X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts

Three Overvalued Quarterbacks Who Are Being Drafted Too High

There are two schools of thought when it comes to drafting a quarterback in fantasy football drafts. One strategy is to grab one of the top-notch passers early like Aaron Rodgers or Andrew Luck, giving you an automatic advantage at a key position.

The other, more common philosophy, is to wait on QB entirely considering how deep the position is. Whatever you decide, it’s important to realize that value still matters wherever you select a quarterback. Here we’ll look at three QBs who are being drafted too high within the position, and may be overvalued based on their ADPs and draft day prices.

Editor's Note: On the contrary, if you want to read about 2015 fantasy football draft sleepers for quarterbacks, and players that are undervalued, be sure to check our running list of ADP values that can return draft day profits and help you dominate your leagues.

 

Quarterbacks Who Are Being Drafted Too High

Russell Wilson – QB, Seattle Seahawks

Earlier this offseason I was talking up Russell Wilson as a fantastic fantasy QB prospect for 2015, mostly due to the addition of tight end Jimmy Graham. Flash forward two months or so and I’ve pretty much done a 180 based on no other reason than his current average draft position.

Wilson is currently being drafted as a late third/early fourth rounder depending on the size of your league. That’s a little crazy to me when you consider the fact that he only outscored Ben Roethlisberger by 17 fantasy points in 2014. That equates to exactly one-point-per game. For some added comparison, Roethlisberger is going a full two rounds later than Wilson in most leagues. Their ADP should be a lot closer together based on last year’s numbers and the fact that they’re in entirely different offenses.

A lot of Wilson’s fantasy production came from his 849 rushing yards, a feat that no quarterback has ever repeated in back-to-back seasons. Ben had stretches where the Steelers were slinging the ball around the field every chance they got. Wilson doesn’t play in an offense conducive to putting up big passing numbers as the Seahawks are a run first team. Basically, I don’t think you can justify selecting Wilson a full two rounds ahead of the likes of Ben Roethlisberger or even Matt Ryan.

I’m not suddenly anti-Wilson entirely. If he falls to me, great, as he’s developed into an awesome quarterback both in real life and in fantasy. It’s just that I’d rather draft the likes of Frank Gore or Jordan Matthews in the third/fourth round and wait a little longer on QB, especially if I can grab a guy like Ben or Ryan two rounds later.

 

Tony Romo – QB, Dallas Cowboys

Speaking of waiting on quarterback, Tony Romo is essentially the poster boy for this strategy. Romo is often selected as one of, if not the last, starting QB in a standard sized league. The thing about owning Tony Romo is that what you see is what you get. They don’t refer to his playing style as the Romo Coaster for nothing. He’s going to be sporadic and inconsistent, killing you in some weeks and winning you some others. Personally, I’d rather just avoid that situation entirely.

If I were going to wait on quarterback, I’d rather deal with Tom Brady’s suspension or take my chances on a guy with way more upside than Romo like Eli Manning or Ryan Tannehill. At this point in his career, Romo’s ceiling is pretty much capped at the back end of the top 10. Does anyone doubt that Tom Brady is going to put up borderline top-5 numbers when he comes back? Both Eli and Tannehill should continue to improve within their expanding offenses. Romo basically just has Dez Bryant, and there’s no guarantee the running game will back him up as much as it did last year now that DeMarco Murray is gone.

If you’re actually going to wait on QB, commit fully. Don’t bother drafting Romo in round six or seven when you can get Brady in round eight or Eli/Tannehill in round ten. Let someone get trigger-happy on grabbing their backup QB early once they see Tony Romo falling. In the meantime, you’ll be loading up an extra two rounds of running backs and wide receivers.

 

Colin Kaepernick – QB, San Francisco 49ers

This last overvalued quarterback might seem like cheating, but when I took a look at his ADP I just couldn’t refrain from putting him on this list. Forget what round he’s going in; the simple fact that Colin Kaepernick is being drafted ahead of the likes of Sam Bradford, Carson Palmer, and Jay Cutler is absurd.

Like I said, this might be cheating -- but there are leagues out there that start two quarterbacks, as well as deeper leagues where grabbing a backup is important. That’s really where my gripe with Kaepernick comes into playas the 16th QB off the board. The 49ers have undergone a considerable amount of change within their offensive personnel, and to be quite honest with you, no one really expects them to be that good this year. It’s not even like Kaepernick has more upside than the group that follows him either. Sam Bradford could thrive in a Chip Kelly system, Carson Palmer was on his way to being a top-12 fantasy QB prior to injury last season, and Jay Cutler has way better weapons than Kaepernick.

You might be thinking: “Colin Kaepernick’s rushing ability gives him enough upside to draft him over those guys.” In theory, you’re right, but when you actually apply that logic, it’s flawed. Kaepernick finished with 639 rushing yards in 2014, the highest total of his career, yet he still only finished as the 17th best fantasy quarterback. You’re basically banking on another career high in rushing yards if you expect some sort of upside out of him. Take a shot on guys who are actually in productive offenses, and can get you points doing that thing that quarterbacks are actually in the game to do -- throw the ball.

 

NFL & Fantasy Football Chat Room




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Aaron Gordon21 mins ago

Posts Big Double-Double
Tyler Myers25 mins ago

On Track To Return Friday
Jesper Fast34 mins ago

Unlikely To Feature In The Playoffs
Matthew Tkachuk44 mins ago

Bags Two Goals In Game 3 Victory
Steven Stamkos51 mins ago

Scores Third Postseason Goal
Ilya Sorokin1 hour ago

Lasts 27 Minutes In Game 3
Frederik Andersen1 hour ago

Stops 29 Pucks In Another Win
Cincinnati Bengals11 hours ago

Bengals Have No Plans To Trade Trey Hendrickson
Justin Herbert11 hours ago

Patriots, Vikings Reached Out Regarding Justin Herbert
Deebo Samuel11 hours ago

Niners "More Likely" To Deal Deebo Samuel Than Brandon Aiyuk
Xavier Legette11 hours ago

Goes To Panthers To Close Out First Round
Ricky Pearsall11 hours ago

Niners Add To Receiver Room With Ricky Pearsall
Baltimore Ravens12 hours ago

Nate Wiggins Heading To Baltimore
Dallas Cowboys12 hours ago

Cowboys Select Tyler Guyton With 29th Pick
Mitchell Robinson12 hours ago

Injured Again On Thursday
Xavier Worthy12 hours ago

Chiefs Get Speed At Receiver In Xavier Worthy
Arizona Cardinals12 hours ago

Darius Robinson Goes To Cardinals At Pick No. 27
Jalen Brunson12 hours ago

Has Another Big Game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers12 hours ago

Buccaneers Draft Graham Barton At No. 26 Late In First Round
Tyrese Maxey12 hours ago

Helps Philly Take Game 3
Green Bay Packers12 hours ago

Packers Select Jordan Morgan With The 25th Selection
Joel Embiid12 hours ago

Dominates In Game 3
Detroit Lions12 hours ago

Lions Trade Up To Select Terrion Arnold With The 24th Overall Pick
Brian Thomas Jr.12 hours ago

Selected By Jacksonville
Philadelphia Eagles13 hours ago

Quinyon Mitchell Taken With The 22nd Pick
Miami Dolphins13 hours ago

Dolphins Select Chop Robinson With The 21st Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers13 hours ago

Troy Fautanu Goes To Steel City
Los Angeles Rams13 hours ago

The Rams Select Jared Verse With The 19th Overall Pick
Cincinnati Bengals13 hours ago

Cincinnati Looks To Strengthen Line With Amarius Mims
Minnesota Vikings13 hours ago

Minnesota Vikings Trade Up To Select Dallas Turner
Seattle Seahawks13 hours ago

Seahawks Take Byron Murphy II With The 16th Overall Pick
Indianapolis Colts13 hours ago

Laiatu Latu Taken At No. 15 By Indianapolis
Olivier-Maxence Prosper15 hours ago

Won't Play In Game 3
Kawhi Leonard15 hours ago

Questionable For Game 3
Stephen Curry15 hours ago

Named Clutch Player Of The Year
Joel Embiid16 hours ago

Good To Go Thursday
J.P. France17 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A Sugar Land
José Ramírez17 hours ago

Jose Ramirez Launches Grand Slam In Three-Hit Day
Daniel Gafford17 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Friday
Tim Hardaway17 hours ago

Jr. Ruled Out For Game 3
Giannis Antetokounmpo17 hours ago

Doubtful For Game 3
Khris Middleton17 hours ago

Misses Thursday's Practice, Questionable For Game 3
Dean Wade17 hours ago

Ruled Out For First Round
Sonny Milano17 hours ago

Misses Practice On Thursday
Filip Chytil18 hours ago

Joins Rangers For Trip To Washington
Jesper Fast18 hours ago

Remains Out On Thursday
Matt Martin18 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Thursday
Anton Lundell18 hours ago

Takes Over As Second-Line Center Thursday
Ryan Lomberg18 hours ago

Ruled Out For Game 3
Zack Gelof19 hours ago

A's Place Zack Gelof On 10-Day Injured List
Alec Marsh19 hours ago

Lands On Injured List
Keibert Ruiz20 hours ago

Back From The Injured List
Jackson Merrill20 hours ago

Scratched With Groin Tigthness
Nolan Jones21 hours ago

Remains Sidelined Thursday
Max Muncy21 hours ago

On The Bench Thursday
Alex Vlasic21 hours ago

Inks Six-Year Extension With Blackhawks
Kyle Okposo22 hours ago

To Suit Up In Game 3
William Nylander22 hours ago

Reportedly Dealing With Migraine Issue
Framber Valdez22 hours ago

To Start Sunday
Brett Pesce22 hours ago

Tony DeAngelo To Replace Brett Pesce
Cal Raleigh22 hours ago

Back In The Lineup Thursday
J.P. Crawford22 hours ago

Heading To The Injured List
Sam Bennett22 hours ago

To Miss At Least A Week
Ceddanne Rafaela22 hours ago

The Team's Everyday Shortstop
Vaughn Grissom22 hours ago

Unlikely To Return This Weekend
Rafael Devers23 hours ago

Likely To Return To Third Base On Saturday
Corey Seager23 hours ago

Serving As Designated Hitter Against Seattle
Jonathan India23 hours ago

Back In Action Thursday
Bryce Harper23 hours ago

Back From Paternity List
Jack Eichel1 day ago

Makes NHL History In Game 2 Win
Brad Marchand1 day ago

Racks Up Three Points In Game 3 Victory
Leon Draisaitl1 day ago

Posts Two Assists In Wednesday's Loss
Anze Kopitar1 day ago

Completes Three-Point Night With Overtime Game-Winner
Trey Murphy1 day ago

III Cools Off In Game 2
CJ McCollum1 day ago

Blows Hot And Cold In Game 2
Brandon Ingram1 day ago

Overcomes Cold Start In Game 2
Jonas Valanciunas1 day ago

Leads Pelicans In Scoring Wednesday
Jalen Williams1 day ago

Contributes In All Areas Wednesday
Chet Holmgren1 day ago

Sets The Tone For Thunder In Game 2
Uros Medic1 day ago

A Massive Favorite At UFC Vegas 91
Tim Means1 day ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 91
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander1 day ago

Leads Thunder To Victory
Austen Lane1 day ago

Searching For First UFC Win
Jhonata Diniz1 day ago

Making UFC Debut
Bogdan Guskov1 day ago

Gets Ranked Opponent At UFC Vegas 91
Ryan Spann1 day ago

Looks To Snap Losing Skid At UFC Vegas 91
Garrett Whitlock1 day ago

Still Not Cleared For Mound Work
Max Scherzer1 day ago

Serves Up Two Homers In Rehab Start
John Means1 day ago

Could Start Sunday
Alec Marsh1 day ago

X-Rays Come Back Negative On Alec Marsh
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

Survives At Talladega For First Win Of 2024
Brad Keselowski4 days ago

Finishes Second At Talladega After Last-Lap Wreck
Anthony Alfredo4 days ago

Gets Best Finish For Beard Motorsports Since 2022
Todd Gilliland4 days ago

One Of The Strongest At Talladega
NASCAR4 days ago

Bubba Wallace Finishes 36th At Talladega Superspeedway
Kyle Larson4 days ago

Fails To Deliver Value In DFS At Talladega
NASCAR4 days ago

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Finishes Fourth At Talladega
Noah Gragson4 days ago

Surprisingly The Most Consistent Driver At Talladega
Shane Van Gisbergen4 days ago

Shane van Gisbergen Acquits Himself Nicely In Drafting Debut
Michael McDowell4 days ago

Ends Talladega Wrecked From The Lead
Alex Bowman4 days ago

Quietly Captures Top-Five Finish At Talladega
Daniel Hemric5 days ago

Surges To Ninth-Place Result At Talladega
Harrison Burton5 days ago

Squeezes Into Top 10 At Talladega
NASCAR5 days ago

Bubba Wallace Will Start 14th For the GEICO 500
Tyler Reddick5 days ago

Avoid Rostering Tyler Reddick At Talladega?
John Hunter Nemechek5 days ago

Should DFS Players Roster John Hunter Nemechek At Talladega?
Joey Logano5 days ago

Expect Joey Logano To Compete For The Win At Talladega
Denny Hamlin5 days ago

Is Denny Hamlin Recommended For Talladega?
Justin Haley5 days ago

Is A Top DFS Value At Talladega
William Byron5 days ago

Is One Of The Top Favorites To Win Talladega
Christopher Bell5 days ago

Is Best Suited As A Tournament Play At Talladega
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Keon Coleman- Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, WR, NFL Draft Sleepers

Updated Predictions for Rounds 2-3 in the 2024 NFL Draft

Round 1 of the 2024 NFL Draft is in the books! The good news is all the draft action will pick back up tonight at 7 pm ET as Rounds 2-3 of the draft will begin. There are still plenty of good players on the board who could have a big impact on fantasy football... Read More


Kirk Cousins - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2024 NFL Draft Instant Reaction: Round 1 Winners and Losers For Fantasy Football

The first round of the 2024 NFL Draft is now in the books. It was a night full of surprises, with six quarterbacks going in the first 12 picks. Thursday really shook things up across the league, so it's time to parse through what happened and make some sense of things. Below are some of... Read More


Michael Penix Jr. - CFB DFS Picks, Daily College Fantasy Football, NFL Draft Rookies

2024 NFL Draft - Worst Draft Picks In The First Round

Some teams made some really good picks on Thursday night in the first round of the NFL Draft. Other teams...well, let's just say that some teams made some baffling decisions. These decisions could prove to be smart moves, or they could set these organizations back in a big way. Here are the worst picks from... Read More


Bijan Robinson - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

2024 Fantasy Football Blind Resumes – Running Back Edition

Fantasy football drafts won't take place for a couple of months, but it's never too early to get into the fantasy mindset after a wild offseason. Many star running backs like Saquon Barkley, Josh Jacobs, and Aaron Jones found new homes while Joe Mixon was traded to the Houston Texans. Those moves will certainly affect where each player will go next season. Luckily, on Underdog Fantasy, we can... Read More


UFL DFS PICKS, FANTASY FOOTBALL, DRAFTKINGS, FANDUEL

UFL DFS Value Plays: Week 5 Bargain Bin for DraftKings Including Quinten Dormady, Jacob Saylors, Jahcour Pearson, More

Welcome to the Week 5 edition of RotoBaller's UFL DFS Bargain Bin, where the goal is to touch on some potentially mispriced players in DraftKings' Week 5 UFL contests. Each week during the UFL 2024 season and postseason, I’ll give you my thoughts on where there may be some value spots to exploit for DraftKings'... Read More


Kyler Murray - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2024 NFL Draft - Why Do The Bears, Cardinals, and Vikings Have Two First-Round Picks?

The NFL Draft is always one of the most exciting days for organizations and fans, but fans of teams with more than one first-round pick are even more excited and overjoyed. In the 2024 NFL Draft, three teams have multiple picks on Day 1. Landing two studs on the first day of the event can... Read More


Brian Thomas Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2024 NFL Draft: What Time Is The NFL Draft Tonight? How To Watch Thursday's Draft Picks

It’s finally here, RotoBallers! After months of waiting and speculation, the 2024 NFL Draft starts tonight. Along with the Super Bowl and the Kickoff Game that starts the season, Draft Day is one of the most exciting days on the NFL calendar. The anticipation is over and it is time to get things rolling. It... Read More


Darius Slayton - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2024 NFL Draft - Veterans With The Most Fantasy Football Value To Lose On Draft Night

It's almost here! The first round of the 2024 NFL Draft will take place tonight in Detroit, with 32 players set to join their first NFL team after all is said and done. But those players aren't just being drafted into empty roster spots. The NFL is a zero-sum game. For every new player that... Read More


2024 NFL Draft: Biggest Fantasy Football Questions

Football never sleeps at RotoBaller! The 2024 NFL Draft is upon us and anticipation is high for what could be a wild edition that will likely have huge fantasy football implications for the season ahead. RotoBaller's David Rispoli digs into the biggest fantasy football questions of the 2024 NFL Draft. What draft decisions could have... Read More


2024 NFL Draft Mock Spectacular - Woo Fantasy Podcast

Rotoballer analyst Brandon Murchison (@RotoSuperstar) is joined by co-host Nick Hefley (@therealffgoat) as they dive into their final first-round mock for the 2024 NFL Draft. With what is expected to be a wild and crazy night of selections and potential moves, where will the most coveted players for fantasy managers land? They discuss landing spots... Read More


2024 NFL Draft: Three Shocking Predictions for Round 1

Football never sleeps at RotoBaller! The 2024 NFL Draft is upon us and anticipation is high for what could be a wild First Round. RotoBaller's David Rispoli drops three bold predictions for what could happen in Round 1 of the NFL Draft on Thursday night. Win MORE in 2024 with RotoBaller! Be sure to tune... Read More


Marvin Harrison Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, WR, NFL Draft Sleepers

2024 NFL Mock Draft: Rounds 1, 2, 3 Predictions (Final Mock)

It is the most magical week of the year, when the mysticism of Gandalf, Harry Potter, and all the power of your aunt's healing crystals cannot combine to match the aura surrounding NFL Draft week! With the best week of the year here and just a few days until the actual NFL Draft begins, it... Read More


Malachi Corley - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2024 NFL Draft - Ranking the Top-10 Small School Prospects

While many of the top NFL players came from large colleges, there's always some talented players that slip through the cracks in recruiting and wind up at either a Group of Five school or an FCS school. Some of the NFL's top stars didn't come from the Power 5. Randy Moss played at Marshall. Khalil... Read More