Welcome, everyone, to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2025 RBC Canadian Open. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.
New starting this year -- if you want to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version, including more picks, data, analysis, and PGA DFS models.
Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'
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Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings - The RBC Canadian Open
Below are some of my favorite picks for DraftKings. We also have tons of other great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.
PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Spencer's Model (And More)
We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:
PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)
- A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows users to input data to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide on everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market.
- The RBC Canadian Open
Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)
- Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
- All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (296-228-30) 56.48%
- In-Tournament H2Hs (300-200-55) 60.00%
- Total H2Hs Since 2017: (596-428-85) 58.20%
- Outright Winners Since 2017: 51
- Units: +340.903 Units
- All Totals Are Entering 2025
- Click here to see an example
In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)
- Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.
In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4
- Lifetime Record:
- (300-200-55) 60.00%
- Click here to see an example
First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles
- Nine first-round leader wins in 2022.
- Click here to see an example
One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)
- 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look at a handful of options to consider.
- Click here to see an example
Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends
- We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.
- Join the community! You will be able to talk to fellow subscribers and have real-time weekly chats with the team.
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You can also sign up for the rest of the year for a discounted purchase that runs through December 31st. Now is the perfect time to try out all the great features at RotoBaller!
Let's Look at the Stats
| Stat | TPC Toronto | PGA Average |
| Driving Distance | N/A | 284 |
| Driving Accuracy | N/A | 61% |
| GIR Percentage | N/A | 65% |
| Scrambling Percentage | N/A | 57% |
| Average Three-Putts Per Round | N/A | 0.55 |
Field
Field Size: 7156
Cut: Top-65 & Ties
Top 20 Entrants: 5
Last Five Winners of The RBC Canadian Open
| 2024 | Robert MacIntyre | -16 |
| 2023 | Nick Taylor | -17 |
| 2022 | Rory McIlroy | -19 |
| 2021 | Rory McIlroy | -22 |
| 2020 | Dustin Johnson | -23 |
Expected Cut-Line at The RBC Canadian
| 2024 | |
| 2023 | |
| 2022 | |
| 2021 | |
| 2020 |
New course. I am not going to try to project the unknown answer.
TPC Toronto
7,445 Yards - Par 70 - Greens Bentgrass
You can find my premium course breakdown in my Vegas Report this week.
First Look Into Outright Bets
| Player | Price |
| Sam Burns | 30 |
| Sungjae Im | 35 |
Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?
Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!
Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo
— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023
Favorite Plays
Corey Conners ($10,100)
I discussed this in my other RotoBaller article, but it was a rare occurrence for my model this week, where every golfer priced at $ 9,000 or more graded as a positive or neutral DFS value on the slate. One of the reasons for that stems from all 11 names landing inside the top 11 of my math.
I don't want to make a massive push in any singular direction, as you could mix and match any of these golfers to create a high-end lineup with playability. However, one of the things I noticed when diving deeper into the data was how McIlroy, Aberg, and Conners landed in their own range for win equity. Yet, Conners is going to be the name going off the board as the cheapest commodity at only $10,100.
Conners' lack of distance might be enough to suppress his ownership for even more playability throughout the week, and let's not overlook his top 10 grades off-the-tee at TPC courses, other similar properties and venues with easy-to-hit fairways but thick rough.
The nearly $2,000 you save dropping down to him from McIlroy adds a lot more upside throughout the rest of your build, even though it is going to be nearly impossible to make a case for anyone being favored over the Irishman from a pure win equity standpoint.
Doug Ghim ($7,300)
Do the adverse effects of the Ghim Reaper work the same way in Canada as in the USA?
Very few golfers find a way to burn me with the consistency we see from Doug Ghim in these spots. Still, Ghim has been a Canadian stalwart in my model, ranking fifth in this field when placed on foreign soil and third when given any generic TPC property worldwide.
Is that enough for me to feel fully comfortable? No. However, his third-place Weighted Proximity total and equally strong Bentgrass return will have me rostering him for DFS and playing him in various markets, including as a dangerous head-to-head target.
Sam Burns ($9,300)
After a rocky start to 2025, Sam Burns has started to regain some of that statistical dominance from 2024, posting five top 30 finishes in a row -- including a putter that ranked first in this field over his last 24 rounds.
Is that the purest recipe for success when the long iron numbers leave a ton to be desired? Not necessarily, but he still brings a blueprint that shows him to be a TPC stalwart and high-end scorer when given similar-styled courses.
My model considered Burns one of the best values on the board at his $9,300 going rate and believed he possessed a ceiling worth exploring within the outright market.
Win More With RotoBaller
Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller's PGA Premium Packages feature several savvy analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.
Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:
If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU
— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020
Congrats @tenndolly2 ???
— RotoBaller PGA (@RotoBallerPGA) August 10, 2020
Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt
