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Mike Yastrzemski 2022 Player Outlook: Potential For Some Late Round Discounted Power
3 years agoLast year, Mike Yastrzemski hit .224/.311/.457 with 25 HR, 71 RBI, 75 R and 4 SB in 139 games. Given his ADP of ~136, after hitting .297 in 2020 and .272 in 2019, he was largely considered a disappointment due to the drop-off in his batting average. However, a decline in his average was on the cards if we look at his BABIP and xBA from the previous two years. In 2019, Yastrzemski had a .325 BABIP and .250 xBA, while in 2020 he had a .370 BABIP and .252 xBA. Last season looks like a simple correction as Yastrzemski had a .254 BABIP and .221 xBA. The encouraging thing for Yastrzemski is his hit profile in 2021 was similar to previous years so there shouldn't be any reason he can't hit 25 homers again in 2022. Last year's 10.3% Barrel% was near identical to his career 10.4% Barrel rate prior to 2021 and it was a similar story with Yastrzemski's average Launch Angle (LA) which was 19.4 last year and 18.9 pre-2021. Yastrzemski's ADP is ~280 and is going as the 75th outfielder in drafts. He should be able to hit 20-25 homers with ~70 runs and RBI so if his average does get nearer .240, he will provide some nice late-round value. Even if he repeats last year, Yastrzemski will finish the year better than the 75th outfielder in fantasy.
