Welcome, everyone, to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2026 PLAYERS. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.
New starting this year -- if you want to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version, including more picks, data, analysis, and PGA DFS models.
Be sure to follow me on X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my dynamic "PGA Rankings Wizard Model."
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Fantasy PGA DraftKings Lineup Picks - PLAYERS
Below are some of my favorite picks for DraftKings. We also have tons of other great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.
PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Spencer's Model (And More)
We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:
PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)
- A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows users to input data to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide on everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market.
- The PLAYERS
Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)
- Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
- All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (353-277-34) 56.00%
- In-Tournament H2Hs (361-250-69) 59.08%
- Total H2Hs Since 2017: (714-527-103) 57.53%
- Outright Winners Since 2017: 55
- Units: +341.218 Units
- All Totals Are Entering 2026
- Click here to see an example
In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)
- Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.
In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1, 2, 3, and 4
- Lifetime Record:
- (361-250-69) 59.08%
- Click here to see an example
First-Round Leader/3-Ball Articles
- Twelve first-round leader wins over the last few years.
- Click here to see an example
One & Done (Deep Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)
- 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look at a handful of options to consider.
- Click here to see an example
Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends
- We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.
- Join the community! You will be able to talk to fellow subscribers and have real-time weekly chats with the team.
- $249.99 per year - Sign up today for all the tools I provide!
- You can also try things out for $14.99 per week or get the complete PGA Platinum package from everyone on the team for $299.99. I believe that deal is one of the best offers in the space and includes work from Joe Nicely, Patrick Gates, Ian McNeill, Todd McGill, Matt Miller, and me.
Let's Look at the Stats
| Stat | Sawgrass | PGA Average |
| Driving Distance | 289 | 284 |
| Driving Accuracy | 58% | 62% |
| GIR Percentage | 60% | 65% |
| Scrambling Percentage | 54% | 55% |
| Average Three-Putts Per Round | 0.61 | 0.54 |
The PLAYERS Championship Field
- Field Size: 120
- Cut: T65 & Ties
- Top 20 Entrants: 19
Last Five Winners of the PLAYERS
| 2025 | Rory McIlroy | -12 |
| 2024 | Scottie Scheffler | -20 |
| 2023 | Scottie Scheffler | -17 |
| 2022 | Cameron Smith | -13 |
| 2021 | Justin Thomas | -14 |
Expected Cut Line
| 2025 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 |
| 2023 | 3 |
| 2022 | 3 |
| 2021 | 1 |
TPC Sawgrass
7,352 Yards - Par 72 - Greens Bermuda (Overseeded Grass)
Check my premium DK article.
First Look Into Outright Bets
Check my Vegas Report and the Discord chat room.
Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?
Like what you read? You can show your support for Spencer by using the discount code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 30% off and full access to all Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS/betting tools, and Lineup Optimizers! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!
Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo
— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023
Favorite DFS Plays for the PLAYERS
Si Woo Kim ($9,200)
The once-thought-of erratic Si Woo Kim has become a rather impressive staple of consistency over the past year, with a current made-cut streak of 11 tournaments, including five top-13 finishes over his seven events in 2026.
While the consistency in that regard is something that has helped to catapult the 30-year-old toward a second-place rank in 2026 when merging the in-event data into expected Sawgrass production in my model (behind only Morikawa), the consistently poor putting returns continue to plague what should be a season that has delivered a win.
Kim has gained +43.2 shots ball-striking in his seven starts this year (+6.17/start), but is experiencing a negative-2.25 per event return with the putter. I can go on and on about how putting is reduced at this venue, something we saw with his 2017 title as a 500/1 longshot, but the data shows quite the upside profile when we remove the flat-stick from the mix. Even if he can be neutral, the upside is there for victory.
Here are the only golfers in my model to land top 20 for Expected Proximity + Weighted Driving + Weighted Scoring + Weighted Strokes Gained Total:
For what it is worth, that return was one of the reasons I backed Sepp Straka in various markets this week.
Max MxGreevy ($6,500)
I had Max McGreevy last year across the board at TPC Sawgrass. A 500/1 outright price, top-5/10/20/30/40 as a laddered-up golfer on the slate, and while it did yield a positive return, it likely resulted in the second-worst (worst?) shot from a golfer I backed in 2025.
I still have issues with Cameron Davis at the American Express, and whatever that drive was on 18 to go OB into a housing development that was 200 yards right of play. You can be the judge of which shot was worse between that and the iron shot that McGreevy hit that airmailed the green by nearly 50 yards from 57 yards out:
Cameron Davis (AMEX) - 
Max McGreevy (PLAYERS) -
I am going to let bygones be bygones here and back one of the top pure values I have in my sheet.
Here are all the players inside the top-40 for me that landed above a certain threshold return for DFS purposes:
*** Yellamaraju and Ewart have very limited profiles in 2026. I took their small sample size and didn't adjust.
McGreevy ranked among the best pure wind players on my sheet and also delivered high-end OTT grades in courses with a larger penalty for misses and overall driving accuracy.
More PGA Analysis and Picks
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If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU
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