Freddy Peralta 2024 Player Outlook: Potential Breakout Star Reliant On Good Health
11 months agoFreddy Peralta had a career-high 165.2 IP (30 starts) in 2023, which bodes well moving forward. The results were impressive with a 12-10 W-L record, 3.86 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 210 Ks. With a bit more luck, it could've been even better for Peralta. His 3.42 xFIP and 3.45 SIERA suggest there's room for Peralta to have a sub-3.50 ERA, especially if the home runs subside. His 16.0% HR/FB was fourth highest among qualified pitchers. The Brewers American Family Field is one of the more home run friendly ballparks so the homers might not subside too much, but there's certainly room for Peralta to lower his ERA. Peralta's biggest fantasy asset is the strikeouts. His 30.9% K% was in the 92nd percentile and of the 17 pitchers to reach 200 Ks last year, Peralta had the fewest total innings. It was likely no coincidence that Peralta had a career-high 94.4 MPH average fastball velocity in the same year he avoided the IL. All four pitches in his arsenal had a sub-.300 wOBA in 2023 as Peralta gave us a glimpse of what he can do over a full season when healthy. He has top-5 starting pitcher potential in 2024.