The Honda Classic is likely looking down from above as the Cognizant Classic putt the metaphorical bumpers up alongside the fairways and greens, with today's round playing the second easiest in quite some time.
The wind will be picking up tomorrow and hopefully the course starts playing like it has in the past.
The general logic to showdown has been to target golfers who played well the day before and particularly those who hit their irons well. This makes sense as you want to roster players who are playing good golf right now. These players will be higher-owned and chalkier than golfers in the same price range who had an off day, particularly with their irons. These are the golfers I am gravitating toward, as they could very easily bounce the following day at half the ownership.
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Round 1 Analysis
Winning Lineup
Round 1 DK Points Leaders
Round 1 Ownership Leaders
Weather, Course Conditions & Tee Times
Round 2 Strategy
There doesn't seem to be that crazy of a weather edge. So, outside of the early early starters and the late late afternoon starters who will get some slightly calmer conditions as the sun touches the horizon either side of the day, we are mainly comfortable playing the full slate of golfers.
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End of the Season Totals: @rotoballer @BettorGolfPod
2017 +54.26 Units
2018 +55.88 Units
2019 +27.743 Units
2020 + 37.015 Units
2021 + 68.846 Units
2022 +67.485 UnitsTotal Winnings: +311.229 Units
Total Outright Wins Since 2017: 36
H2H Totals Inside Thread… https://t.co/pNQrSK1rFE
— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) December 12, 2022
Showdown Model
Below are the power rankings of the golfers who we have our eye on for Round 2. The full-field model is available to premium subscribers HERE. It includes ownership projections, pre-event rankings, round-specific scoring averages, birdie percentages, weighted approach ratings, projected points, and GPP/Cash Ratings for tomorrow's showdown slate.
***Full disclosure: The ownership numbers are based on the $5 SINGLE ENTRY MAX, which is important to note as ownership in showdown can vary from contest to contest depending on field size and entry fee. However, it should provide you with a guide to who will be the most owned and how those around them shake out.
$10,000+
Favorite play: Matt Fitzpatrick
$9,000+
Favorite play: Tom Kim
Other options: Eric Cole, Stephan Jaeger
$8,000+
Favorite play: Beau Hossler
Other options: Matthieu Pavon, Chris Kirk
$7,000+
Favorite play: Thomas Detry
Other options: Adam Svensson, Brendon Todd, Ben Griffin, Lucas Glover
$6,000+
Favorite play: Ben Kohles
Other options: Padraig Harrington, Gary Woodland, Alejandro Tosti, Joe Highsmith
Showdown Optimizer
The optimizer works nicely with the projected ownership from the model. If you are unsure how to work it, at the top of the "PGA Lineup Optimizer" page, there is a video on how to get my projected ownership and/or projected points into your optimizer.
Good luck and may the odds be ever in your favor.
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