X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts

Way Too Early 2017 Breakouts - Quarterback

What Appears In This Article? hide

The 2016 season is but a faint memory, and the 2017 season seems ages away. We've yet to go through the NFL combine, let alone the draft. Absent those distractions, this seems like a perfect time to consider which quarterbacks could have breakout campaigns.

Unlike the running back position, the QB position is generally quite stable. Scoring at the QB position tends to be more bunched up than at other positions, so breakout is a relative term. That said, here are three signal callers who could post better than expected performances in 2017.

Editor's Note: Our industry-leading NBA DFS Lineup Optimizer/Generator tool helps you build winning DFS lineups in seconds. Try it now for free, and get an edge on your competition.

Early Breakout Candidates: QB

Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles

Wentz started all 16 games as a rookie, something worth noting. It wasn't a great performance by any means. A 16:14 TD to interception ratio is nothing to write home about, nor is a QB rating of just 79.3. His 3,782 passing yards were just 18th-best, and his 5.7 adjusted yards per attempt (AYA, a measure of efficiency that accounts for yards, TDs, interceptions, and sacks) were 28th. Ouch.

So why the optimism? Wentz had the fifth-most pass attempts last year, so any improvement in effectiveness, combined with a similar volume, could really boost his numbers. On the same volume, a half-percentage point of improvement in his TD rate would produce about three more TDs. A similar improvement in his interception rate would cut about two interceptions. Improving his yards per attempt to seven would net over 450 additional passing yards. All three of those improvements would still leave him at below-league-average rates, so it's not like forecasting some amazing growth. But if he could hit those benchmarks, he'd be in the mix for the QB1 fantasy tier.

Wentz could mature enough just on his own to meet those improved numbers. As a first-year signal caller he has a lot of room for growth. He could also stand to get some help. So far this offseason, the Eagles have been linked with wide receivers DeSean Jackson, Torrey Smith, and Alshon Jeffery as free agent targets. Adding a WR through the draft is also a possibility. Whatever happens, it seems like the Eagles are looking to boost their receiving corps, and that could also boost his numbers.

I don't think Wentz will be an elite fantasy option, but I think he could be much better than he was last year, and given his likely cheap cost in fantasy drafts, he could be a boon to your roster as a second quarterback.

Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars

Bortles' 2016 season was widely considered a disaster, and it was from a real football point of view. For fantasy purposes however, he was still at top-10 performer. I think he could do as well - or better - in 2017. It's helpful to remember that despite having three seasons under his belt, Bortles is still just 24 years old. He was a very young prospect and still has time to grow as a QB.

What if Bortles isn't as bad as his 2016 performance? What if he isn't as good as his 2015 performance? What if the truth lies somewhere in the middle? If we average those two seasons we get 4,167 passing yards, 29 TDS, 17 interceptions, and 346 yards rushing. Those numbers would have been good for a QB5 finish this season.

Technically, that's not much of a breakout from this year's QB8 finish, but I think an improvement is the last thing most people expect from Bortles. Even a modest improvement, coupled with a low ADP could make him a great asset.

Bortles could have a better cast around him too. The Jaguars just jettisoned Julius Thomas, who added nothing as a receiver. In exchange they're getting tackle Brandon Albert. That upgrade to their offensive line could help Bortles. Bortles already has two quality WRs in Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns, but Marqise Lee started to emerge last year as well. Bortles could have one of the youngest and most productive receiving corps in the league. He has been largely dismissed as a fantasy starter, but it's too early to overlook these reasons for optimism.

Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco

Hold the phone, what? Bear with me. Obviously, a lot would have to go right for Kaepernick for him to be considered a breakout candidate. For starters, he needs a team. There's a chance that San Francisco keeps him, in which case he'd get to work with Kyle Shanahan. Not a bad thing at all. Kaepernick averaged over 21 points per game last season, and went over 19 points in eight of 11 games. Shanahan gets some credit for helping Kirk Cousins develop and he helped Matt Ryan win an MVP award. Perhaps he could help Kaepernick as well. If nothing else, Shanahan has overseen some high volume passing games, and given the state of the 49ers defense, that should continue. Finally, San Francisco has a ton of available cap space, and they could very well improve their receiving weapons in free agency.

Things obviously get dicier if Kaepernick leaves San Francisco, but there are a number of teams around the league that could use a QB, and there's a decent chance Kaepernick gets to compete for a starting job. We already know he can produce low-end starting QB numbers without elite receiving options, so I'm not too worried about where he'd end up. It's obviously a risk to pursue Kaepernick at this point in time, but keep an eye on him. If he ends up back in San Francisco, he could have a great season. If he ends up elsewhere, he could still produce starter-level numbers. If you can time it right, you'll be able to get him for next to nothing.




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Lane Thomas11 mins ago

Leaves With Apparent Leg Injury
Kawhi Leonard20 mins ago

Returns To Clippers Lineup
DJ LeMahieu24 mins ago

Suffers Setback Tuesday
Kris Bryant2 hours ago

Won't Return Wednesday
Framber Valdez2 hours ago

Could Start A Game In Mexico City
Robert Stephenson2 hours ago

To Have Tommy John Surgery
Mike Trout2 hours ago

In The Leadoff Spot Against Orioles
Corbin Carroll3 hours ago

Sitting Versus Southpaw
Merrill Kelly3 hours ago

Placed On Injured List
Johnny Cueto3 hours ago

Signing With Rangers
Keibert Ruiz3 hours ago

To Begin Rehab Assignment On Tuesday
Grayson Allen3 hours ago

Ready To Go Tuesday
Taijuan Walker3 hours ago

To Make Season Debut On Sunday
DJ LeMahieu3 hours ago

Could Return Soon
Zion Williamson3 hours ago

Confident Of Returning In Playoffs
Ryan Mountcastle3 hours ago

Remains Out For Tuesday's Game
Heston Kjerstad3 hours ago

Hitting Eighth In Season Debut
Terry Rozier3 hours ago

Ruled Out For Game 2
Giannis Antetokounmpo3 hours ago

To Remain Out On Tuesday
Andrew Peeke3 hours ago

Considered Week-To-Week
Ryan Lomberg4 hours ago

Unavailable Due To Illness
Alexandar Georgiev4 hours ago

To Remain Between The Sticks Tuesday
Ian Happ4 hours ago

Back In Action Against Astros
Nick Jensen4 hours ago

Rasmus Sandin Not Ready To Return
Drew Smyly4 hours ago

Kyle Hendricks, Drew Smyly Placed On Injured List
Rafael Devers4 hours ago

To Serve As DH On Wednesday
Samuel Girard4 hours ago

Set To Remain Out On Tuesday
Thatcher Demko4 hours ago

Out For Game 2, Questionable For Rest Of Series
Brandon Aiyuk4 hours ago

Trade Remains "Very Much In Play"
Triston Casas5 hours ago

Dealing With Left-Rib Fracture
Gerrit Cole5 hours ago

Out To 120 Feet
Jake Fraley5 hours ago

Jonathan India Still Out Sick
Jonah Heim5 hours ago

Back From Bereavement List
Denver Broncos5 hours ago

Broncos Pick Up Fifth-Year Option On Patrick Surtain II
Kawhi Leonard7 hours ago

Present For Shootaround
New England Patriots7 hours ago

Patriots Haven't Received "Serious" Offers For No. 3 Pick
Kadarius Toney7 hours ago

Still In Chiefs' Plans
Jake Browning7 hours ago

Bengals Re-Sign Jake Browning
Ivan Fedotov8 hours ago

Agrees To Two-Year Extension With Flyers
Timo Meier8 hours ago

To Undergo Shoulder Surgery
Lucas Johansen8 hours ago

To Make Postseason Debut Tuesday
Brett Pesce8 hours ago

Questionable For Game 3
William Nylander8 hours ago

A Possibility For Game 3
Adrian Kempe11 hours ago

Keeps Postseason Scoring Streak Going
Adam Henrique11 hours ago

Collects Two Points In Game 1 Victory
Andrei Svechnikov12 hours ago

Sends Out Two Assists In Monday's Win
David Pastrnak12 hours ago

Ends Goal Drought Monday
Max Domi12 hours ago

Produces Multi-Point Performance In Game 2
Brett Pesce12 hours ago

Injury "Not Looking Good"
Nikola Jokic12 hours ago

Posts Special Triple-Double In Game 2 Victory
Jamal Murray12 hours ago

Completes 20-Point Effort With Big Game-Winner
LeBron James12 hours ago

Outstanding In Losing Effort
Anthony Davis12 hours ago

Leads All Scorers In Game 2 With 32 Points
Jarrett Allen13 hours ago

Gobbles Up 20 Rebounds In Game 2 Victory
Donovan Mitchell13 hours ago

Does It All For Cleveland In Game 2
Kyle Anderson13 hours ago

Questionable For Game 2
Mark Stone19 hours ago

Starts Scoring In Game 1 Win
Sebastian Aho20 hours ago

Posts Goal And Assist In Game 2 Win
Seth Jarvis20 hours ago

Leads Huge Comeback Win In Game 2
Evan Bouchard20 hours ago

Puts Up Four Assists From Back End In Game 1
Josh Hart23 hours ago

Gets It Done In Game 2
Mitchell Robinson23 hours ago

Cools Off On Monday Night
Jalen Brunson23 hours ago

Struggles Shooting In Game 2
Joel Embiid23 hours ago

Has A Big Night On Monday
Tyrese Maxey23 hours ago

Erupts In Game 2
Jalen Suggs1 day ago

Returns On Monday
Kawhi Leonard1 day ago

Questionable For Game 2
Miles Bridges1 day ago

Pistons Could Target Miles Bridges This Summer
Brandon Aiyuk1 day ago

49ers Have Received Calls Regarding Brandon Aiyuk
Dak Prescott1 day ago

Not Trying To Be Highest-Paid Player
Zach Wilson1 day ago

Broncos Acquiring Zach Wilson From Jets
Matt Ryan1 day ago

Officially Retires From NFL
Cincinnati Bengals1 day ago

Sam Hubbard Recovering From Ankle Surgery
New England Patriots1 day ago

Patriots Listening To Calls For No. 3 Pick
Rashee Rice1 day ago

Expected To Receive Multi-Game Suspension
Tyler Reddick1 day ago

Survives At Talladega For First Win Of 2024
Brad Keselowski1 day ago

Finishes Second At Talladega After Last-Lap Wreck
Anthony Alfredo1 day ago

Gets Best Finish For Beard Motorsports Since 2022
Todd Gilliland1 day ago

One Of The Strongest At Talladega
NASCAR2 days ago

Bubba Wallace Finishes 36th At Talladega Superspeedway
Kyle Larson2 days ago

Fails To Deliver Value In DFS At Talladega
NASCAR2 days ago

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Finishes Fourth At Talladega
Noah Gragson2 days ago

Surprisingly The Most Consistent Driver At Talladega
Shane Van Gisbergen2 days ago

Shane van Gisbergen Acquits Himself Nicely In Drafting Debut
Michael McDowell2 days ago

Ends Talladega Wrecked From The Lead
Alex Bowman2 days ago

Quietly Captures Top-Five Finish At Talladega
Brock Bowers2 days ago

Jets The Favorite To Take Brock Bowers At No. 10
Drake Maye2 days ago

Giants Could Be Eyeing Drake Maye
Daniel Hemric2 days ago

Surges To Ninth-Place Result At Talladega
Harrison Burton2 days ago

Squeezes Into Top 10 At Talladega
NASCAR2 days ago

Bubba Wallace Will Start 14th For the GEICO 500
Tyler Reddick2 days ago

Avoid Rostering Tyler Reddick At Talladega?
John Hunter Nemechek2 days ago

Should DFS Players Roster John Hunter Nemechek At Talladega?
Joey Logano2 days ago

Expect Joey Logano To Compete For The Win At Talladega
Denny Hamlin2 days ago

Is Denny Hamlin Recommended For Talladega?
Justin Haley2 days ago

Is A Top DFS Value At Talladega
William Byron2 days ago

Is One Of The Top Favorites To Win Talladega
Christopher Bell2 days ago

Is Best Suited As A Tournament Play At Talladega
Zach Wilson3 days ago

Jets Still "Open" To Trading Zach Wilson
Marquise Brown3 days ago

Could Have Lucrative Role In KC
Dak Prescott4 days ago

Hasn't Started Contract Negotiations With Cowboys
Zach Wilson4 days ago

Not At Voluntary Workouts
Jayden Daniels4 days ago

Not Interested In Playing In D.C.?
DJ Chark Jr.4 days ago

Visits With Chargers
Courtland Sutton4 days ago

Broncos Not Concerned With Courtland Sutton
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF