X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Why You Shouldn't Buy Stefon Diggs..... Yet

You already know where I am going with this article so we need to get something out of the way right now. Just because I am down on a player doesn’t mean I don’t like him. That holds true for Stefon Diggs. I think Diggs is immensely talented and has all the potential to become a great receiver, but as the article states, I am not buying yet.

I am going to continue to let the fantasy community fight over Diggs this off-season. You want to maximize the return on your investment. Diggs is like a brand-new car for me. I am going to let someone else purchase the car first, use it for a while, decide they want to upgrade and trade it in. I’ll go ahead and purchase the car after you for half the price, with some use, but still plenty of miles left.

All ADP data used for this article is from Fantasy Football Calculator Dynasty, 12-team ADP on 07/05/2018.

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers won two writing awards and received 12 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. A big congrats to our very own Byron Lindeque (Golf) and Jordan McAbee (NASCAR) for both winning Writer Of The Year awards! Be sure to follow RotoBaller's analysis and advice all year long, and win more. Win More With RotoBaller!

 

Why I'm Not Digging Diggs

Does the ADP lie to us?

My biggest issue with Diggs is that almost everyone who buys him does so purely on talent. That seems to be the biggest argument from Diggs fans as to why we need to be buying him as a WR1 right now. I’m not buying fantasy players based on talent alone. With the exception of rookies and some second-year players, I like to see production and situation. I understand that if he breaks out in 2018 that you will never get him at this price again. I am willing to take that risk.

Right now, Diggs' ADP sits at 25.4, so you would be buying Diggs as the WR12. Since Diggs entered the league in 2015, he has finished as the WR46, WR30 and then finally made the jump to WR19 this past season. Just last off-season, Diggs had an ADP of 42.9 and was the WR22 in dynasty drafts. He was even being drafted behind Terrelle Pryor and Jarvis Landry. Landry just put together a WR1 season and is surrounded by just as many weapons as Diggs, but now has fallen behind Diggs with an ADP of 41.8. So what else concerns me outside of production?

Injury History

During Diggs' first three seasons, he has already missed 10 games. That is not something I want to worry about with my WR1. Diggs has missed games with a groin injury two separate times while also missing time with a hip strain and a knee strain. Teammate Adam Thielen is only three years older, has more catches and receptions over the past two years while not missing a game in the past four years. Even with that on Thielen’s resume, he’s going 24.7 spots later than Diggs. This leads me back to a previous point though, Diggs is being drafted on talent alone because they both have the same opportunity in the same offense with the same quarterback, but one has been more productive and played in more games the past two seasons.

Same Faces, New Places

The Vikings have added what they believe to be the missing link to their Super Bowl run. Kirk Cousins heads to the Twin Cities and while many fantasy owners think he is the key to the Vikings success on offense, should we tone down our excitement a little? Cousins has been good the last three seasons finishing as the QB6, QB5 and QB8. So, there is no doubt he will produce again for fantasy owners, but the question is about how players finish around him.

During his three full years, Cousins hasn’t produced a top receiver. In 2015, Pierre Garcon finished as the WR31, in 2016 Garcon finished as the WR23 and in 2017, Jamison Crowder finished as WR31. The best finish from a wide receiver under Cousins is borderline WR2/3. Cousins will spread the ball around and not lean on one receiver.

During the last three seasons, Cousins has used his tight ends and running backs extensively.

2017 2016 2015
Cousins Attempts 540 606 543
RB/TE Targets 236 239 233

Just over 42% of the time Cousins would target his running backs or tight ends since he took over full time in 2015. Even when Jordan Reed couldn’t find his way onto the field the last two seasons, Cousins still used Vernon Davis. Cousins will now get to use Kyle Rudolph and Dalvin Cook in Minnesota who boast more combined talent than the options in Washington the last few years.

Uncharted Territory

One thing we haven’t seen happen very often is high-profile quarterbacks changing teams. We saw Jay Cutler move from the Bears to the Dolphins last season after contemplating retirement. The results were less than fantastic. It can take some time for quarterbacks and wide receivers to gel and meet their full potential. Since Cousins already has used his tight ends and running backs heavily in the past, it could be the case the Cousins develops a relationship with Rudolph and Cook before Diggs and Thielen.

We have seen receivers struggle with new teams, most recently Marvin Jones with the Lions in 2016 and Pryor for the Redskins in 2017. Could the same struggles be true the other way around? Maybe it will take time for a new quarterback to fully integrate into a system.  I liken it to a rookie quarterback who must learn a new offense and build a report with new receivers. Since 2014, only one rookie quarterback has finished as a QB1. Cousins will be a QB1 in 2018, but he won’t make Diggs a WR1.

Why 2018 isn’t the Year

As I said at the beginning of this piece, I am not buying Diggs prior to the 2018 season. If he busts out and has a fantastic season, then I missed my time to buy, that’s okay. However, maybe he struggles in 2018, then the Vikings decide they want to move on from him and he goes to a new team. What if he struggles again? I have now had to invest in Diggs as a WR1 when it could be a minimum of two years before I get the return on the investment I made. I think Diggs has a ton of talent and will excel at some point, but because I don’t believe in him for 2018, I’ll hold off and buy when his value goes down again next off-season.

 

More ADP Draft Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Nick Senzel2 hours ago

Expected To Miss 3-4 Weeks
Jon Gray2 hours ago

To Start On Sunday
Justin Steele2 hours ago

Likely To Go On Injured List
Anfernee Simons4 hours ago

Out Against The Heat
Max Kepler5 hours ago

X-Rays Come Back Negative On Max Kepler
Keldon Johnson5 hours ago

Questionable For Friday
Justin Steele5 hours ago

Has Left-Hamstring Tightness
Matisse Thybulle5 hours ago

Questionable For Friday
Davis Bertans5 hours ago

Listed As Probable For Friday
Jusuf Nurkic5 hours ago

Questionable Against Oklahoma City
Dario Saric5 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Friday
Noah Clowney5 hours ago

Probable For Nets Friday
Jonathan Kuminga5 hours ago

Questionable For Warriors Friday
Jerami Grant5 hours ago

Considered Doubtful For Friday
Dennis Smith5 hours ago

Jr. Probable For Friday
Lauri Markkanen6 hours ago

Questionable Against Houston
Toumani Camara6 hours ago

Will Not Play Friday
Justin Steele6 hours ago

Exits Thursday's Start
Richaun Holmes6 hours ago

Out Versus Pistons
Cameron Johnson6 hours ago

Out Against Chicago On Friday
Luka Doncic6 hours ago

On The Injury Report For Friday
David Bednar6 hours ago

Still Dealing With Lat Injury
Deandre Ayton6 hours ago

Is Questionable For Friday
Rudy Gobert6 hours ago

Might Miss Friday's Game
Tyus Jones6 hours ago

Unavailable For Friday
Zeke Nnaji6 hours ago

Ruled Out Against Minnesota
Jaden Ivey6 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Friday
Rhys McKee6 hours ago

Searching For First UFC Win
Anthony Edwards6 hours ago

Uncertain For Friday Night
Chidi Njokuani6 hours ago

Drops Back Down To Welterweight At UFC Atlantic City
Kyle Nelson6 hours ago

An Underdog Again At UFC Atlantic City
Bill Algeo6 hours ago

Eyes Sixth UFC Win
Joaquin Buckley7 hours ago

Gets Ranked Opponent At UFC Atlantic City
Vicente Luque7 hours ago

Gets Short-Notice Opponent At UFC Atlantic City
Eduardo Rodriguez7 hours ago

Could Throw Off Mound In 5-7 Days
Max Kepler7 hours ago

Leaves On Opening Day With Injury
Nick Senzel8 hours ago

Suffers Broken Thumb
Jason Foley8 hours ago

Earns The Save For Tigers
Tarik Skubal8 hours ago

Tosses Six Scoreless Innings On Opening Day
Corbin Burnes9 hours ago

Pitches A Gem On Opening Day
Royce Lewis9 hours ago

Exits With Quad Injury
Max Scherzer10 hours ago

Throws Bullpen Session
Clayton Kershaw11 hours ago

"Ahead Of Things" Timetable-Wise
Walker Buehler11 hours ago

Ahead Of Schedule
Corey Seager11 hours ago

Active On Opening Day
Oneil Cruz11 hours ago

Batting Sixth On Opening Day
Bryan Reynolds13 hours ago

In Opening Day Lineup
Jordan Romano15 hours ago

Not Expected To Be Out Long
Aaron Ekblad16 hours ago

Returning To Panthers Lineup Thursday
Nikita Kucherov16 hours ago

Establishes New Career High With 42nd Goal
Shane Pinto16 hours ago

Collects Career-High Four Points
Valeri Nichushkin16 hours ago

Nursing A Lower-Body Injury
Samuel Girard16 hours ago

Battling An Illness
J.K. Dobbins16 hours ago

Visiting With Chargers On Thursday
Oskar Sundqvist16 hours ago

To Miss Rest Of Season With Torn ACL
Ethan Bear16 hours ago

Enters Player Assistance Program
Mark Hubbard1 day ago

Coming Off A Career Performance
Davis Thompson1 day ago

Looking To Pay Off A Stellar Run Of Ball-Striking
Akshay Bhatia1 day ago

Coming Into Houston With Confidence
Thorbjorn Olesen1 day ago

Still Trying To Find Footing On U.S. Soil
Patrick Rodgers1 day ago

Fighting Inconsistencies Heading Into Houston
Malik Nabers1 day ago

Shines At Pro Day
Carolina Panthers1 day ago

Jadeveon Clowney Signing Two-Year Deal With Panthers
Wyndham Clark1 day ago

Battling Back Injury Ahead of Houston Open
San Francisco 49ers2 days ago

Talanoa Hufanga Expected To Return At Training Camp
Jayden Daniels2 days ago

Raiders To Meet With Jayden Daniels
Tank Bigsby2 days ago

Jaguars Want Tank Bigsby More Involved
Josh Reynolds2 days ago

Signs Two-Year Deal With Broncos
Doug Ghim2 days ago

Looks To Bounce Back At Houston Open
PGA2 days ago

Cameron Davis Seeking Consistency Ahead Of Houston Open
Thomas Detry2 days ago

A Gamble At Houston Open
Ryan Fox2 days ago

Lacks Upside Heading Into Houston Open
Andrew Novak2 days ago

Will Be Chalk At Houston Open
Josh Doan2 days ago

Scores Twice In His NHL Debut
Filip Forsberg2 days ago

Makes History In Big Comeback Win
Jamie Benn2 days ago

Scores In Fifth Consecutive Game
Sidney Crosby2 days ago

Collects Three Points Versus Carolina
Artemi Panarin2 days ago

Continues Scoring Tear With Three Assists
Joey Daccord2 days ago

Shuts Out Ducks
Sahith Theegala2 days ago

Showing Consistency This Season
Wyndham Clark2 days ago

Working Toward Star Status
Scottie Scheffler2 days ago

Heads To Houston At His Best
Sam Ryder2 days ago

Putting The Lights Out Of Late
Joel Dahmen2 days ago

All Systems Go For Joel Dahmen In Houston
Kurt Kitayama2 days ago

Ready For Houston Debut
Ben Griffin2 days ago

Finding Form Heading To Houston
Taylor Moore2 days ago

Continues Made-Cut Streak Heading To Houston
Adam Svensson2 days ago

Hoping For Consistency In Houston
Taylor Montgomery2 days ago

Looks To Bounce Back In Houston
Amon-Ra St. Brown2 days ago

Discussing Extension With Lions
Jared Goff2 days ago

Lions Discussing New Deal
J.K. Dobbins2 days ago

Cleared For Football Activities
Los Angeles Rams2 days ago

Tre'Davious White To Join Rams
PIT2 days ago

Sam Poulin Recalled From AHL
Jack Quinn2 days ago

Could Return Wednesday
Scott Mayfield2 days ago

Undergoes Season-Ending Surgery
TOR2 days ago

Mitch Marner Skates On His Own Tuesday
Trevor Zegras2 days ago

To Return Tuesday
Justus Annunen2 days ago

Inks Two-Year Extension
Nick Chubb2 days ago

Expected To Start Load Running Next Month
D'Andre Swift2 days ago

Bears View D'Andre Swift As Receiving Weapon
Cordarrelle Patterson2 days ago

Signing With Steelers
Sam Howell2 days ago

Seahawks Believe Sam Howell Can Be A Full-Time Starter
Tennessee Titans3 days ago

L'Jarius Sneed Agrees On Four-Year Contract With Titans
Dak Prescott3 days ago

No Indication A Deal Is Coming For Dak Prescott
Calvin Ridley3 days ago

To Have Big Role In Tennessee
Josh Jacobs3 days ago

To Be Used More In Passing Game
Brandon Saad3 days ago

Gets Another Goal In Monday's Loss
Logan Thompson3 days ago

Stretches Winning Streak To Three Games
Pittsburgh Steelers3 days ago

Cameron Heyward Expected To Be Healthy For Training Camp
Zach Wilson3 days ago

Jets Could End Up Keeping Zach Wilson
Amanda Ribas3 days ago

Takes Decision Loss
Rose Namajunas3 days ago

Snaps Losing Streak
Edmen Shahbazyan3 days ago

Scores Vicious Comeback Knockout
AJ Dobson3 days ago

Knocked Out In The First Round At UFC Vegas 89
Fernando Padilla3 days ago

Gets Back On Track With Submission Win
Luis Pajuelo3 days ago

Submitted In UFC Debut
William Byron4 days ago

Dominates For Victory At COTA
Ty Gibbs4 days ago

Grabs Another Solid Finish At COTA
Chris Buescher4 days ago

Texas Native Chris Buescher Finishes Eighth At COTA
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Kyle Busch Confronts Christopher Bell Following A Top-10 Finish At COTA
Justin Haley4 days ago

Disqualified After Strong COTA Run
Martin Truex Jr4 days ago

. Rounds Out Top Ten At COTA
NASCAR4 days ago

A.J. Allmendinger Worms Way Up To Sixth At COTA
Shane Van Gisbergen4 days ago

Shane van Gisbergen Comes Down to Earth After Mediocre COTA Run
Ross Chastain4 days ago

Ran Well at COTA as Usual Despite Late-Race Fade
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Furious Charge Falls Just Short at COTA
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

Scores Strong Finish of Fifth at COTA
Chase Elliott4 days ago

Finishes 16th at COTA After Lackluster Performance
Billy Quarantillo5 days ago

Suffers Submission Loss At UFC Vegas 89
Youssef Zalal5 days ago

Gets Submission Win In Return To The UFC
Cameron Saaiman5 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Vegas 89
Payton Talbott5 days ago

Scores KO Win At UFC Vegas 89
Justin Tafa5 days ago

Drops To .500 In The UFC
Karl Williams5 days ago

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Kyle Larson5 days ago

Is One Of The Optimal DFS Options For COTA
Denny Hamlin5 days ago

Should Denny Hamlin Be Rostered For DFS Lineups At COTA?
Kaz Grala5 days ago

Is A Serviceable DFS Play For COTA
Shane Van Gisbergen5 days ago

Will Start 12th In First COTA Cup Start
Todd Gilliland5 days ago

Is A Sneaky DFS Play With Upside For COTA
William Byron5 days ago

Is One Of The Top Favorites To Win At COTA
Christopher Bell5 days ago

Is A Comfortable DFS Play For COTA
Tyler Reddick5 days ago

the Favorite to Win at COTA
Ty Gibbs5 days ago

Looking for First Career Win at COTA
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 

2024 NFL Draft: Bold Predictions and Potential Surprises for Round 1

Football never sleeps at RotoBaller! With the 2024 NFL Draft fast approaching, we're digging into what might transpire on draft night. RotoBaller analyst LaQuan Jones previews the 2024 NFL Draft and makes some BOLD Predictions about possible surprises and potential landing spots for the first round of the draft. Win MORE in 2024 with RotoBaller!... Read More


George Pickens - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Early Look At Wide Receivers In 2024 Fantasy Football Drafts

The upcoming NFL Draft is less than a month away. While everyone is excited for the NFL Draft, fantasy players are looking forward to the regular season. While we won’t have meaningful NFL football for months, it’s never too early to prepare for your fantasy football drafts. Last year, the fantasy football world saw multiple... Read More


Spencer Rattler, College Football Transfers

Underrated Rookie Draft Targets - Early 2024 Sleepers for Dynasty Fantasy Football

We are a month out from the NFL Draft, meaning if you are here, you are probably looking for draft content and reading up on prospects. You probably have all of the information you need on stud prospects like Caleb Williams and Marvin Harrison Jr. That’s not what you’re here for.  Rookie draft season for... Read More


Breece Hall - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2024 NFL Free-Agency Winners and the Fantasy Football Impact - Part II

The NFL's offseason, including trades and free agency, can strongly impact a player's fantasy football value. This effect can be positive or negative. For this series, we're focusing on fantasy football players who have seen their fantasy value increase. This can occur via a player's direct movement, such as a trade or signing with a... Read More


UFL RANKINGS, FANTASY FOOTBALL,

UFL Fantasy Football Rankings for Week 1: QB, RB, WR, TE Rankings and Analysis (2024)

It's finally here: the UFL season is set to kick off with two games on Saturday, March 30 and two games on Sunday, March 31. Saturday's games will be broadcast on Fox Sports while Sunday's matchups will be on ESPN. The most anticipated Week 1 matchup pits the 2023 USFL champion Birmingham Stallions against the... Read More


Jared Goff - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Will the Lions Extend Jared Goff's Contract This Offseason? 2024 NFL Outlook

Jared Goff's career in Los Angeles didn't take off like many expected after his appearance in Super Bowl LIII, and he was traded to the Lions for Matthew Stafford. Goff's first season in the Motor City was terrible, but he has completely turned things around over the last two seasons. In 2022, he almost led... Read More


Kyle Pitts - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2024 NFL Free-Agency Winners and the Fantasy Football Impact - Part I

Free agency symbolizes the start of a new NFL season. It's the first opportunity for NFL clubs to start addressing their weaknesses and considerably impacts how the upcoming season plays out. Just as free agency can improve or worsen a team's outlook, a player's fantasy football value is also impacted. Free agency marks the real... Read More


Malik Nabers - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, WR, NFL Draft Sleepers

Coach Knows Ball: Malik Nabers 2024 NFL Draft Film Breakdown of LSU WR

Welcome to Coach Knows Ball, an NFL Draft series analyzing the top prospects in the 2024 class. I'm a college football coach with nine years of NCAA experience and have been scouting NFL Draft prospects for over 15 years. This series will give a deep dive into the film of some of the top players... Read More


Avoid These Running Backs in 2024: Fantasy Football Outlook

Football never sleeps at RotoBaller! The staff is already looking ahead to the 2024 season to help our readers get the jump on their competition. RotoBaller analyst LaQuan Jones discusses five Running Backs that you should AVOID in 2024 fantasy football drafts. Win MORE in 2024 with RotoBaller! Be sure to tune into RotoBaller Radio... Read More


Brock Bowers - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers, NCAA College Football, Prospects

Brock Bowers 2024 NFL Draft Stock Update – When Will the Georgia TE Be Selected?

Georgia tight end Brock Bowers was arguably the top tight end in college football over the past few years. Bowers was outstanding his freshman year, totaling 56 receptions for 882 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns. Unfortunately, his production slightly slipped in 2022 as defenses started to game plan for the star tight end. Bowers had... Read More


Xavier Worthy 2024 NFL Draft Stock Update – When Will the Texas WR Be Selected?

Texas wide receiver Xavier Worthy has been one of the top pass-catchers in college football over the past few years. The explosive receiver was outstanding his freshman year, totaling 62 receptions for 981 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns. Unfortunately, his production slipped in 2022. Worthy had 60 receptions for 760 receiving yards and nine touchdowns... Read More


Blake Corum - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, RB, NFL Draft Sleepers

Blake Corum 2024 NFL Draft Stock Update - When Will the Michigan RB Be Selected?

Former Michigan running back Blake Corum is one of the most popular prospects in the 2024 NFL Draft class. The 23-year-old is fresh off a College Football National Championship victory and a 2023 campaign consisting of over 1,300 yards from scrimmage. However, given the devaluation of the running back position and Corum not being an... Read More


Brandon Aiyuk - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News

Will The 49ers Trade Brandon Aiyuk?

Brandon Aiyuk had a career year last season, finishing seventh in the league in receiving yards (1342), second in yards per catch (17.9), and catching seven touchdowns. For his efforts, he was named to the Second-team All-Pro. However, despite many expecting them to do so, the 49ers failed to win Super Bowl LVIII and now... Read More