Round 3 PGA DFS Showdown Picks - 2025 Sanderson Farms Championship

Ian Christenson - RotoBaller
Max Homa - PGA DFS Lineup Picks, Golf Betting Picks
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Hello, RotoBallers! I hope everyone is doing well and is ready for another exciting year of PGA DFS. Showdown has returned for another season on DraftKings alongside the PGA Tour, and we’re here to help guide you, whether you’re looking to continue your journey from where you left off in 2024 or are new to this particular DFS format.

The PGA Tour Fall swing is back in action after a brief pause for the Ryder Cup, and the leaderboard is heating up. Garrick Higgo sits atop at 13-under, with Eric Cole and Taylor Montgomery hot on his heels at 12-under. Danny Walker is close behind in fourth at 11-under, while Vince Whaley, Tom Kim, and Frankie Capan III are locked in a three-way tie for fifth at 10-under. With Jackson Country Club serving up birdies in bunches, the stage is set for a thrilling weekend of golf.
Unlike standard golf DFS, which covers the entire tournament, Showdown focuses on each round as an individual event. It's crucial to find players who excel on approach shots, but it’s also important to make roster decisions that provide ownership leverage by selecting riskier players who may not have been performing their best recently but could have a strong bounce-back round. In other words, this is a sprint, not a marathon.

 

Weather, Course Conditions, and Tee Times

Tomorrow promises weather much like today, though the morning will bring brisker winds before settling into a calmer afternoon. Scoring from Round 1 averaged 1.56 strokes under par, and Round 2 dipped even lower at 1.83 under. With similar conditions on the horizon, keep in mind that the afternoon players outperformed the morning group by nearly a stroke today.

 

Round 3 Strategy

The key to success in showdowns is to look for ball strikers who can have a standout putting performance. Having two exceptional putting days in a row is quite challenging, so we should focus on golfers who have been consistent with their approach shots and created birdie opportunities but fell short in converting them.

It’s also beneficial to target players who need to improve their position on the leaderboard, as they often push harder on moving day. Additionally, golfers who have shown some positive form in the first two rounds are great candidates to consider.

Keep in mind that ownership levels tend to decrease as the morning's first tee time approaches, so identifying players who are likely to bounce back is crucial for achieving significant wins.

 

$10,000+

Favorite Play: Michael Thorbjornsen dazzled in his opening round, carding a sizzling 5-under 67 with seven birdies lighting up his scorecard. The second round told a different story, as he battled to an even-par 72, mixing in five bogeys, two birdies, and a spectacular eagle. His approach game was absolutely dialed in round one, where he gained over four strokes and found almost every green in regulation. While putting may not be the strongest part of his game, Thorbjornsen continues to shine with his off the tee and approach play. If he keeps these parts of his game sharp, he will keep creating birdie opportunities-which is exactly what we’re looking for.

 

$9,000+

Favorite Play: Kevin Yu strung together an impressive 29 bogey-free holes before finally slipping with a bogey on the 12th today. He opened with a bogey-free 5-under 67, then followed up with a 1-under 71 that could have been even better if not for a double bogey on his final hole. In round one, Yu was locked in, gaining 1.860 strokes off the tee and 2.625 on approach, and hitting nearly 80% of fairways and almost 90% of greens. The second round told a different tale as he struggled on approach but found his touch with the flat stick. Despite the late stumble, Yu still racked up five birdies and has shown he can go low. He is exactly the kind of player I want in my lineups tomorrow.

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Other Options: Rasmus Hojgaard

 

$8,000+

Favorite Play: Vince Whaley has strung together two impressive rounds, highlighted by a bogey-free 5-under 67 in his second round. In the first round, he sank seven birdies despite two bogeys, still finishing at 5-under. Whaley’s putter has been on fire, gaining over a stroke on the greens in round one and more than two in round two. Even with just 28.57% of fairways hit in his second round, he still managed to keep his card clean. If he can find a few more fairways tomorrow, his knack for racking up birdies, 12 so far, he could go even lower.

Other Options: Garrick Higgo, Max Homa

 

$7,000+

Favorite Play: Taylor Montgomery finished with the low round of the day today, posting a 9-under 63, which included 10 birdies and one bogey. Montgomery finished his first round with five birdies and two bogeys on his way to a 3-under 69. Montgomery has converted 15 total birdies through the first two rounds, and while I don't expect him to go 9-under tomorrow and repeat today's performance, he's someone who could still manage 4-5 birdies, and those are what we're after. Montgomery will be a popular piece tomorrow, but at this salary range, it's worth looking elsewhere to get different with our lineup builds.

Other Options: Christiaan Bezuidenhout, Stephen Jaeger, Matti Schmid

 

$6,000+

Favorite Play: Greyson Sigg has been solid with both his approach play and putting through the first two rounds. He gained 0.916 strokes on approach and 1.113 strokes putting in the first round. In the second round, he gained 1.339 strokes on approach and 0.357 strokes putting. Sigg has hit 72.22% of greens in regulation, converting 10 birdies, and this is exactly the kind of consistency and scoring we want in this salary range.

Other Options: Thriston Lawrence, Takumi Kanaya, Carson Young

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Guy I'm Playing Who You Shouldn't

This will be an every-week addition to my article where I'll pick a golfer who I believe has shown he can go nuclear but has every chance he could dud and should generally be reserved for the largest field GPP tournaments.

Tim Widing dropped seven birdies in the first round on his way to a 5-under 67. In his second round, he sank five birdies but also had three bogeys and one double bogey, posting an even-par 72. Widing has gained strokes off the tee in both rounds, gaining 0.251 in the first round and 1.013 in the second round. In the second round, Widing lost 0.820 strokes on approach, 0.096 strokes around the green, and 1.923 strokes putting and still found a way to convert five birdies. He could be one of the lower-owned golfers and could easily be one of the lower scorers in DraftKings points tomorrow, but I'll take some shots on a guy who can drop birdies.

This lineup is for demonstration purposes only.

 

Showdown Optimizer

The optimizer works nicely with the projected ownership from the model. If you are unsure how to use it, there is a video at the top of the "PGA Lineup Optimizer" page on how to get my projected ownership and/or projected points into your optimizer.

Good luck, and may the odds ever be in your favor.

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