X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Power Risers and Fallers for Week 13: Buy or Sell?

By slgckgc on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Welcome back to this investigative piece where we examine players who have seen some notable changes in their power profiles -- for better or for worse -- in 2017.

As usual, you don’t need me to tell you that Miguel Sano or Aaron Judge are strong or that Jarrod Dyson and Billy Hamilton are toward the bottom in average exit velocity. The next time we meet up here will have seen the season’s halfway point cross over into our rear-view mirrors. Now, bear with me as I’m in a hotel room in the middle of nowhere and need to drive eight hours tomorrow, so we’ll just have three names in each section compared to the usual four.

Identifying top power risers and fallers for each week can help you spot the best pickups before your competition. We'll do the hard work for you, looking at the underlying metrics that influence a hitter's power: fly-ball, pull, hard-hit rates and exit velocity.  Consider buying these week 13 power risers and selling these week 13 power fallers.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and weekly lineup resources:

 

Power Risers

Curtis Granderson - (OF, NYM):

The Grandy Man has popped off for five homers with two doubles, a triple, 12 runs scored and nine RBI in his last eight games thanks to a resurgent power stroke. Over the last two weeks, Granderson’s fly-ball rate sits at 57.6 percent with a 60.6 percent pull rate and 48.5 percent hard-hit rate, with all three of those metrics being roughly 10-15 percent above his marks from the first two and a half months of 2017. While I was admittedly ready to write off the 36-year-old, he’s shown a strong affinity for pop as recently as last season with 30 HRs and manager Terry Collins has made it clear that Curtis is a favorite of his. Granderson's best seasons came when his power stats were extremely tilted toward a pull-happy power swing, so this return to form is beyond encouraging.

Carlos Gomez- (OF, TEX):

While Gomez has gone 0-for-4 with four strikeouts since missing Tuesday’s game, the speedy 31-year-old had popped six homers in a nine-game span since being removed from the disabled list on June 16. There is zero chance that he can sustain a 75 percent HR/FB rate, but he is lifting the ball 44 percent of the time with a wild 61.1 percent hard-hit rate over this window. His batted balls are also being pulled at a 56 percent clip, so while the raw power totals will regress, the potency for surges like this is verifiably housed in CarGoGo’s bat. Mix in the fact that he can swipe his fair share of bases and was a strong first-round pick just three seasons ago, and I'm in.

David Peralta - (OF, ARI):

Before Peralta went 0-for-4 on Thursday, the 29-year-old had hit safely in 15 of his last 17 games to the tune of a .385 average with three doubles, a triple, four homers, 16 runs scored and 12 RBI. While he still doesn’t lift the ball with any real regularity (just a 25.4 percent fly ball rate over that stretch) and is using all fields with near equality (33.9 percent pull rate), his hard-hit rate has shot up to 40.7 percent with a mere 11.9 percent soft-contact rate accompanying it. With the word leaking that Arizona's humidor is not to be in 2017, perhaps Peralta can end up flirting with a 20-homer, 100-run season. The run total is lovely since he bats second in this insanely powerful lineup, though his mere 24 RBI on the year would greatly benefit from the return of A.J. Pollock hitting ahead of him. Get well soon, Mr. Pollock.

 

Power Fallers

Dansby Swanson - (SS, ATL):

Swanson went 0-for-3 with two strikeouts on Thursday, making him hitless in his last four games. That’s lousy enough, but you might be surprised to learn he’s actually batting .292 in June. The thing is, we’re here to discuss a much bigger problem than his batting average. The 23-year-old hasn’t logged an extra-base hit since June 13, with a measly 15.4 percent hard-hit rate and 12.8 percent fly ball rate behind the letdown. Labelling him as a "sell" isn't exactly meant to say "trade him", so much as "you really can just let him go". I know he's young and will have his bumps and bruises -- he had just 127 games of seasoning in the Minors before being called up to the front lines in Atlanta last season -- but this is just plain ugly.

 J.D. Martinez - (OF, DET):

Martinez’s first 30 games of 2017 saw him crush 11 homers with 25 RBI and a .301 batting average thanks to an extreme 59.5 percent hard-hit rate, 41.9 percent pull rate and identical fly ball rate. His swing was simply made for power. Since then, his pull and fly ball rates have both fallen to 33.3 percent, which isn’t terrible by any means, but it meant that his hard-hit rate falling 23 percentage points carried some extra oomph. That’s not even a bad mark, but it isn’t a world-beating elite rate like in his first month of the season. He will still produce above-average numbers for sure, and may even have another one or two major power spikes in him for '17, but if you can sell on his overall numbers right now then you should be able to come out a winner.

Matt Kemp - (OF, ATL):

Through June 12, Kemp had launched 11 homers with a .232 ISO, .384 BABIP and .327/.362/.559 slash line backed by a 33.5 percent fly ball rate, 34.1 percent pull rate and 36.5 percent hard-hit rate. None of those metrics jump off the page, but bunch them all up and you get a sturdy bat with 25-30 homer potential. Interestingly, his rates have only fallen by roughly 3-5 percent each -- but again, swirl it all together and you get a problem. It’s also just a 12-game sample size here, but hitting at a .205 clip with three extra-base hits is an issue no matter what style of gift wrap you put on it. It isn't as though he doesn't have the track record to buy into a rebound any day now, but if I could sell off Kemp to someone who truly buys into his 25-HR pop and an average in the .300s then my mouse will be dancing all the way to the accept button.

 

More Risers and Fallers




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Gerrit Cole6 mins ago

No Timetable For Gerrit Cole To Throw Off A Mound
Miguel Sanó13 mins ago

Angels Put Miguel Sano On 10-Day Injured List
Vaughn Grissom35 mins ago

Could Make Season Debut Friday
Isaac Paredes49 mins ago

Beat Up
Masataka Yoshida1 hour ago

Going On Injured List
Tim Anderson1 hour ago

Scratched From Wednesday's Lineup
Byron Buxton1 hour ago

Leaves Early With Knee Soreness
Christian Encarnacion-Strand2 hours ago

Still Sitting
Jonathon Brooks3 hours ago

On Track For Training Camp
Zach Wilson3 hours ago

Broncos Not Picking Up Zach Wilson's Fifth-Year Option
Anthony Richardson3 hours ago

Looks To Be Fully Healthy
Deebo Samuel3 hours ago

Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel Likely To Stay With Niners In 2024
Jose Siri4 hours ago

Hit With Three-Game Suspension
Freddy Peralta4 hours ago

Abner Uribe Suspended
Jackson Jobe4 hours ago

Injured In Minors
Steven Matz4 hours ago

Going For MRI On His Back
Josh Lowe4 hours ago

To Resume Rehab Assignment On Thursday
Travis d'Arnaud4 hours ago

Resting Wednesday
John Means5 hours ago

Activated From Injured List
Grayson Rodriguez5 hours ago

Placed On 15-Day Injured List
Jackson Chourio5 hours ago

Getting A Rest Day Against Rays
Tyler Black5 hours ago

Hitting Cleanup In Second Game
Harold Ramírez5 hours ago

Isaac Paredes, Harold Ramirez Out On Wednesday
Jose Siri5 hours ago

Out With Sore Thigh
Tyrese Haliburton8 hours ago

Struggles In Game 5
Taylor Pendrith8 hours ago

A Volatile Option For CJ Cup
Seamus Power8 hours ago

Rounding Into Form Ahead of CJ Cup
Davis Thompson8 hours ago

A Player To Watch At CJ Cup
Aaron Rai8 hours ago

Lacks Upside At TPC Craig Ranch
Bobby Portis8 hours ago

Returns To Double-Double Form On Tuesday
Min Woo Lee8 hours ago

A Dangerous Pick For CJ Cup
Tom Hoge8 hours ago

Seeking Second Tour Victory At CJ Cup
Khris Middleton8 hours ago

Continues Prolific Playoffs With 29-Point Effort
Donovan Mitchell8 hours ago

Leads Cavaliers With 28 Points Tuesday
Evan Mobley9 hours ago

Wraps Up Big Performance With Game-Winning Block
Paolo Banchero9 hours ago

Leads All Scorers In Game 5 Versus Cleveland
Gary Harris9 hours ago

Injured In Game 5
Filip Forsberg15 hours ago

Collects Two Apples In Game 5 Win
Juuse Saros15 hours ago

Comes Through For Predators In Game 5
Nathan MacKinnon15 hours ago

Posts Two More Points In Series-Clinching Win
Mikko Rantanen15 hours ago

Helps Finish Off Jets With Three Points
Joseph Woll15 hours ago

Excellent In Series-Saving Win
Matthew Knies15 hours ago

Bangs In Overtime Winner In Game 5
Evgeny Kuznetsov15 hours ago

Posts Goal And Assist In Game 5
Seth Jarvis16 hours ago

Puts Up Three Points In Series-Winning Game
Tyler Black17 hours ago

Collects Two Hits In Big-League Debut
Mark Hubbard18 hours ago

Will Return To Mediocrity At TPC Craig Ranch
Doug Ghim19 hours ago

Putting History In Texas Makes Him A Hard Sell
Jalen Brunson19 hours ago

Has Another Big Game On Tuesday
Joel Embiid19 hours ago

Finishes With A Triple-Double On Tuesday
Tyrese Maxey19 hours ago

Shines On Tuesday Night
Nate Lashley19 hours ago

Looking To Rebound At Byron Nelson
Kevin Yu20 hours ago

A Flier Pick With Likeable Upside At Byron Nelson
Andrew Novak20 hours ago

Playing Well Heading To TPC Craig Ranch
Patrick Rodgers20 hours ago

Withdraws From CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Jarrett Allen20 hours ago

Troubled By Rib Contusion
Luke List20 hours ago

In Solid Form Heading To TPC Craig Ranch
Tyrese Haliburton20 hours ago

Upgraded To Available
Tom Kim20 hours ago

A Safe Option With A Questionable Ceiling At Byron Nelson
Khris Middleton20 hours ago

Patrick Beverley Cleared For Game 5
Giannis Antetokounmpo20 hours ago

Damian Lillard Officially Out On Tuesday
Taylor Montgomery21 hours ago

Searching For Form At TPC Craig Ranch
Jason Day21 hours ago

To Defend Title At TPC Craig Ranch
Adam Scott21 hours ago

Returns To Action At TPC Craig Ranch
Bo Nix21 hours ago

Broncos Won't Rush Bo Nix
Boston Scott21 hours ago

Reaches Agreement With Rams
PGA22 hours ago

Sungjae Im As Good Of A Pick As Any At TPC Craig Ranch
Luka Doncic22 hours ago

Probable For Game 5 Against Clippers
Jalen Brunson22 hours ago

Upgraded To Available
Kelly Oubre23 hours ago

Jr. Good To Go On Tuesday
Mitchell Robinson23 hours ago

Available For Game 5
Joel Embiid23 hours ago

Ready To Go Tuesday
Kristaps Porzingis23 hours ago

Likely To Miss Several Games
Kawhi Leonard23 hours ago

Ruled Out Wednesday
PGA1 day ago

Alex Noren Looks To Take Another Step At TPC Craig Ranch
Mackenzie Hughes1 day ago

Brings Hot Putter To TPC Craig Ranch
Cole Perfetti1 day ago

To Make NHL Postseason Debut Tuesday
Si Woo Kim1 day ago

Trendy Si Woo Kim Heads To Byron Nelson
Connor Hellebuyck1 day ago

Looking To Get Right Tuesday
Jeremy Swayman1 day ago

Back In Action On Tuesday
Matt Martin1 day ago

Out Again Tuesday
Vladislav Namestnikov1 day ago

Brenden Dillon, Vladislav Namestnikov Out Tuesday
Matt Grzelcyk1 day ago

Likely Back In Tuesday
T.J. Oshie1 day ago

Facing Uncertain Future
Timothy Liljegren1 day ago

Draws Back In For Game 5
Joseph Woll1 day ago

To Start Game 5 Tuesday
Auston Matthews1 day ago

A Game-Time Decision Tuesday
J.K. Dobbins1 day ago

Says He's 100 Percent Healthy
Zay Jones1 day ago

Jaguars Release Zay Jones On Tuesday
NFL2 days ago

Seahawks, 49ers Interested In Jamal Adams
Tee Higgins2 days ago

Bengals Not Close To Tee Higgins' Contract Demands?
Chase Brown2 days ago

Enters 2024 As Backup
Michael Gallup2 days ago

Intends To Sign With Vegas
Kyle Pitts2 days ago

Falcons Pick Up Kyle Pitts' Fifth-Year Option
Matt Martin2 days ago

To Miss Game 5
Derek Forbort2 days ago

Could Play In Game 5
Chase Elliott2 days ago

Notches Another Top-Five Finish At Dover
Alex Bowman2 days ago

Frustrated After Finishing Eighth At Dover
Jaylen Waddle2 days ago

Fifth-Year Option Picked Up By Dolphins
Matheus Nicolau2 days ago

Knocked Out At UFC Vegas 91
Travis Kelce2 days ago

Chiefs Agree To Two-Year Extension With Travis Kelce
William Byron2 days ago

Botched Pit Stop and Crash Eliminate William Byron From Contention at Dover
NASCAR2 days ago

Martin Truex, Jr. Faded to Third at Dover, but Remains Fastest Driver of 2024
Kyle Larson2 days ago

Late-Race Charge at Dover Comes up Short
Denny Hamlin2 days ago

Takes Checkered Flag at Dover for Third Win of Season
Jarvis Landry2 days ago

Expected To Try Out For Jaguars
Alex Perez2 days ago

Scores Second-Round Knockout Win At UFC Vegas 91
MMA2 days ago

Ariane Lipski Loses A Decision At UFC Vegas 91
Karine Silva2 days ago

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Jonathan Pearce2 days ago

Suffers Decision Loss
David Onama2 days ago

Wins Second Fight In A Row
Brad Keselowski2 days ago

A Tire Issue On Lap 118 Impacts Brad Keselowski's Day At Dover
Ryan Blaney2 days ago

Finishes Seventh At Dover
Mika Zibanejad2 days ago

Collects Two Points Sunday
Ezekiel Elliott2 days ago

Back With Cowboys
Noah Gragson2 days ago

Nabs A Quality Top 10 Finish At Dover
Kyle Busch2 days ago

Scores His Second Top-10 Finish Of The Year At Dover
Daniel Hemric2 days ago

Ends Up Ninth At Dover
Ty Gibbs2 days ago

Sneaks Into Tenth At Dover On Sunday
Tank Dell3 days ago

In "Good Spirits" After Being Shot
Kirk Cousins3 days ago

Still Atlanta's Unquestioned Starting QB
Justin Jefferson3 days ago

Vikings Optimistic Regarding Justin Jefferson's Contract Talks
J.J. McCarthy3 days ago

Vikings Won't Rush J.J. McCarthy Into Starting Role
Martin Truex Jr3 days ago

. Is One Of The Top DFS Plays At Dover
Tyler Reddick3 days ago

Will Start Fourth At Dover
Michael McDowell3 days ago

Fade Michael McDowell For the Wurth 400 At Dover
Joey Logano3 days ago

Will Not Cause Much DFS Excitement At Dover
Noah Gragson3 days ago

Is Noah Gragson A Sneaky Tournament Play At Dover?
Uros Medic3 days ago

Returns To Win Column At UFC Vegas 91
Tim Means3 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Vegas 91
Austen Lane3 days ago

Winless In The UFC
Jhonata Diniz3 days ago

Wins UFC Debut
Ryan Spann3 days ago

Suffers Third Straight Loss
Bogdan Guskov3 days ago

Gets Upset Win At UFC Vegas 91
Kyle Larson3 days ago

the Favorite to Win at Dover Despite Qualifying 21st
Chase Elliott3 days ago

a Core DFS Play at Dover
Alex Bowman3 days ago

Always Strong at Dover
Chris Buescher3 days ago

Has DFS Place Differential Upside at Dover
Alex Perez5 days ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Matheus Nicolau5 days ago

Returns To Action At UFC Vegas 91
Ariane da Silva5 days ago

Ariane Lipski Looks To Extend Her Win Streak
Karine Silva5 days ago

Looks For Ninth Victory In A Row
David Onama5 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 91
Jonathan Pearce5 days ago

Looks To Get Back In Win Column
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Marvin Harrison Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, WR, NFL Draft Sleepers

Updated 2024 Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings: Post-NFL Draft

What's up RotoBallers! It's always football season here, so let's have some fun now that the 2024 NFL Draft is officially in the books! In this article you'll find our NFL team's updated 2024 fantasy football rookie rankings -- the post-NFL Draft edition. Use these fantasy football rookies rankings for your rookie drafts, dynasty drafts, and... Read More


Michael Florio's Football Show - Podcast RotoBaller Network

Florio's Football Show: Post NFL Draft Dynasty/Redraft Rookie Rankings

Michael F. Florio runs down each position QB, RB and WR giving you his rookie rankings for both dynasty and redraft leagues. He breaks down why he ranks the players this way and how the order changes in dynasty leagues. Plus, Florio breaks down his what his ideal round one would look like in both... Read More


James Conner - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

2024 NFL Draft - Fantasy Football Veteran Winners and Losers

While the NFL Draft is a fun time for casual fans, hardcore dynasty fantasy football managers sit on the edge of their seats. With veteran players' fantasy outlooks potentially changing after any pick, it’s a white-knuckle ride not for the faint of heart. Like every other year, the 2024 NFL Draft delivered blows to certain... Read More


Nick Chubb - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

2024 Fantasy Football - Five Injured Players to Buy in Dynasty Leagues

We might be a few months away from fantasy football season, but it is never too early to start researching and determining players' value.  This article explores five injured NFL players set to impact the upcoming season. Despite setbacks, these players offer potential value for fantasy managers, especially in dynasty-orientated leagues. From dynamic running backs to... Read More


Keon Coleman- Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, WR, NFL Draft Sleepers

2024 NFL Draft: Fantasy Football Rookie Winners and Losers From Rounds 2 and 3

The draft has ended, and teams and fans are the most excited they will be until the season starts in September. While the draft does not make or break an NFL team, it can have a major effect on the future. Where would the San Francisco 49ers be had they not traded three first-round picks... Read More


Brandin Cooks - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Negative TD Regression Candidates: WR

There always seems to be a player or two who has a big year in terms of touchdown scoring and then vanishes the next year. In 2021, for example, we saw Hunter Renfrow tie for ninth in the NFL in receiving scores with nine. In the two years since then, he's caught a total of... Read More


Keon Coleman- Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, WR, NFL Draft Sleepers

2024 Fantasy Football Rookie Drafts - Should I Draft Xavier Worthy or Keon Coleman?

In the 2024 NFL Draft, the Kansas City Chiefs made a trade with the Buffalo Bills to move up in the first round and drafted wide receiver Xavier Worthy. Despite facing criticism for trading down with the Chiefs, the Bills doubled down on their decision as they traded out of the first round to select... Read More


Caleb Williams - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

2024 Fantasy Football Rookie Drafts - How Much Should You Value Landing Spot?

The NFL Draft has concluded. It was an exciting three days that saw a historic run on offensive players. This is great news for dynasty fantasy football players. With rookie draft season in full swing, now is a good time to have a quick dialogue regarding a highly debated topic across dynasty leagues: how much... Read More


Fantasy Football Rookie Winners and Losers of the 2024 NFL Draft

Football never sleeps at RotoBaller! The staff is already looking ahead to the 2024 season to help our readers get the jump on their competition. RotoBaller analyst LaQuan Jones discusses some of the biggest rookie winners and losers of the 2024 NFL Draft. Which players' fantasy football outlooks improved or declined based on their landing... Read More


Kyren Williams - Fantasy Football, Waiver Wire Pickups

Post-NFL Draft Recap: New Fantasy Football Outlooks For Impacted Veterans

Now that the 2024 NFL Draft is over, we can fully consider the impact of some of the most significant picks on returning NFL players and veterans. Many rookies will compete for quality playing time and can boost the output or negatively cut into the numbers of specific new teammates. In this feature, I consider... Read More


Zamir White - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, NFL Injury News

Dynasty Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Post NFL Draft Edition

The 2024 NFL Draft lived up to the hype. We saw a record 23 offensive players selected in Round 1. This included 14 straight offensive picks and six quarterbacks taken within the first 12 selections. When it comes to dynasty fantasy football leagues, one of the most intriguing aspects is the fluctuations in player value... Read More


Raheem Mostert - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Fantasy Football Negative TD Regression Candidates: RB

Touchdowns can be a pretty fluky thing from year to year. For example, back in 2022, we saw Jamaal Williams lead the NFL with 17 rushing touchdowns for the Lions. One year later, he scored just one touchdown while playing for the Saints. While I don't anticipate someone having that drastic of a reduction in... Read More


Three Rookie Wide Receiver Sleepers for 2024 Fantasy Football

Football never sleeps at RotoBaller! The 2024 NFL Draft is officially in the books and we're looking ahead to which rookie wide receivers could be sleepers for 2024 Fantasy Football. RotoBaller's David Rispoli digs into some of the 2024 NFL Draft's mid-to-later-round wide receivers. Which of these rookie sleepers could have the biggest impact on... Read More