Aaron Civale 2022 Player Outlook: Late-Round Innings Eater With No Ceiling
3 years agoThe Cleveland righty was having a pretty solid season in 2021 before the injury that cost him more than two months. All-in-all, he threw 124.1 innings with a mediocre 3.84 ERA but a strong 1.12 WHIP. That is pretty close to his career totals of a 3.76 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP through his 256 innings. He is not a high strikeout arm with a career strikeout rate below 21%. The appeal on Civale is the how deep he gets into games. In 21 starts last year, he reached at least six innings 13 times and went seven or more on seven occasions. Those are quite high rates for the state of the league currently, so he gets a significant boost in leagues that include the quality start. What he lacks in strikeout rate he makes up for a bit in walk rate with a very low career mark of 6.1% there. Last year, you were drafting Civale to be a workhorse innings-eater type guy for you. That could still be the case this year, but it is a little bit less certain now coming off the shortened 2021 season. With the way Cleveland has utilized their starting pitchers in recent history, I would feel pretty confident that he can get up into the 180-inning range and bring a good supply of wins and quality starts, but he's not going to help you a ton anywhere else. The decision to draft Civale around his ADP of 260 should depend on how your pitching staff looks at that point in the draft. If you need some safer innings, he might be your guy.