Josh Lowe 2024 Fantasy Baseball Outlook: After Overachieving In 2023, Rays Outfielder A 2024 Regression Candidate
3 months agoOnce a highly touted prospect, Tampa Bay Rays outfielder Josh Lowe spent a rather unexpected chunk of the 2022 season in Triple-A due in part to his high K% of 33.3% at the major league level. With the K% under control in 2023 (24.8%) and regular playing time, Lowe could have the season the Rays envisioned when they drafted him in the first round in 2016. The former 13th overall pick posted a .292-20-83-71-32 season with a WOBA of .354 and wRC+ of 131 in 501 PA. It's still being determined if he can replicate that in 2024, as RosterResource currently has him projected as part of a platoon. The lefty's splits were much better facing RHP, with a .300 AVG, .362 WOBA, and 136 wRC+ versus a .238 AVG, .305 WOBA, and wRC+ of 97 against LHP. As it stands, FGDC projections have him underwhelming compared to last season, with a .258-18-71-68-22 line, a WOBA of .328, and a wRC+ of 113. NFBC ADP has him going around pick 75. However, RotoBaller is a bit more cautious, with a rank of 81. With a below-average Contact% (72.3%), above-average SwStr% (14.7%), and BABIP of .357 in 2023, some expected regression in 2024 is likely rightfully justified.