6 years agoRyan O'Hearn offers a standard dilemma for fantasy owners regarding the choice to trust a small sample to finish off a season versus a career track record. Over a 44 game stretch with the Royals, O'Hearn slashed .262/.353/.597 with 12 homers and 30 RBI. Extrapolated to a full season, that is top-eight production at first, but owners should shy away as the numbers do not fit with the profile from the minors. O'Hearn’s best batting average above A-Ball was .258, and he never hit more than 20 homers in a season. Pair this with consistent 25-percent K rates or higher, and there is significant doubt that O'Hearn can sustain the production he showed last year. Add all of this to a 12.3% SwSt line, and a 23.2 O-Swing%, and the small sample starts to look a bit more muddied. And yet, O'Hearn is going as the 35th player at first, with an average ADP of 343, so he is worth a dart throw in some leagues. The other selling point is that he seems to have the starting gig from day one, so playing time should at least help with accumulating counting stats. Even if he turns into a pumpkin this season, the price is not high enough to worry. So do not trust him to repeat, but when others are not either, there are worse players to draft for a bench spot in a shallow position.--Jon Denzler - RotoBaller