2 months agoMatt NeSmith missed consecutive cuts but bounced back last week at The Players Championship. The American golfer endured a rough final round 72 but that was good enough for a Top 30. result. NeSmith had not been inside the Top 50 all season and had missed three cuts in the previous four events. Again, there are plenty of issue with NeSmith but those seemed to mostly fade at TPC Sawgrass. He was inside the Top 20 until Sunday's final ten holes. NeSmith improved his putting and green approaches (positive in both metrics) overall. That may be a turning point in his 2024 season.,
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
2 months agoErik Barnes has only played 22 events on the PGA Tour. The American golfer even lost in a playoff at the Puerto Rico Open. Barnes lost to Brice Garnett in a playoff. It was one of those weeks where Barnes gained strokes in almost every major metric. That includes putting. His confidence is growing. His scrambling ability has proven to be a major asset. He ranks in the top 3 in scrambling and scrambling from the rough. Barnes firing four rounds in the 60's plus the week rest could make him an interesting DFS option this week.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
2 months agoSungjae Im has been one of the most consistent players on the PGA Tour since his rookie season. However, Im has battled two lengthy slumps in the past nine months. For two months from last May to July, Im missed multiple cuts before a few decent finishes sparked a run of top-10 and top-25 finishes. Im hit another skid at the end of January but two improved events in the past two weeks suggest he might be ready for another run of high finishes.
--Rob RoseSource: pgatour.com
2 months agoBen Silverman had been on a decent run of good golf before The Players Championship. The Canadian golfer fell a little flat after missing the cut. The second round 74 was marred by missed shots and putts. Silverman may struggle again this week as his driving distance (286.5 a drive) could be problematic. He is one of those golfers who has good metrics mostly but cannot put four rounds together. Silverman does not have one Top 10 despite an overall strokes gained that ranks 19th on the PGA Tour. Silverman might have another tough week at the Valspar Championship.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
2 months agoK.H. Lee has had three results in the top 30 but four missed cuts. The South Korean golfer has had an eventful 2024 so far. He finished tied for fourth at the Cognizant Classic. Unfortunately, he followed that up with a 75-76 at The Players Championship and missed the cut. Lee drives the ball well enough and is pretty accurate. However, he is just 62.15% in hitting greens in regulation (175th). Even his approaches and scrambling from the rough rank outside the top 150. Lee needs to improve off the tee and when approaching the green, where he ranks outside the top 100. Lee must find the form he had a few weeks ago.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
2 months agoThe hope that the Florida swing would help Cameron Young's putter problems has died. After a positive putting week at the Cognizant Classic led to a T4, Young has cratered once again. Both short-game statistics have been a struggle for Young as he ranks No. 137 in around-the-green and No. 122 in strokes gained putting. Young's ball-striking has been among the best on the PGA Tour, but he continues to waste chances to convert birdies and climb leaderboards.
--Rob RoseSource: pgatour.com
2 months agoMatt Kuchar has missed the cut in six of his first seven events in 2024. The American golfer has nine career wins but has shown none of that form lately. Actually his last PGA tour came more than five years ago at the Sony Open. The 45-year old is in the red in most major metrics. He averages 285 yards a drive. Now, the 7,340 yard Par-71 Valspar course can be unforgiving. Kuchar has a scoring average of 71 which is 161st on the tour. Considering winning scores at this Florida course are around 268 (-16). Kuchar may struggle again this week trying to make enough birdies to see Saturday.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
2 months agoAfter Brian Harman started the season strong in Hawaii, it had been a struggle. Harman's best finish in February was a T44, but things changed once he got to Florida. Harman struggled over the weekend at the Arnold Palmer Invitational but nearly chased down a win at The Players on Sunday. Harman's ball-striking and putting have improved, and he can scramble with anyone. His form and skills line up well this week to contend once again.
--Rob RoseSource: pgatour.com
2 months agoThe Jordan Spieth experience is never a straightforward one, but this season has been a lot, even for him. Spieth ranks No. 9 in total strokes gained on the PGA Tour this season but is losing strokes on approach. His putting (No. 9) and around-the-green skills (No. 14) are doing the heavy lifting for Spieth, and while scrambling is important this week, his wild ball-striking may be too much to overcome.
--Rob RoseSource: pgatour.com
2 months agoIt has been a quiet first half of the season compared to the noise Lucas Glover made at the end of last year. The play with his irons has been as spectacular as ever, as he ranks 10th in strokes gained on approach (0.637). However, the bookend pieces haven't cooperated nearly as much, as the former US Open champion ranks 93rd in strokes gained off the tee (-0.013) and 161st in strokes gained putting (-0.734). He has a wealth of course history from the Copperhead Course to look back on, and while he hasn't come close to winning, he has made the cut in all but four of his 18 starts. At $8,900 on FanDuel, he's a safer pick to get you to the weekend, but anything past that is suspect.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
2 months agoDespite a second missed cut at a signature event, Justin Thomas' game is in good shape. Thomas ranks No. 6 in strokes gained this season and No. 10 tee to green. Thomas' putting is very sporadic and he hits a few errant drives per event, but covers it up with elite iron play and scrambling skills. The latter are the two most important metrics this week and explain why he has three top-10 finishes at the event in seven starts. If his ownership is done after last week, he's certainly worth playing.
--Rob RoseSource: pgatour.com
2 months agoIt has been a quietly successful run over the last four events for Jimmy Stanger, with a most recent finish of T35 at The Players. The PGA Tour rookie has been a beast with the driver, as he ranks 15th in strokes gained off the tee on the season (0.603). His poor ranking of 122nd in strokes gained on approach (-0.175) is heavily impacted by his first four events of the season where he averaged -1.15 strokes gained on approach. That metric has improved to an average of 0.41 over his last 10 rounds played. For the way the season has gone other than Scheffler's dominance the last couple of weeks, Stanger seems like a perfect candidate to take advantage of the weaker field this week.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
2 months agoSam Burns' statistics suggest he should already have a win this season. Burns went on a run of top-10 finishes after Sentry but had two disappointing finishes in Florida. At the Arnold Palmer Invitational and The Players Championship, Burns struggled on Sunday and plummeted down the leaderboard after solid previous rounds in both. Burns also could have won the American Express if not for one shot that found the water on hole 17. This course where he's already won twice might be just what he needs to put four rounds together.
--Rob RoseSource: pgatour.com
2 months agoAnother great week for Xander Schauffele ended just short of a win. While Schauffele has struggled to secure wins at the rate his skills suggest he should, he's on a tear to start this season. The putter had been the club holding Schauffele back but he's gained strokes each event since the Florida swing began. There's no player in the field better than Schauffele this week, but being priced atop the field means he likely needs to win to be worth playing.
--Rob RoseSource: pgatour.com
2 months agoComing off his best finish of the season with a T11 at The Players, Taylor Montgomery is making his tournament debut at the Copperhead Course with a ton of momentum. The 29-year-old from Vegas gained strokes in every category at TPC Sawgrass, highlighted by 1.65 strokes gained putting (3rd best in the field) and 0.63 strokes gained around the green (9th best in the field). Taylor is handicapped some by his length off the tee with an average drive of 291.4, currently ranked 120th on year, and at 7,340 yards, it certainly isn't the shortest course on the circuit. At $9,600 on FanDuel, Montgomery is certainly worth considering this week.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
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