X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Xander Bogaerts Rankings Debate - Comparing RotoBaller's Rankers

We continue our long-running series of articles debating fantasy rankings with a player who was widely selected in the second or third round last year, but endured a disappointing 2017 campaign.

RotoBaller's expert writers have come up with our consensus rankings for mixed leagues, but that doesn't mean we agreed on everything. In this space, we'll hear from rankers with the biggest differences of opinion on a well-known player and have them defend their position against each other.

Today, the topic is Red Sox shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Kyle Bishop believes he can recapture his 2016 form, while Harris Yudin is concerned that his plate discipline will prevent that from happening.

Featured Promo: Get any MLB Premium Pass FREE ($119 value) AND up to a $200 deposit match when you sign up with Rival Fantasy. Rival offers 6 and 12-team Best Ball, weekly and daily contests, for as little as $3 per entry. No roster management, just draft and Rival sets your best lineup automatically. Playing fantasy baseball has never been easier! Sign Up Today!

 

2018 Draft Rankings Debate - Xander Bogaerts

Ranking Tier Player Position Kyle Nick Pierre Jeff Harris Bill
 65  6 Xander Bogaerts SS 52 58 63 76 90 61

 

Kyle Bishop's Ranking: #52 overall

Coming off a legitimately great season in 2016 (.294-21-115-89-13), it's understandable that fantasy owners were disappointed by Xander Bogaerts' performance a year ago. He only managed 10 home runs in a season where approximately everyone cracked 20, his batting average dropped by 20 points, and his run production suffered.

What happened? Did the 25-year-old suddenly forget how to hit? Unlikely. He swung a bit less than he had in prior seasons, but otherwise his plate discipline and batted ball data didn't change much. I see no reason he can't regain at least a little of the batting average he lost a year ago. As for the run production, the Red Sox offense should benefit from a full season of Rafael Devers, as well as free agent import J.D. Martinez. If they get any sort of bounce-back from Hanley Ramirez or Jackie Bradley Jr., even better.

It's worth pointing out that even in a season that was universally considered to be disappointing, Bogaerts reached double digits in both homers and stolen bases, while scoring 94 runs and hitting 20 points above the league average. His 62 RBI weren't anything to write home about, sure, but he didn't kill you anywhere - and there's a cogent argument to be made that 2017 represented the young star's floor.

Perhaps Bogaerts won't rebound to the lofty heights he reached in 2016. Fortunately for purposes of this debate, he doesn't need to do that to make Harris'  ranking look foolish. If he more or less settles in the middle of his previous two performances - which is essentially what the projection systems expect to happen - he'll easily earn a profit on his modest ADP of 84.

 

Harris' Ranking: #90 overall

Xander Bogaerts is coming off a down year, and yes, he may very well bounce back in 2018. But can he bounce back to being a top-50 player? Doubtful.

He swings more than the average player at pitches out of the zone, and less than average on those in the zone. His 41.9 percent swing rate is well below average, but his 8.8 percent walk rate is nothing to write home about. His 2017 home run total (10, 7.2 HR/FB) is probably more indicative of future production than is his 2016 total (21, 11.4 HR/FB) given his career batted ball profile. And unless he hits well over .300 -- which he’s only done once in four years despite posting a solid BABIP in each of the last three seasons -- his rate stats won’t make up for the moderate power and speed.

Kyle claims that the addition J.D. Martinez and a full year of Rafael Devers will help Bogaerts’ run production. But the 25-year-old shortstop was bumped down to the sixth spot in the Red Sox’s lineup last year due to poor performance, so those additions are likely to keep Bogaerts away from the top of the order. As a result, his run and RBI totals are unlikely to revert back to where they were in 2016 (115 R, 89 RBI).

Lastly, let’s compare Bogaerts to some of the infielders Kyle has ranked behind him.

They all blow him out of the water in terms of 2017 production, and from the same position, Elvis Andrus outproduced Bogaerts in all five categories.

Bogaerts is still a reliable fantasy contributor and is worthy of a selection in the first 100 spots, but spending a fifth-round pick on a guy this unassuming is incredibly risky.

 

More 2018 MLB Ranking Debate Articles




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Delon Wright25 mins ago

Questionable For Game 3
Daniel Gafford39 mins ago

Will Play In Game 3
Keon Coleman40 mins ago

Bills Select Keon Coleman At Pick 33
Vaughn Grissom41 mins ago

Could Be Activated On Tuesday
Kawhi Leonard48 mins ago

Available On Friday Evening
Anthony Rendon50 mins ago

Dealing With Partial Hamstring Tear
Terry Rozier56 mins ago

Out Again For Game 3
Giancarlo Stanton58 mins ago

Absent On Friday
Jackson Merrill1 hour ago

Remains Out On Friday
Manny Machado1 hour ago

Returning On Friday
Josh Lowe2 hours ago

Appears Ready To Return
Deebo Samuel2 hours ago

Bills, Patriots Unlikely To Trade For Deebo Samuel
Nicolas Hague2 hours ago

Not Ready To Return On Saturday
Justus Annunen2 hours ago

Available On Friday
Ricky Tiedemann2 hours ago

Hoping To Throw In 7-10 Days
Luis Robert Jr.2 hours ago

Could Be Back By Mid-May
Rasmus Sandin2 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Friday
Walker Buehler2 hours ago

To Make Another Rehab Start Tuesday
Nick Jensen3 hours ago

Could Be Back In Action Friday
Ivan Miroshnichenko3 hours ago

Makes Stanley Cup Playoffs Debut
Wade Miley3 hours ago

Needs Tommy John Surgery
Sonny Milano3 hours ago

Ready For Action
Khris Middleton3 hours ago

Upgraded To Active For Game 3
NYR3 hours ago

Alex Wennberg Good To Go Friday
Grayson Allen3 hours ago

Remains Questionable For Game 3
Kyle Anderson3 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable For Game 3
Tennessee Titans3 hours ago

JC Latham To Play Left Tackle For Tennessee
Giannis Antetokounmpo3 hours ago

Ruled Out For Game 3
Matthew Stafford3 hours ago

Seeking Reworked Contract
Masyn Winn4 hours ago

Getting A Breather
Triston Casas4 hours ago

Has Torn Rib Cartilage
Kodai Senga4 hours ago

To Face Hitters On Monday
J.D. Martinez4 hours ago

Hitting Fifth In Mets Debut
Jesús Luzardo4 hours ago

Marlins Put Jesus Luzardo On Injured List
Deebo Samuel5 hours ago

Bills Have Interest In Trading For Deebo Samuel
Jacoby Brissett6 hours ago

Drake Maye To Compete With Jacoby Brissett
Tommy Pham6 hours ago

Selected From Triple-A
Jonathon Brooks6 hours ago

Cowboys High On Jonathon Brooks
Ezekiel Elliott6 hours ago

Reunion With Cowboys Is Imminent
Deebo Samuel6 hours ago

Patriots Discussed Trading For Deebo Samuel Prior To Draft
Jackson Holliday6 hours ago

Sent Back To Minors
Alex Perez7 hours ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Matheus Nicolau7 hours ago

Returns To Action At UFC Vegas 91
J.D. Martinez7 hours ago

To Be Eased Into Lineup
Ariane Lipski7 hours ago

Looks To Extend Her Win Streak
Karine Silva7 hours ago

Looks For Ninth Victory In A Row
David Onama7 hours ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 91
Jonathan Pearce7 hours ago

Looks To Get Back In Win Column
Yu Darvish8 hours ago

Throws Side Session
Donovan Mitchell8 hours ago

Struggles In Game 3
Jesús Luzardo8 hours ago

Jesus Luzardo Scratched With Elbow Discomfort
Ozzie Albies8 hours ago

Back From Injured List
Paolo Banchero8 hours ago

Dominates In Game 3
Anthony Davis9 hours ago

Leads All Scorers In Game 3 Loss
Nikola Jokic9 hours ago

Just One Assist Shy Of Triple-Double In Game 3
Aaron Gordon9 hours ago

Posts Big Double-Double
Tyler Myers9 hours ago

On Track To Return Friday
Jesper Fast9 hours ago

Unlikely To Feature In The Playoffs
Matthew Tkachuk9 hours ago

Bags Two Goals In Game 3 Victory
Steven Stamkos9 hours ago

Scores Third Postseason Goal
Ilya Sorokin10 hours ago

Lasts 27 Minutes In Game 3
Frederik Andersen10 hours ago

Stops 29 Pucks In Another Win
Cincinnati Bengals20 hours ago

Bengals Have No Plans To Trade Trey Hendrickson
Justin Herbert20 hours ago

Patriots, Vikings Reached Out Regarding Justin Herbert
Deebo Samuel20 hours ago

Niners "More Likely" To Deal Deebo Samuel Than Brandon Aiyuk
Xavier Legette20 hours ago

Goes To Panthers To Close Out First Round
Ricky Pearsall20 hours ago

Niners Add To Receiver Room With Ricky Pearsall
Baltimore Ravens20 hours ago

Nate Wiggins Heading To Baltimore
Dallas Cowboys20 hours ago

Cowboys Select Tyler Guyton With 29th Pick
Mitchell Robinson20 hours ago

Injured Again On Thursday
Xavier Worthy20 hours ago

Chiefs Get Speed At Receiver In Xavier Worthy
Arizona Cardinals21 hours ago

Darius Robinson Goes To Cardinals At Pick No. 27
Jalen Brunson21 hours ago

Has Another Big Game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers21 hours ago

Buccaneers Draft Graham Barton At No. 26 Late In First Round
Tyrese Maxey21 hours ago

Helps Philly Take Game 3
Green Bay Packers21 hours ago

Packers Select Jordan Morgan With The 25th Selection
Joel Embiid21 hours ago

Dominates In Game 3
Detroit Lions21 hours ago

Lions Trade Up To Select Terrion Arnold With The 24th Overall Pick
Olivier-Maxence Prosper23 hours ago

Won't Play In Game 3
Kawhi Leonard23 hours ago

Questionable For Game 3
Stephen Curry24 hours ago

Named Clutch Player Of The Year
Joel Embiid1 day ago

Good To Go Thursday
Sonny Milano1 day ago

Misses Practice On Thursday
Filip Chytil1 day ago

Joins Rangers For Trip To Washington
Jesper Fast1 day ago

Remains Out On Thursday
Matt Martin1 day ago

A Game-Time Call Thursday
Anton Lundell1 day ago

Takes Over As Second-Line Center Thursday
Ryan Lomberg1 day ago

Ruled Out For Game 3
Alex Vlasic1 day ago

Inks Six-Year Extension With Blackhawks
Kyle Okposo1 day ago

To Suit Up In Game 3
Uros Medic1 day ago

A Massive Favorite At UFC Vegas 91
Tim Means1 day ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 91
Austen Lane1 day ago

Searching For First UFC Win
Jhonata Diniz1 day ago

Making UFC Debut
Bogdan Guskov1 day ago

Gets Ranked Opponent At UFC Vegas 91
Ryan Spann1 day ago

Looks To Snap Losing Skid At UFC Vegas 91
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

Survives At Talladega For First Win Of 2024
Brad Keselowski4 days ago

Finishes Second At Talladega After Last-Lap Wreck
Anthony Alfredo4 days ago

Gets Best Finish For Beard Motorsports Since 2022
Todd Gilliland4 days ago

One Of The Strongest At Talladega
NASCAR4 days ago

Bubba Wallace Finishes 36th At Talladega Superspeedway
Kyle Larson5 days ago

Fails To Deliver Value In DFS At Talladega
NASCAR5 days ago

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Finishes Fourth At Talladega
Noah Gragson5 days ago

Surprisingly The Most Consistent Driver At Talladega
Shane Van Gisbergen5 days ago

Shane van Gisbergen Acquits Himself Nicely In Drafting Debut
Michael McDowell5 days ago

Ends Talladega Wrecked From The Lead
Alex Bowman5 days ago

Quietly Captures Top-Five Finish At Talladega
Daniel Hemric5 days ago

Surges To Ninth-Place Result At Talladega
Harrison Burton5 days ago

Squeezes Into Top 10 At Talladega
NASCAR5 days ago

Bubba Wallace Will Start 14th For the GEICO 500
Tyler Reddick5 days ago

Avoid Rostering Tyler Reddick At Talladega?
John Hunter Nemechek5 days ago

Should DFS Players Roster John Hunter Nemechek At Talladega?
Joey Logano5 days ago

Expect Joey Logano To Compete For The Win At Talladega
Denny Hamlin5 days ago

Is Denny Hamlin Recommended For Talladega?
Justin Haley5 days ago

Is A Top DFS Value At Talladega
William Byron5 days ago

Is One Of The Top Favorites To Win Talladega
Christopher Bell5 days ago

Is Best Suited As A Tournament Play At Talladega
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF