Zac Gallen 2022 Player Outlook: A Risky Pick, But At A Discount
3 years agoGallen struggled to stay on the field in 2021, throwing just 121.1 innings between multiple injuries. The end results were a big step backward from what we had seen from him very early in his career. After posting ERAs of 2.81 and 2.75 in 2019 and 2020, that number bloated to 4.30 in 2021. His strikeout rate also came down a couple of points from what we had seen from him in the past, and he gave up homers at a very high rate (1.41 HR/9). Gallen does not have overpowering stuff (average velocity of 93.4 on the fastball) and has never wowed us with high swinging-strike rates (10.9%) career. His success has come with a deep arsenal (he used five different pitches last year at significant rates) and deception. It is reasonable to give him a bit of a pass on his precision last year given that he never could really get into a groove. However, he is a guy that figures to be more volatile moving forward without the ability to get a ton of whiffs. We have seen this guy go on impressive stretches in the past, so there is still reason to be excited about drafting the 26-year-old. You will get a discount on him in 2022 (ADP around 140), but you are still rolling the dice on his health and ability to post good ratios without great strikeout stuff and a mediocre walk rate.