3 months agoJason Day is set to return to the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am after missing last year's event. In 2022, Day finished T24 at this tournament. However, he has performed well in his past three appearances, with a tie for seventh in 2021, fourth in 2020, and tied for fourth in 2019. Despite his previous success, Day needs to improve his approach play from 100-150 yards. Since January 1, 2023, he has only ranked in the 34th percentile in Greens-In-Regulation on approach shots from 100-150 yards in the fairway. Day may not receive much attention this week, but he could be an interesting pick for DFS lineups.
--Ian Christenson - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
3 months agoDavis Thompson did not make the cut at the Farmers Insurance Open last week after finishing T21 at The American Express two weeks ago. He will debut at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am this week. However, he may face a challenge similar to last week's. He may find it difficult to compete if he cannot put his approach shots closer to the hole than he did last year. Since January 1, 2023, Thompson has ranked in the 20th percentile in proximity to the hole and the 44th percentile in Greens-In-Regulation on approach shots from 100-150 yards in the fairway. It is important to note that over 32% of approach shots were taken from 100-150 yards in last year's tournament. Considering his recent performances and course fit, Thompson may not be a good fit for DFS lineups this week.
--Ian Christenson - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
3 months agoTom Hoge has only missed one cut in his first four appearances in the 2024 season. Last week, he finished T56 at the Farmers Insurance Open, and two weeks ago, he finished T17 at The American Express. Hoge is now gearing up to participate in the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, an event he has performed well in the past. In 2023, he finished T48, first place in 2022, and 12th in 2021. Hoge's success in this event can be attributed to his impressive rankings in proximity to the hole (93rd percentile) and Greens-In-Regulation on approach shots from 100-150 yards in the fairway (81st percentile) since January 1, 2023. This has proven to serve Hoge well because over 32% of approach shots came from 100-150 yards at last year's tournament. Hoge has been playing well and is worth considering for DFS lineups this week.
--Ian Christenson - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
3 months agoBrendon Todd missed last week's The American Express, but he's back and ready to tee it up at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Todd has a good track record in this tournament, finishing tied for second in 2023 and T16 in 2022. He has the skills to win the tournament this year, as he ranks in the 82nd percentile in proximity to the hole on approach shots from 100-150 yards in the fairway since January 1, 2023. This is particularly important because over 32% of approach shots in last year's tournament came from that distance. Todd has already achieved two top-35 finishes in his first two 2024 appearances, and his previous success in this tournament makes him an interesting choice for DFS lineups.
--Ian Christenson - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
3 months agoAdam Schenk had a solid T25 finish at last week's Farmers Insurance Open but missed the cut the previous week at The American Express. This week, he will compete at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, where he finished T37 last year. It's worth mentioning that Schenk ranks in the 39th percentile in proximity to the hole on approach shots from 100-150 yards in the fairway since January 1, 2023. This is crucial because if Schenk can perform well with his putter as he did at last week's Farmers Insurance Open, he has a chance to do well on Sunday. However, if he can't do well with his putter, he'll most likely not make it to the top. Schenk could be an interesting choice for DFS lineups this week, but some risk is involved.
--Ian Christenson - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
3 months agoLuke List finished T50 at last week's Farmers Insurance Open and will tee it up at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am for the first time since 2016, when he failed to make the cut. List will need to replicate the form he showed at The Sentry earlier this month to give himself a chance to compete. At last year's tournament, over 32% of approach shots came from 100-150 yards, and since January 1, 2023, List has ranked in the 78th percentile for Greens-In-Regulation on approach shots from 100-150 yards in the fairway. List has played well, but including him in DFS lineups comes with some risk.
--Ian Christenson - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
3 months agoWith his driving accuracy and elite approach skills, Corey Conners should have a lot of chances on a course like Pebble Beach. With small greens, Conners' irons give him an advantage over others, but his short-game struggles create issues. Conners missed the cut in both previous trips, but he's a much better player than he was in 2018 and 2019. If Conners continues to have issues scrambling, it could mean another poor performance at Pebble Beach.
--Rob RoseSource: PGATOUR.com
3 months agoWith all the talent in the world, it's been confusing to predict how Cam Young will perform since last spring. Young's approach game was a struggle at times last season, but appears to be back in his last three starts. The club that has been a real concern is Young's putter, which had been poor outside of a few weeks when it popped up. The way Young is ball striking currently should give him an advantage at Pebble Beach, but it will come down to whether he can convert enough birdie attempts.
--Rob RoseSource: PGATOUR.com
3 months agoThe fall was memorable for Ludvig Aberg, but until last week it had been a struggle to start the season. Aberg posted his first top-10 finish of the season at Farmers where his elite driver was a weapon. This week at Pebble Beach is a different story. Aberg will be asked to show off his scrambling skills, which haven't been to the same level as his long game this year. On another new course against a field of the best players, it could be another average start for the young star.
--Rob RoseSource: PGATOUR.com
3 months agoTo put Patrick Cantlay into a lineup this week, it's better to look at prior Pebble Beach leaderboards instead of his recent results. After a solid start to the season at Sentry, Cantlay hasn't cracked the top 50 since the PGA Tour entered California. Fortunately for Cantlay, he has had great success at this course, unlike last week. Cantlay managed a T4 finish last year without having a good approach week so he may turn in another high finish despite the recent struggles.
--Rob RoseSource: PGATOUR.com
3 months agoEven in a loaded field for a signature event, it's interesting to see Collin Morikawa priced at the bottom of the $9,000 range on DraftKings. Before last week's missed cut, Morikawa was on a run of top-10 finishes including a win at the ZOZO Championship. Last week was a poor performance with the putter, which isn't surprising for the star. Morikawa has the game to bounce back on a course like Pebble that requires elite approach play with tiny greens if he can make some putts.
--Rob RoseSource: PGATOUR.com
3 months agoAdam Svensson has been a popular play for fantasy managers over the past few months. The 30-year-old Canadian got off to a hot start in the fall swing, making the cut in all of his starts and picking up three top-20 finishes along the way. But Svensson is likely headed for trouble this week, especially on the heels of an ugly missed cut where he lost strokes in every statistical category. Pebble Beach is very predictive when it comes to course history, and Svensson's only two starts here resulted in a missed cut and a T49. And while he does have the 11th-best greens-in-regulation percentage over the last 36 rounds, he finds himself ranked in the bottom third of the field in around-the-green play, scrambling, and putting on Poa annua. Fantasy managers should seek value elsewhere in the $6,000 range on DraftKings.
--Ryan HickeySource: PGA Tour
3 months agoThere's a lot to like about Tony Finau's form right now. The 34-year-old star has kicked off his 10th year on Tour with four-straight made cuts, including a T4 at the Hero World Challenge and a T6 last week at the Farmers Insurance Open. But Finau may have a tough time contending this week, as he ranks outside of the top 20 golfers in key statistical categories, including overall approach and around-the-green play, greens-in-regulation percentage, par five scoring, birdie-or-better percentage gained, and putting on Poa annua. He's also lost strokes putting in 12 of his last 18 events dating back to the 2023 Masters Tournament. That could be a recipe for disappointment, even at his attractive $8,800 price tag on DraftKings. Fantasy managers should tread lightly with Finau this week.
--Ryan HickeySource: PGA Tour
3 months agoIf fantasy managers are anticipating a wedge-fest and putting contest this week, Andrew Putnam should be a name circled in their potential player pool. The 35-year-old Pepperdine alum missed the cut here last year, but he finished with a T6 in 2022 and has gained strokes putting in six of his seven starts at Pebble Beach. Despite being the 51st-most expensive golfer in the field, Putnam ranks 14th in good drive percentage, 13th in approach from 75-100 yards, fifth in greens-in-regulation,19th in scrambling, and 8th in Poa annua putting over the last 36 rounds. He has also posted two top-10 finishes in his six starts this season. There are few golfers who possess Putnam's upside in DraftKings' $6,000 range, and fantasy managers would be wise to get some exposure to him this week.
--Ryan HickeySource: PGA Tour
3 months agoSomething has got to give for Brian Harman this week. Pebble Beach is a notoriously predictive venue in terms of course history, and that would point to trouble for him this week. Currently ranked ninth in the OWGR, the Tour veteran has teed it up five times at Pebble Beach and has yet to post a finish inside of the top 20. From a statistical perspective, these results are a bit of an enigma given his well-rounded form and strengths in the short game. Perhaps 2024 is the year he finds himself in contention on Sunday, given that he is arguably playing the best golf of his career. Following his major victory at The Open Championship in July, Harman has notched five top-25 finishes in just seven PGA Tour events. He's also coming into Pebble Beach ranking ninth in good drive percentage, 12th around-the-green, and 26th in Poa annua putting over the last 36 rounds. We'll see if 2024 can be the year the Pebble Beach stars align for Harman.
--Ryan HickeySource: PGA Tour
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