X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Top 10 Impact 2016 Fantasy Prospects: First Basemen

Last year, there were only three stand out rookie first basemen: Justin Bour, Travis Shaw, and Ben Paulsen. Usually, first basemen are established players who tend to hold onto their position for a long time, so it is rare to find a rookie ready to have a big impact at the position.

There are not a lot of standout first base prospects poised to have a big year in 2016, but there are a few names that fantasy owners could eventually pick up off the waiver wire closer to the middle of the year. Players like AJ Reed and Max Kepler likely will not open the season with their respective Major League ball clubs, but they could find themselves in starting roles by the summer.

Editor's note:Be sure to also head over to our fantasy baseball rankings assistant. This handy new rankings tool show you all of our staff rankings, player news, and 2016 player outlooks. You can easily filter, sort, and export all sorts of ranks - mixed leagues, tiers, prospects, dynasty formats, keeper values and more. It's all in one place, and all free.

 

Top 10 Dynasty Prospects: First Base

Here are the top ten first basemen for fantasy baseball in 2016:

1. AJ Reed (HOU, AA)
Stats: 237 PA, .332/.405/.571, 11 HR, 0 SB, 11.4% BB rate, 20.7% K rate
ETA: Early May
AJ Reed absolutely exploded onto the scene in 2015 and established himself as the best first base prospect in the minors. He displayed 35-40 home run power while also showing well above-average plate discipline. My dark horse candidate to win AL Rookie of the Year in 2016, Reed will not start the year with the Astros, but I expect by May the Astros will be done waiting for Jon Singleton to produce and they will turn to Reed to be their starter. Reed is probably not worth drafting as there is no guarantee that Singleton will struggle, but fantasy owners should add him off the waiver wire if Singleton shows signs of struggles in the early goings.

2. Max Kepler (MIN, MLB)
Stats: (from AA) 482 PA, .322/.416/.531, 8 HR, 18 SB, 13.9% BB rate, 13.1% K rate
ETA: Late May
Though he likely will not begin the year with the Twins, Max Kepler should be expected to have an impact on fantasy teams in 2016. Kepler does not have excellent power or blazing speed, but he should be able to provide 15 home runs and 15 stolen bases with a .280+ average if given full playing time. Kepler won’t be a superstar, but if he is promoted by the Twins, he would provide enough value to warrant teams adding him off the waiver wire.

3. Josh Bell (PIT, AAA)
Stats: 145 PA, .347/.441/.504, 2 HR, 14.5% BB rate, 10.3% K rate
ETA: Late May
Things were looking up for Josh Bell at the beginning of the offseason. Both Pedro Alvarez and Sean Rodriguez were free agents and first base for the Pirates appeared to be Bell’s for the taking. But then the Pirates resigned Sean Rodriguez and signed John Jaso, leading many to believe that Jaso, Rodriguez, and Michael Morse would split first base instead of Bell. But I expect that before long, that mediocre trio of players at first base will be replaced with the potentially explosive bat of Bell.

The 23-year-old switch hitter has not displayed much power, but has shown the ability to hit for an average well above .300 and scouts do believe that after a while, Bell will develop some pop. In all likelihood, Bell will not break camp with the team, but he should see an opportunity to take first base before the summer. Fantasy owners should not worry about drafting Bell, but fantasy owners should monitor the first base situation for the Pirates and add him in the event that those three other players struggle.

4. Tyler White (HOU, AAA)
Stats: 259 PA, .362/.467/.559, 7 HR, 0 SB, 16.2% BB rate, 14.77% K rate
ETA: September
I feel really bad for Tyler White because he had an outstanding 2015 at both Triple-A and Double-A, but AJ Reed just looks like more of an impact bat at this point. In all likelihood, Reed will be given the first chance to supplant Jon Singleton at first base and it would be unwise to expect Reed to struggle. If White were to be promoted and see some playing time, he could have some value for fantasy owners even if his role with the Astros is limited. Unfortunately for White, I don’t see him getting much of an opportunity for playing time until September.

5. DJ Peterson (SEA, AAA)
Stats: (from AA) 393 PA, .223/.290/.346, 7 HR, 5 SB, 7.9% BB rate, 22.9% K rate
ETA: September
DJ Peterson has the type of power that could have an immediate impact once he reaches the majors, but with both Adam Lind and Kyle Seager solidly entrenched at first and third, playing time will be hard pressed to find if not altogether impossible. He might have some moderate value in September as an occasional starter, but don’t expect much beyond that.

6. Cheslor Cuthbert (KC, MLB)
Stats: (from AAA) 438 PA, .277/.339/.421, 11 HR, 5 SB, 8.4% BB rate, 13.7% K rate
ETA: Opening Day
I would expect to see Cheslor Cuthbert starting the season with the Royals, but don’t expect him to get regular playing time at any point. Neither Eric Hosmer nor Mike Moustakas have missed more than 31 games in a single season since 2011 and I don’t see any reason for that trend not to continue. Even if Cuthbert was a starter this year and saw a full 600 PA, I would not expect him to produce much more than a .260 average with 10 home runs. He is a desperation play in most fantasy leagues.

7. Matt Olson (OAK, AA)
Stats: 585 PA, .249/.388/.438, 17 HR, 5 SB, 17.9% BB rate, 23.8% K rate
ETA: September
Matt Olson could be an impact power bat in the majors and will eventually be the starter at first base for Oakland, but 2016 is not the year for him. The Athletics acquired Yonder Alonso to add to an already long list of people who can hold down first for them. Olson would have to absolutely tear it up at Double-A and Triple-A to see starting time. I see him possibly having an impact for fantasy owners in September, but do not expect on any game-changing contributions.

8. Christian Walker (BAL, MLB)
Stats: (from AAA) .257/.324/.423, 18 HR, 1 SB, 8.3% BB rate, 23.0% K rate
ETA: September
Things were looking up for Christian Walker, but then the Orioles resigned Chris Davis and acquired Mark Trumbo (who is basically a more developed version of Christian Walker). Walker has 20 home run pop if he could ever start in the majors, but it does not look like that will happen this year. For fantasy owners, Walker is probably best off just avoiding.

9. Richie Shaffer (TB, MLB)
Stats: 88 PA, .189/.307/.392, 4 HR, 0 SB, 11.4% BB rate, 36.4% K rate
ETA: September
Richie Shaffer could hit 25-30 home runs if given ample playing time, but he is currently blocked by both Evan Longoria and James Loney and I expect him to start the year at Triple-A. Don’t expect Shaffer to see much playing time until rosters expand in September unless there is an injury.

10. Sam Travis (BOS, AA)
Stats: 281 PA, .300/.384/.436, 4 HR, 9 SB, 11.7% BB rate, 12.1% K rate
ETA: September
Sam Travis could probably have an impact right now if were to start in the majors, but with Hanley Ramirez and Travis Shaw likely to platoon starts at first base, there does not appear to be a path to clear playing time for Travis. Even when rosters expand, Travis would have to battle for playing time and I don’t see him winning that battle if the Red Sox are in the playoff hunt.

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Romeo Doubs

Questionable to Return in Week 10 Due to Chest Injury
Sandy Alcantara

Marlins Ready to Trade Sandy Alcantara
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks Motivated to Move Ketel Marte
Hunter Greene

Reds to Listen to Offers on Hunter Greene
Darius Garland

Won't Return on Monday Night
Paul Skenes

Pirates Won't Trade Paul Skenes
Joe Burrow

Could Return for Thanksgiving Game
Pete Alonso

Mets Expected to Let Pete Alonso Walk in Free Agency
Jared McCain

Available Tuesday Against Celtics
Kyle Tucker

to Sign With Yankees, Blue Jays, or Dodgers
Sam Hauser

Probable Tuesday Versus Philadelphia
Day'Ron Sharpe

Questionable Versus Raptors
Drake Baldwin

Named NL Rookie of the Year
Patrick Williams

Active Versus San Antonio
Kyle Hendricks

Hanging Up his Cleats After 12 Seasons
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Available Versus Dallas
Dereck Lively II

Still Sidelined on Monday
Freddy Peralta

Red Sox Linked to Freddy Peralta
Josh Giddey

Ruled Out Against Spurs
Nick Kurtz

Named AL Rookie of the Year
Daniel Gafford

Available Versus Milwaukee
Anthony Davis

Out Again on Monday
Brandon Aiyuk

49ers Won't Open Brandon Aiyuk's Practice Window This Week
Matthew Golden

Officially Out Against Eagles
TreVeyon Henderson

on Week 11 Injury Report With Knee Injury
Matthew Golden

Not Expected to Play on Monday Night
Casey Mittelstadt

Out Week-to-Week
Garrett Wilson

Expected to Miss 3-4 Weeks With Knee Sprain
Jason Zucker

Dealing With Severe Viral Issue
Jiri Kulich

to "Miss Significant Time" Due to Blood Clot
Zack MacEwen

to Re-Enter Devils Lineup Monday
William Karlsson

Out on Monday
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

to Miss at Least One Week
Vincent Trocheck

Available Monday
Isiah Pacheco

May Not be Ready to Return in Week 11
Dalton Kincaid

Labeled Week-to-Week With Hamstring Injury
Oronde Gadsden

Diagnosed With Bruised Quad, Considered "Day-to-Day"
Rashod Bateman

Dealing With a Sprained Ankle
Jayden Daniels

Won't Travel to Madrid in Week 11
Terry McLaurin

Won't Play in Week 11
Miles Bridges

Probable Monday vs. Lakers
Austin Reaves

Upgraded Ahead of Monday's Matchup
Trey Hendrickson

Doubtful to Play in Week 11
Taylor Hendricks

Questionable for Matchup with Timberwolves
Luke Kornet

Questionable for Matchup With Bulls
Jalen Suggs

to Rest Monday Vs. Portland
Taurean Prince

Out With Herniated Disc in his Neck
Joe Burrow

Returning to Practice This Week
New York Giants

Giants Fire Head Coach Brian Daboll
Chris Godwin

No Timetable for Chris Godwin's Return
Bucky Irving

Could Miss Week 11
C.J. Stroud

Remains in the Concussion Protocol
CFB

Nic Anderson Could Return for LSU this Season
Dante Exum

Remains Out vs. Bucks
Patrick Williams

Probable Monday vs. Spurs
Day'Ron Sharpe

Exits With Hamstring Tightness vs. Knicks
Daron Payne

Suspended One Game For Unsportsmanlike Conduct
Stephen Curry

Expected to Return Tuesday vs. Thunder
T.J. McConnell

Ramping Up, Nearing Season Debut
Lukas Dostal

Pushes Winning Streak to Career-Best Six Games
Matt Boldy

Has Two-Point Night Sunday
Jesper Wallstedt

Controls Flames
Nikolaj Ehlers

Registers Two Assists Sunday
Connor Bedard

Extends Scoring Streak With Three-Point Effort
Nathan MacKinnon

Totals Five Points in Overtime Win
Charles-Alexis Legault

Suffers Hand Injury Sunday
Parker Washington

Scores Two Touchdowns in Week 10 Loss
Emmanuel Clase

Indicted on Gambling Charges, Facing 65 Years in Prison
Randy Brown

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
Gabriel Bonfim

Extends His Win Streak
Joseph Morales

Gets First-Round Submission Win
Matt Schnell

Suffers First-Round Submission Loss
Muslim Salikhov

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Uros Medic

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Ismael Bonfim

Loses Back-to-Back Fights
Chris Padilla

Remains Unbeaten In The UFC
Kasperi Kapanen

Targeting December Return
Mattias Janmark

Likely to Make Season Debut Monday
Zach Hyman

to Remain Out Monday
Ryan Strome

Available Sunday
Cole Perfetti

in Line for Season Debut Sunday
Pierre-Luc Dubois

to Miss 3-4 Months
Marco Tulio

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Christian Leroy Duncan

Scores Second-Round Knockout Victory
Scott Laughton

to Miss Sunday's Action
Aaron Judge

Headlines AL Silver Slugger Award Winners
Shohei Ohtani

Headlines List of NL Silver Slugger Winners
MLB

Munetaka Murakami Officially Being Posted on Friday
Randy Brown

Set For UFC Vegas 111 Main Event
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Joseph Morales

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 111
Matt Schnell

Set For UFC Vegas 111 Co-Main Event
Uros Medic

Aims To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Muslim Salikhov

Looks For His Fourth Consecutive Win
Chris Padilla

Looks To Remain Unbeaten In The UFC
Ismael Bonfim

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Marco Tulio

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Christian Leroy Duncan

Set To Open Up UFC Vegas 111 Main Card
Kyle Tucker

Headlines List of 13 Players to Receive Qualifying Offers
Pete Fairbanks

Becomes a Free Agent
CFB

Luke Fickell Will Return as Wisconsin's Head Coach in 2026
Bo Bichette

Blue Jays Extend Qualifying Offer to Bo Bichette
Craig Stammen

Named Padres New Manager
Jorge Polanco

Declines his 2026 Option to Become a Free Agent
Chris Sale

Braves Picking Up Chris Sale's 2026 Option
Michael Thorbjornsen

Poised to Continue Hot Play in Mexico
Davis Riley

Struggling to Find Form Ahead of World Wide Technology Championship
Taylor Montgomery

Leaning on Putter at World Wide Technology Championship
Stephan Jaeger

Offers Strong Value at World Wide Technology Championship
Ben Griffin

Looks to Stay Hot at El Cardonal
Nick Dunlap

Looking to Find His Game at El Cardonal
Wyndham Clark

Searching for Consistency at El Cardonal
Michael Brennan

Aims to Extend Fairytale Start at El Cardonal

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP