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Koby's best MLB player prop bets for today (5/14/2026). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including James Wood, Yordan Alvarez, and others!
Welcome back, RotoBallers! We have a solid slate for Thursday. We have baseball starting at 12:30 pm ET and going all day long to keep us entertained. With 11 games on deck for us today, that should give us plenty of options to attack.
In this article, I will go over four home run spots I like quite a bit, as well as a longshot bet that could cash us out quite nicely. Make sure to check out the RotoBaller Discord, where you can find input from all our experts, which could include more home run spots as well as some great strikeout picks and NRFIs!
Below, you'll be able to read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Thursday, May 14, 2026. The current odds given reflect the best price as of the time of the publication, but remember to always shop around at other sportsbooks so you can get the most value on your home run wagers. Odds can vary significantly from one sportsbook to another.
MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (5/14/2026)
James Wood OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+325, Hard Rock)
We are once again getting some great hitting conditions at Great American Ball Park. We've got 10+ mph winds blowing out toward right field, which should benefit the lefties in the lineups for both teams. I don't love going against a flamethrower in Chase Burns, but he has struggled a bit against lefties this season.
Burns has given up five home runs on the season to lefties. Lefties also mash a .482 SLG and a .224 ISO, which goes along with a mediocre 10.3% Barrel% and 36.2% HardHit%. The big thing here is what pitches Burns has been throwing. He has a relatively small arsenal that focuses on the four-seamer and slider.
That is important here because that is what Wood has been crushing all season long against righties. He has nine home runs against righties on the season, and seven of them have come off those two pitches. Overall, Wood has some aggressive splits against righties that include a .567 SLG, .317 ISO, 31.3% Barrel%, and an absurd 61% HardHit%.
James Wood (12) GOES DEEP 💥
108.2 mph · 396 ft · 35°
RHP Brady Singer · 84 mph slider⚾ WSH 1 - CIN 0 • Top 3rd pic.twitter.com/pHxHgsL4lH
— PlayPulse HRs (@PlayPulseHRs) May 12, 2026
With the ballpark conditions and the splits the way they are, this is a great spot for Wood to go yard in!
Yordan Alvarez OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+295, Fanatics)
Yordan Alvarez has cooled off quite a bit since his red-hot start in April, but he is in a very good spot at home against Luis Castillo, whom he has raked against. He has four home runs, including nine hits in 19 ABs. I don't generally look at BvP all too often, but with how poorly Castillo has pitched this season, it makes for an interesting spot.
Alvarez is up to 13 home runs on the season, seven of which have come against RHP. His splits against righties are just nuts, too. He has an SLG of .590, an ISO of .290, a Barrel% of 24.1%, and a HardHit% of 54.4%. Alvarez has been nothing but powerful this season, and I expect him to get back on track here.
As a Mariners fan, it is so hard to see Castillo lose his stuff. He has been such a rock for the Mariners since joining them a few years ago, and seeing him begin to lose velocity is tough. That being said, we have to take advantage of these spots. Castillo primarily throws the four-seamer and has had three of his four home runs against lefties off it.
The Astros will look to even the series, and I think that Alvarez could be a big part of how they do that.
