RADIO
Zack Gelof 2024 Outlook: Tempered Expectations Despite Breakout Rookie Season
12 months agoAn unexpected bright spot on an abysmal 2023 Oakland Athletics roster was second baseman Zack Gelof. Promoted during the All-Star break, the rookie put the league on notice, hitting .305/.373/.617 with nine home runs, 17 RBI, 23 runs, and eight stolen bases in his first 33 games. His pace slowed over the rest of the season, ending the year with a line of .267/.337/.504, 14 home runs, 32 RBI, 40 runs, and 14 stolen bases through 69 games. Despite a short and uneven first season, Gelof's speed and power were apparent with a 29 ft/sec sprint speed (91st percentile), .424 xwOBAcon, and a .448 xSLG. However, the second baseman overperformed offensively in 2023, with his .333 xwOBA falling below his actual results. For the 24-year-old to reach the next level, he must improve on an abysmal 33.7% whiff rate -- especially when faced with non-fastball pitches (44.4% whiff rate on breaking pitches, 36.8% on offspeed). There is tremendous upside to Gelof's 135 ADP because of his speed, power, and everyday role, but his contact issues and dysfunctional environment are serious risks.
