Evan Carter 2024 Fantasy Baseball Outlook: Could Strong 2023 Debut Lead To A Breakout?
4 months agoTexas Rangers top outfield prospect Evan Carter had a strong Minor League in 2023, slashing .288/.413/.450, which led him to be called up to the Majors in September, where he mashed through the playoffs. With the Rangers, Carter hit over .300 and five home runs in 23 games, which was impressive considering he hit just 13 in 108 in the minors. The Rangers' top prospect has a well-rounded skill set, but contact skills and plate discipline are his best skills. He posted a contact rate of 75 percent with an in-zone rate of 83 percent in the minors. The chase rate of 19 percent this season was also a very impressive number, which helped lead to a high OBP, which translated well to the majors. The power is the biggest question mark in his game, with average exit velocities of 85 mph and 85.5 mph over the last two seasons. In the majors, that jumped to 89, which was encouraging, though it was a small sample. Carter has a projectable body and is still 21 years old, leaving plenty of time for him to fill out and add power. He gets to more in-game power than the exit velocities suggest due to hitting the ball at ideal launch angles. Carter will spend most of the 2024 season as a 21-year-old with a well-rounded skillset. The ADP soared to 127 this offseason after his strong MLB sample, which feels like a good spot considering the other outfielders in that range. Carter is a safer profile with a high floor who can provide a solid batting average, high stolen base totals, and sneaky power as well. FGDC projects Carter to slash .250/.348/.409 with 17 home runs and a .331 wOBA across 609 plate appearances in 2024.