3 years agoTua Tagovailoa the fifth pick in the 2019 NFL Draft has underperformed in his first two years. Whether the reason is health (he started nine games in 2020 and 12 in 2021), or coaching (defensive minded head coach Brian Flores) or his supporting cast (his offensive line was historically bad) time will tell. This is his make-or-break season. Last season Tagovailoa played behind an offensive line that was ranked 32 according to Pro Football Focus. The line gave up 235 pressures (league leading), 40 sacks (19th) and had the worst pass blocking efficiency score in the NFL. Tagovailoa finished the season ranked QB25 in fantasy points per game. Statistically speaking he had 388 passing attempts, 263 completions, 16 touchdowns, 10 interceptions, a 6.8 yards per average while rushing for 128 yards with three touchdowns on 42 attempts. The Dolphins offense finished 22nd in points scored and 25th in offensive yards. For the upcoming season, the Dolphins have hired an offensive minded head coach in Mike McDaniel, who has spent his last five seasons with the San Francisco Niners, first as the run game coordinator, then last year as the offensive coordinator. They have added pieces around Tagovailoa, including left tackle Terron Armstead, pass catching running back Chase Edmonds and famously during free agency speedster Tyreek Hill. Tagovailoa is the classic boom or bust candidate this season. In his two years he has yet to average more than 14 fantasy points per game. Last season nine quarterbacks averaged 20 fantasy points per game, Tagovailoa averaged 13.9. Although he now has both Hill, Jaylen Waddle, and Mike Gesicki, he his career average aDot is 7.6 (34th in the league) and he is ranked 31st in throwing at the intermediate level, per PFF. In 2021 he threw 98 passes of 10-19 yards, 30 passes of 20-29 yards, 11 passes of 30-39 yards, six passes of 40-49 yards and three passes of 50 plus yards. His 6.8 yards per average was ranked 26th. His deep ball stats are slightly less worrisome due to the ability of Hill and Waddle yards after the catch. In 2021 Hill averaged 6.8 yards after the catch and Waddle led all Dolphins' receivers with 4.22 yards after the catch. That's the boom, there are reasons he could be a bust. First time head coach McDaniel is expected to bring a version of the West Coast offense to Miami. The addition of both Edmonds and Raheem Mostert suggest it will be heavy run game with an emphasis on play-action passing. And there is the schedule, the Dolphins early on will face New England, Baltimore, and Buffalo. Buffalo in 2021 was first against the pass yielding 176.7 average passing yards per game, New England was fourth giving up 193.8 passing yards per game and Baltimore, although 32nd giving up the most passing yards per game (278.9), last season versus Baltimore, Tagovailoa passed for 158 yards on eight completions for 12.3 fantasy points. Tagovailoa's current ADP is 11.07. Acquiring him in the 11th round in redraft leagues isn't terrible, but beware in Best Ball with Teddy Bridgewater waiting in the wings.--Gladys Tyler