in Sunday's Wurth 400 at Dover Motor Speedway. Despite never winning at "The Monster Mile," there are plenty of reasons to be excited about Bell heading into this
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6 days agoJohn Hunter Nemechek was in a rough accident last week at Talladega. Some in the industry, including Kevin Harvick, squarely blamed him for the incident. Nemechek had that wonderful run at Bristol going from 26th to sixth despite corded tires. Again, on Saturday, the Legacy Motor Club driver had issues which caused him track position. Nemechek begins Sunday afternoon 34th. It is the second time the Toyota driver has started 30th or worse. The No. 42 car lost a good deal of speed and grip coming off Turn 4 as his lap times approached 24 seconds in practice. Warmer temperatures may allow positive place differential on Sunday.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: NASCAR.com
6 days agoDaniel Hemric showed a little extra speed in his Kaulig Racing car. Along with A.J. Allmendinger, the team fielded two cars in the Top 15. That is significant. Hemric starts from the 14th position but rebounded from a 25th place average in practice. By merely gaining several tenths of a second, Hemric, like Allmendinger, showed their Chevy can handle the turns (particularly Turn 4). The 33-year old qualifying inside the Top 20 in consecutive races shows tangible signs of progress. Hemric finished ninth last week at Talladega. Though Dover is a unique one mile track, Hemric illustrated he can drive and survive.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: NASCAR.com
6 days agoKaz Grala did not have the best time of Saturday. His Rick Ware Racing car hit the wall pretty hard in practice. As a result, Grala will start 35th on Sunday at Dover. The driver in the No. 15 Ford has struggled to an average finish of 27th in 2024 in nine races. Turn 4 caused an issue with several drivers but Grala never had a chance to save the car. Expectations for the Ford car are pretty low as Grala has had a tough time generating much pace other than Atlanta where he finished 14th early in the season. Minimal place differential is possible but again the "Monster Mile" is a different animal.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: NASCAR.com
6 days agoTodd Gilliland showed signs of improvement the past few weeks with a 13th at Martinsville and then an eighth at Talladega. The Front Row Motorsports driver has led 91 laps in four separate races in 2024. One still wonders what might have been at Dayton and especially Atlanta. However, Gilliland remains steadfast in improving his average finish of 22.7. He has raced in the Top 15 more and more often. The No. 38 car shows place differential potential at Dover. He improved six spots in 2022 and ten in 2023. Starting 30th on Sunday might provide a nice springboard from a DFS fantasy perspective.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: NASCAR.com
6 days agoAustin Dillon starts from the 23rd position for the Wurth 400 on Sunday afternoon from Dover. The Richard Childress Racing driver can take little solace that Kyle Busch is on the pole. Dillon is struggling mightily in the No. 3 car in 2024 with an average finish of 25.2. This is the worst mark of his career since becoming a full-time driver in 2014. He has one Top 10 result and has steadily regressed on the "Monster Mile" the past few seasons. Dillon dropped from 14th to 23rd to 27th. The Next-Gen car has not been kind as his hot seat could get a little hotter.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: NASCAR.com
6 days agoOne sneaky option in DFS tournaments this weekend at Dover is Ricky Stenhouse Jr. The JTG Daugherty Racing driver has struggled for much of the season, but has shown speed in the intermediate package this year, which is what the Cup Series is running this weekend. Additionally, Dover has been a decently strong track for Stenhouse, as he has posted finishes of 15th and second in the two Next Gen era races here. Additionally, Stenhouse has ended up 16th or better in six of his last nine starts at this track. The No. 47 Chevrolet will roll off the grid from 17th for this weekend's Würth 400 and at just $6,500 on DraftKings, Stenhouse looks to be one of the low-priced drivers that it would be worth being overweight on in tournaments this weekend.
--Jordan McAbeeSource: Speedway Digest
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