Dansby Swanson 2024 Player Outlook: Nothing Exciting, Just Solid Fantasy Production From Cubs SS
3 months agoChicago Cubs shortstop Dansby Swanson has produced at least 22 HR, 80 RBI, 78 R, and 9 SB each of the past three seasons, but has a career BA of just .253. His first season in Chicago saw him reduce his K% two full percentage points down to 24.1% while raising his BB% from 7.0% (below average) to 10.3% (above average). The former No.1-overall pick's below-average career Contact% of 74.0% results in cold spells at the plate, however, his chase rate (28.4% in 2023) is better than the league average. With 18 SB in 2022, 77th percentile sprint speed, and rule changes that made it easier to swipe bags, managers would have liked more SB in 2023, but instead saw a decline to just nine steals. Swanson's projections have him stealing more in 2024, but not to the level we saw in 2022. The 2x All-Star's ATC line is projected at .252-22-82-81-12 with a WOBA of .323 and wRC+ of 103. His NFBC ADP of 128 matches his RotoBaller rank of 128 overall. The 30-year-old should be a solid contributor with a reliable floor and a small amount of upside, but it seems he is what he is at this point in his career.